Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR (HHULY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $1.8B · ISIN US4067631022
What is Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR really worth?
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Below-average quality, and trading another 280% above our fair value of $3.26.
As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR is $3.26 per share against a price of $12.40, so the fair value sits 74% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $1.62 to $3.26 (+101.2%) since Jul 16, 2026.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.53 – $12.70 · fair‑value band $2.44 – $4.08 · the $12.40 price screens above the $3.26 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR (HHULY) currently trades at $12.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.26, implying the stock looks roughly 280.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $3.59 per share, and 2 of the 15 models we run sit above the $12.40 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.8700, and 13 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR generated revenue of $1.8B at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue grew 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.9%. Net debt stands at $1.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.44 (bear case) to $4.08 (bull case); at $12.40, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at −74%, HHULY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.0136 per share, which is 0.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($3.59) versus Dividend Discount ($0.8700). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Hamburger Hafen und Logistik Aktiengesellschaft, together with its subsidiaries, provides container handling, transport, and logistics services in Germany, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Container, Intermodal, Logistics, and Real Estate.
Full company description
Hamburger Hafen und Logistik Aktiengesellschaft, together with its subsidiaries, provides container handling, transport, and logistics services in Germany, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Container, Intermodal, Logistics, and Real Estate. The company handles loading, discharging, and transshipping containers to other carriers, including rail, truck, feeder, or inland waterway ships; operates container terminals; and offers container maintenance and repair services. It also provides transportation and terminal networks for containers in seaport-hinterland traffic; various maritime and continental logistics; and transports containers by road, both locally and over long-haul distances. In addition, the company engages in the operation of handling facilities for dry bulk, motor vehicles, and fruit; consultancy and management services; and process automation, digital, and leasing services. Further, it is involved in district/project development, letting, and commercial and technical management of properties. The company was formerly known as Hamburger Hafen- und Lagerhaus-AG and changed its name to Hamburger Hafen und Logistik Aktiengesellschaft in January 2005. Hamburger Hafen und Logistik Aktiengesellschaft was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in Hamburg, Germany. The company operated as a subsidiary of HGV Hamburger Gesellschaft für Vermögens- und Beteiligungsmanagement mbH. The company operates as a subsidiary of Port of Hamburg Beteiligungsgesellschaft SE.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG ADR reported revenue of €1.8B in FY2025 versus €1.5B in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was €9.8M in FY2025, compounding −45.7%/yr from FY2021.
HHULY screens 280% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →
Peer Group
Marine Shipping · 232 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS | ₹1,707 | ₹1,041 | −39% |
| A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA | kr 20,820 | kr 20,145 | −3% |
| 532921 532921 | ₹1,697 | ₹1,305 | −23% |
| COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 | ¥16.06 | ¥49.90 | +211% |
| Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG | €132.80 | €88.00 | −34% |
| Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 | ¥5.17 | ¥6.15 | +19% |
| HMM Co 011200 | 21,450 KRW | 33,795 KRW | +58% |
| Orient Overseas (International) Limited 0316 | HK$166.90 | HK$237.61 | +42% |
| Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 | ¥3.39 | ¥5.58 | +65% |
| Qingdao Port International Co 601298 | ¥8.69 | ¥15.97 | +84% |
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