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Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hisar Metal Industries Limited stock ₹87.22, price ₹147, that is 40.6% below the price, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials IN · ISIN INE598C01011

HM Hisar Metal Industries Limited logo Broad data Nov 4, 2026

Hisar Metal Industries Limited

HISARMETAL · NSE
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 41% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Broad data
Quality 49/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.4 %/yr in INR)
Thin margins · 1.8% net margin (TTM)
0.7% dividend yield · Token dividend
Fair value ₹87.22 · Strongly overvalued
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 25/100
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹223.02 ₹92.45 Fair Value ₹87.22 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹92.45 – ₹223.02 · fair‑value band ₹60.15 – ₹111.72 · the ₹146.90 price screens above the ₹87.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Hisar Metal Industries Limited manufactures and sells cold rolled precision stainless steel strips, stainless steel welded tubes and pipes, and stainless steel plumbing pipes and fittings in India. It also exports its products.

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Hisar Metal Industries Limited was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Hisar, India.

Stock analysis

Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL) currently trades at ₹146.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹87.22, 41% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹106.41 per share, and 1 of the 15 models we run sit above the ₹146.90 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹10.61, and 14 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ₹60.15 (bear) to ₹111.72 (bull), the price of ₹146.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Hisar Metal Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹2.6B in FY2026 versus ₹2.4B in FY2022, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹33.8M in FY2026, compounding −27.2%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap ₹775M (≈ $8.2M) Micro · P/E ratio 15.6 · P/S ratio 0.29 · EPS (TTM) ₹9.40 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 1.8% · Return on equity 5.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.1% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −41%, HISARMETAL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹60.15 Fair Value ₹87.22 Bull ₹111.72
Price ₹146.90 · Downside -40.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹5.13 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ₹88.10 ₹87.22 ₹89.82 76
EPV ₹96.07 ₹113.09 ₹127.17 74
ROIC Compounder ₹96.07 ₹113.09 ₹129.45 72
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹42.56 ₹93.64 ₹119.39 66
PEG = 1.0 ₹14.90 ₹21.28 ₹27.67 57
EPV ₹96.07 ₹113.09 ₹127.17 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹7.56 ₹10.94 ₹14.05 69
DDM Multi-Stage ₹7.56 ₹10.27 ₹12.87 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹79.81 ₹106.41 ₹133.01 63
P/S Multiple ₹79.81 ₹106.41 ₹133.01 58
P/B Multiple ₹140.06 ₹186.75 ₹233.44 55
EV/EBIT ₹45.07 ₹110.67 ₹176.26 61
EV/EBITDA ₹28.71 ₹88.85 ₹148.99 62
EV/Revenue ₹18.84 ₹91.93 ₹165.01 48
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹35.69 ₹54.07 ₹67.59 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹88.10 ₹87.22 ₹89.82 76
ROIC Compounder ₹96.07 ₹113.09 ₹129.45 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹60.15 ₹85.93 ₹111.72 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 44
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 1
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 42
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 82
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 70
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 30
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 25
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 96
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.1% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−3.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−8.5% vs 10.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 4%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)

HISARMETAL screens overvalued: fair value 41% below the price. Compare with Nucor Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 411 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Above median
Fair Value upside −40.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 5.3% · Above median
Return on assets 2.1% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 1.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 5.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 3.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.34× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 15.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.18× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 0.29× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 6.4× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)19 · sector 37
PAST (return on equity)21 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)83 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)14 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥6.15 ¥8.07 +31% vs HISARMETAL
POSCO Holdings 005490 259,000 KRW 240,001 KRW −7% vs HISARMETAL
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹184.85 ₹148.06 −20% vs HISARMETAL
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,347 ₹1,029 −24% vs HISARMETAL
ArcelorMittal S.A MT €56.84 €36.18 −36% vs HISARMETAL
Reliance, Inc RS $417.00 $211.54 −49% vs HISARMETAL
Nucor Corporation NUE $244.97 $116.49 −52% vs HISARMETAL
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,146 ₹516.03 −55% vs HISARMETAL
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $222.90 $89.54 −60% vs HISARMETAL
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co 600010 ¥1.99 ¥0.5400 −73% vs HISARMETAL

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Hisar Metal Industries Limited: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hisar Metal Industries Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HISARMETAL

Frequently asked questions

Is Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹87.22 versus a price of ₹146.90, about 41% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HISARMETAL?
Our model-based fair value for Hisar Metal Industries Limited is ₹87.22 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹146.90.
What is the quality score of HISARMETAL?
Hisar Metal Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹87.22 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹60.15, optimistic scenario ₹111.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hisar Metal Industries Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹87.22, about 41% lower versus a price of ₹146.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹60.15, optimistic scenario ₹111.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
Hisar Metal Industries Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹2.6B (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does Hisar Metal Industries Limited pay a dividend?
Hisar Metal Industries Limited currently shows a dividend yield of 0.68% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Hisar Metal Industries Limited pays a dividend of ₹1.00 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 17, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2017. The payout ratio is 10.6% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.7% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.7% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hisar Metal Industries Limited it is ₹87.22 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of ₹146.90. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Hisar Metal Industries Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, HISARMETAL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹146.90, fair value ₹87.22, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HISARMETAL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹146.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹87.22). For Hisar Metal Industries Limited the two are ₹59.68 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hisar Metal Industries Limited worth?
The market values Hisar Metal Industries Limited at about ₹775M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is ₹146.90; our models calculate a fair value of ₹87.22 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HISARMETAL?
Our models span a range for Hisar Metal Industries Limited: cautious scenario ₹60.15, base ₹87.22, optimistic ₹111.72 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price ₹146.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HISARMETAL?
Hisar Metal Industries Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.6 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹87.22 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings: 8.4. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 6.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hisar Metal Industries Limited (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 5.3%, debt of 0.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HISARMETAL from its 52-week high?
Hisar Metal Industries Limited trades at ₹146.90, about 20% below its 52-week high of ₹184.40 and 17% above the low of ₹125.22 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹87.22 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hisar Metal Industries Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hisar Metal Industries Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price ₹146.90, calculated fair value ₹87.22 (−41%), Quality Score 49/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HISARMETAL calculated?
We run Hisar Metal Industries Limited through 15 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ₹87.22 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Hisar Metal Industries Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was ₹146.90. Our model-based fair value is ₹87.22, about 41% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hisar Metal Industries Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹111.72). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (49/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (₹60.15 to ₹111.72) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL) come from?
Earnings per share at Hisar Metal Industries Limited grew +13.1 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.3 %, EBIT margin +17.1 %, tax rate +1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −8.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Hisar Metal Industries Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
The market capitalisation of Hisar Metal Industries Limited is ₹775M (≈ $8.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hisar Metal Industries Limited is 0.29 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
Earnings per share at Hisar Metal Industries Limited are ₹9.40 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
The dividend yield of Hisar Metal Industries Limited is 0.7% (payout 10.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
The net margin of Hisar Metal Industries Limited is 1.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hisar Metal Industries Limited is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hisar Metal Industries Limited is 10.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
The operating margin of Hisar Metal Industries Limited is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
Revenue at Hisar Metal Industries Limited is growing +3.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL)?
Earnings per share at Hisar Metal Industries Limited are growing +327% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL) generate?
The free cash flow of Hisar Metal Industries Limited is −₹152M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hisar Metal Industries Limited (HISARMETAL) carry?
The net debt of Hisar Metal Industries Limited is ₹819M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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