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Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR (HHULY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $1.8B · ISIN US4067631022

What is Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR really worth?

HH Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR logo Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR HHULY · US
Price$12.40
Fair Value$3.26
Upside−73.7%
Quality45/100

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Below-average quality, and trading another 280% above our fair value of $3.26.

As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR is $3.26 per share against a price of $12.40, so the fair value sits 74% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +6.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.2% net margin
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/13)
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 18 out of 100
!Weak on past: 11 out of 100

For context

·0.48% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range $2.44 – $4.08

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $1.62 to $3.26 (+101.2%) since Jul 16, 2026.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$12.70 $4.53 Fair Value $3.26 Jul 2015 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.53 – $12.70 · fair‑value band $2.44 – $4.08 · the $12.40 price screens above the $3.26 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR (HHULY) currently trades at $12.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.26, implying the stock looks roughly 280.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $3.59 per share, and 2 of the 15 models we run sit above the $12.40 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.8700, and 13 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR generated revenue of $1.8B at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue grew 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.9%. Net debt stands at $1.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.44 (bear case) to $4.08 (bull case); at $12.40, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at −74%, HHULY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.0136 per share, which is 0.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely ($0.3100 to $26.07). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $3.50 $3.26 $2.24 76
EPV $0.4400 $1.15 $1.73 69
ROIC Compounder $0.4400 $1.15 $1.73 68
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.4600 $1.17 $1.52 65
PEG = 1.0 $0.2200 $0.3100 $0.4000 57
EPV $0.4400 $1.15 $1.73 69
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.6100 $1.03 $1.50 67
DDM Multi-Stage $0.6100 $0.8700 $1.12 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.06 $1.41 $1.77 63
P/S Multiple $0.8600 $1.14 $1.43 58
P/B Multiple $0.8600 $1.14 $1.43 55
EV/EBIT $9.99 $14.89 $19.79 65
EV/EBITDA $18.37 $26.07 $33.76 67
EV/Revenue $5.78 $10.28 $14.78 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.68 $3.59 $5.36 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $3.50 $3.26 $2.24 76
ROIC Compounder $0.4400 $1.15 $1.73 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.8200 $1.17 $1.53 67

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($3.59) versus Dividend Discount ($0.8700). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 610.5 as of Jun 21, 2026
P/S ratio 3.39 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.0200 price ÷ EPS = P/E 610.5
Dividend yield 0.5%
Net margin 0.6% FY2025
Return on equity 2.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 6.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.8B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.6% 3y avg +3.6%
EPS growth (YoY) −90.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$73.8M FY2025
Net debt $1.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Hamburger Hafen und Logistik Aktiengesellschaft, together with its subsidiaries, provides container handling, transport, and logistics services in Germany, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Container, Intermodal, Logistics, and Real Estate.

Full company description

Hamburger Hafen und Logistik Aktiengesellschaft, together with its subsidiaries, provides container handling, transport, and logistics services in Germany, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Container, Intermodal, Logistics, and Real Estate. The company handles loading, discharging, and transshipping containers to other carriers, including rail, truck, feeder, or inland waterway ships; operates container terminals; and offers container maintenance and repair services. It also provides transportation and terminal networks for containers in seaport-hinterland traffic; various maritime and continental logistics; and transports containers by road, both locally and over long-haul distances. In addition, the company engages in the operation of handling facilities for dry bulk, motor vehicles, and fruit; consultancy and management services; and process automation, digital, and leasing services. Further, it is involved in district/project development, letting, and commercial and technical management of properties. The company was formerly known as Hamburger Hafen- und Lagerhaus-AG and changed its name to Hamburger Hafen und Logistik Aktiengesellschaft in January 2005. Hamburger Hafen und Logistik Aktiengesellschaft was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in Hamburg, Germany. The company operated as a subsidiary of HGV Hamburger Gesellschaft für Vermögens- und Beteiligungsmanagement mbH. The company operates as a subsidiary of Port of Hamburg Beteiligungsgesellschaft SE.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR reported revenue of €1.8B in FY2025 versus €1.5B in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was €9.8M in FY2025, compounding −45.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 34/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.8B
Latest YoY
+9.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
≈ −6.2% (approximate, leans on 2025) · in USD
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−6.7%
Dividend yield0.5%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −6.7% vs 10Y 0.2%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10.5% (2020) → 9.5% (2025) · steady
Worst earnings drop81% (2023) · in USD
⚠ Rate leans on 2025: that final year sits 120% above its own trend (e.g. a one-off disposal gain) and could not be adjusted
Revenue +4.6%/yr
FY21 €1.5B
FY22 €1.6B
FY23 €1.4B
FY24 €1.6B
FY25 €1.8B
Net income −45.7%/yr
FY21 €112M
FY22 €133M
FY23 €20.0M
FY24 €32.5M
FY25 €9.8M

HHULY screens 280% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HHULY

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 232 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −74% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.11× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 610.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.36× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.03× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 9.0× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 31
FUTURE18 · sector 24
PAST11 · sector 28
HEALTH45 · sector 89
DIVIDEND10 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,707 ₹1,041 −39%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 20,820 kr 20,145 −3%
532921 532921 ₹1,697 ₹1,305 −23%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥16.06 ¥49.90 +211%
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG €132.80 €88.00 −34%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.15 +19%
HMM Co 011200 21,450 KRW 33,795 KRW +58%
Orient Overseas (International) Limited 0316 HK$166.90 HK$237.61 +42%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.39 ¥5.58 +65%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.69 ¥15.97 +84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR (HHULY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.26 versus a price of $12.40, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HHULY?
Our model-based fair value for Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR is $3.26 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.40.
What is the quality score of HHULY?
Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR (HHULY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.26 (as of Aug 13, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.44, optimistic scenario $4.08. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.26, about −74% upside versus a price of $12.40 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.44, optimistic scenario $4.08. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR (HHULY)?
Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HHULY?
The net profit margin of Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR is about 0.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR pay a dividend?
Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.48% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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