Humpuss Intermoda Transportasi (HITS) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · ID · Market cap 824B IDR (≈ $82.4M) · ISIN ID1000107105
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 13 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 18, 2026, revised from 178.65 IDR to 185.60 IDR (+3.9%) since Aug 13, 2026.
Below-average quality, trading 38% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (37/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (185.60 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (185.60 IDR to 371.20 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 116.00 IDR – 1,175 IDR · fair‑value band 185.60 IDR – 371.20 IDR · the 116.00 IDR price screens below the 185.60 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.
Analysis
Humpuss Intermoda Transportasi (HITS) currently trades at 116.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 185.60 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Humpuss Intermoda Transportasi generated revenue of 138M IDR at a net margin of -3.7%. Revenue declined 6.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.1%. Net debt stands at 53.0M IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 185.60 IDR (bear case) to 371.20 IDR (bull case); at 116.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 60%, HITS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2024 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 4.79 IDR per share, which is 2.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (6,358,443 IDR) versus Asset-Based (89.10 IDR). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
PT Humpuss Intermoda Transportasi Tbk., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the sea transportation and other related activities in Indonesia. It transports liquefied natural gas, crude and fuel oil, chemicals, containers, coal, and other sea cargoes.
Full company description
PT Humpuss Intermoda Transportasi Tbk., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the sea transportation and other related activities in Indonesia. It transports liquefied natural gas, crude and fuel oil, chemicals, containers, coal, and other sea cargoes. The company also engages in the provision of vessel crew, management services to vessel owners, dredging services, and training Crew services; chartering and managing of vessels; and trading and investment activities. PT Humpuss Intermoda Transportasi Tbk. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Humpuss Intermoda Transportasi reported revenue of 135M IDR in FY2024 versus 90.3M IDR in FY2020, a compound +10.6%/yr. Reported net income was 82.6K IDR in FY2024, compounding −67.4%/yr from FY2020.
of which total revenue +8.0 % · buybacks/dilution −2.9 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Marine Shipping · 239 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS | ₹1,714 | ₹1,041 | -39% |
| A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA | kr 20,820 | kr 20,145 | -3% |
| 532921 532921 | ₹1,697 | ₹1,305 | -23% |
| COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 | ¥17.11 | ¥49.90 | +192% |
| Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG | €132.80 | €88.00 | -34% |
| Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 | ¥5.17 | ¥6.15 | +19% |
| HMM Co 011200 | 21,450 KRW | 33,795 KRW | +58% |
| Orient Overseas (International) Limited 0316 | HK$166.90 | HK$237.61 | +42% |
| Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 | ¥3.39 | ¥5.58 | +65% |
| Qingdao Port International Co 601298 | ¥8.69 | ¥15.97 | +84% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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