Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Hisar Metal Industries Limited ₹86.00, price ₹153, upside -43.7%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹92.45 – ₹223.02 · fair‑value band ₹60.15 – ₹111.72 · the ₹152.75 price screens above the ₹86.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Hisar Metal Industries Limited manufactures and sells cold rolled precision stainless steel strips, stainless steel welded tubes and pipes, and stainless steel plumbing pipes and fittings in India. It also exports its products. Hisar Metal Industries Limited was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Hisar, India.
Stock analysis
Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL) currently trades at ₹152.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹86.00, implying the stock looks roughly 77.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹169.45 per share, and 4 of the 16 models we run sit above the ₹152.75 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹12.52, and 12 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹60.15 (bear) to ₹111.72 (bull), the price of ₹152.75 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Hisar Metal Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹2.6B in FY2026 versus ₹2.4B in FY2022, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹33.8M in FY2026, compounding −27.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹805M (≈ $8.4M) · P/E ratio 23.8 · P/S ratio 0.31 · EPS (TTM) ₹6.41 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity 5.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −44%, HISARMETAL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹60.15Fair Value ₹86.00Bull ₹111.72
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹2.64 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.1% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−3.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−9% vs 10%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 4%
Compare Hisar Metal Industries Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 417 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Above median
Fair Value upside−44% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth22% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.34× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)23.8× · Pricier than median
P/B1.23× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)0.31× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA7.6× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 4
PAST (return on equity)21· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)83· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)13· sector 51
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hisar Metal Industries Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HISARMETAL
Frequently asked questions
Is Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹86.00 versus a price of ₹152.75, about −44% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HISARMETAL?
Our model-based fair value for Hisar Metal Industries Limited is ₹86.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹152.75.
What is the quality score of HISARMETAL?
Hisar Metal Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹86.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹60.15, optimistic scenario ₹111.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hisar Metal Industries Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹86.00, about −44% upside versus a price of ₹152.75 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹60.15, optimistic scenario ₹111.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
Hisar Metal Industries Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹2.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Hisar Metal Industries Limited pay a dividend?
Hisar Metal Industries Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.65% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hisar Metal Industries Limited it is ₹86.00 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹152.75. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hisar Metal Industries Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, HISARMETAL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹152.75, fair value ₹86.00, a gap of about −44% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HISARMETAL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹152.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹86.00). For Hisar Metal Industries Limited the two are ₹66.75 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hisar Metal Industries Limited worth?
The market values Hisar Metal Industries Limited at about ₹805M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹152.75; our models calculate a fair value of ₹86.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HISARMETAL?
Our models span a range for Hisar Metal Industries Limited: cautious scenario ₹60.15, base ₹86.00, optimistic ₹111.72 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹152.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HISARMETAL?
Hisar Metal Industries Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹86.00 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 7.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hisar Metal Industries Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.3%, debt of 0.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HISARMETAL from its 52-week high?
Hisar Metal Industries Limited trades at ₹152.75, about 18% below its 52-week high of ₹186.66 and 22% above the low of ₹125.22 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹86.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hisar Metal Industries Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, Tata Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hisar Metal Industries Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹152.75, calculated fair value ₹86.00 (−44%), Quality Score 49/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HISARMETAL calculated?
We run Hisar Metal Industries Limited through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹86.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Hisar Metal Industries Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ₹152.75. Our model-based fair value is ₹86.00, about −44% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hisar Metal Industries Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹111.72). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹60.15 to ₹111.72) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL) come from?
Earnings per share at Hisar Metal Industries Limited grew +13.1 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.3 %, EBIT margin +17.1 %, tax rate +1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −8.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Hisar Metal Industries Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
The market capitalisation of Hisar Metal Industries Limited is ₹805M (≈ $8.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hisar Metal Industries Limited is 0.31 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
Earnings per share at Hisar Metal Industries Limited are ₹6.41 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
The dividend yield of Hisar Metal Industries Limited is 0.7% (payout 15.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
The net margin of Hisar Metal Industries Limited is 1.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hisar Metal Industries Limited is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hisar Metal Industries Limited is 10.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
The operating margin of Hisar Metal Industries Limited is 3.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
Revenue at Hisar Metal Industries Limited is growing +21.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
Earnings per share at Hisar Metal Industries Limited are growing +126% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL) generate?
The free cash flow of Hisar Metal Industries Limited is −₹152M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL) carry?
The net debt of Hisar Metal Industries Limited is ₹819M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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