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Data-driven stock valuation

Homasote Co (HMTC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Homasote Co is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $2.5M · ISIN US4368661074

At a glance

HC Homasote Co logo Homasote Co HMTC · US
Price$7.00
Fair Value$21.00
Upside+200.0%
Quality43/100

Below-average quality, trading 67% below our fair value of $21.00.

As of Aug 18, 2026, the fair value of Homasote Co is $21.00 per share against a price of $7.00, so the fair value sits 200% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +2.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -4.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
!Narrow moat 18/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Medium Range $18.35 to $25.29

Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 18, 2026, revised from $27.14 to $21.00 (−22.6%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +19.0% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($18.35). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$12.50 $2.93 Fair Value $21.00 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.93 – $12.50 · fair‑value band $18.35 – $25.29 · the $7.00 price screens below the $21.00 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Homasote Co (HMTC) currently trades at $7.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.00, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $38.61 per share, and 14 of the 14 models we run sit above the $7.00 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $7.15, and 0 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Homasote Co generated revenue of $19.5M at a net margin of −4.6%. Revenue declined 0.5% year over year. Net debt stands at $4.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026

Scenario range: $18.35 (bear) to $25.29 (bull), the price of $7.00 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 94% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −33% fair-value upside, at 200%, HMTC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $29.19 $36.16 $47.39 82
Growth DCF $29.86 $36.41 $46.17 80
Owner Earnings $13.20 $16.03 $20.58 78
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $29.19 $36.16 $47.39 82
Owner Earnings $13.20 $16.03 $20.58 78
5Y Revenue Exit $26.46 $35.59 $48.81 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $34.97 $50.29 $70.57 75
10Y Revenue Exit $27.17 $33.29 $39.66 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $32.04 $41.05 $50.55 70
Earnings-Based
EPV $18.98 $20.98 $22.60 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT $29.53 $38.61 $47.69 66
EV/EBITDA $46.50 $61.23 $75.96 67
EV/Revenue $25.90 $36.02 $46.13 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.33 $7.15 $10.66 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $29.86 $36.41 $46.17 80
Rev-Margin DCF $26.46 $36.35 $48.64 73
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $18.98 $21.44 $23.69 72

Widest divergence: Multiples ($38.61) versus Asset-Based ($7.15). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.11 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−5.74
Net margin −0.4% FY2025
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 5.0% TTM
Revenue (TTM) $19.5M TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) −0.5% 3y avg −1.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +88.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $1.3M FY2025
Net debt $4.6M FY2025 · ≈ 3.4 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 90
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 98
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Homasote Company manufactures and sells building products made from recycled materials in the United States. The company provides 440 SoundBarrier for wall and floor sound insulation; Easy-ply and Firestall for roof decking; 4-Way for floor deckings; Homex 300, Homasote ICE DECK, and N.C.F.R.

Full company description

Homasote Company manufactures and sells building products made from recycled materials in the United States. The company provides 440 SoundBarrier for wall and floor sound insulation; Easy-ply and Firestall for roof decking; 4-Way for floor deckings; Homex 300, Homasote ICE DECK, and N.C.F.R. Homasote for concrete expansion joints and forming boards; and DesignWall, NovaCork, and PINnacle for finished interior panels. In addition, it offers industrial packaging. The company's products are used in various applications, such as sound control, cathedral ceilings, class " A fire-rated products, concrete forming, decorative/tackable panels, floors, floor and surface protection, hobbies, ice rink conversions, multiple family dwellings, and roofs. Homasote Company was incorporated in 1909 and is based in West Trenton, New Jersey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Homasote Co reported revenue of $20.7M in FY2025 versus $19.0M in FY2021, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$75.3K in FY2025.

Growth Quality 21/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$20.7M
Latest YoY
−2.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.7%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−0.5% (2020) → 4.5% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +2.1%/yr
FY21 $19.0M
FY22 $21.5M
FY23 $19.8M
FY24 $21.2M
FY25 $20.7M
Net income
FY21 −$406K
FY22 $1.1M
FY23 −$1.0M
FY24 $903K
FY25 −$75.3K

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Homasote Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HMTC

Peer Group

Lumber & Wood Production · 79 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.05× · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.55× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.11× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 1.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.2× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 7
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 2
HEALTH98 · sector 92
DIVIDEND0 · sector 46

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD $182.07 $145.26 −20%
West Fraser Timber Co WFG C$92.39 C$33.38 −64%
UFP Industries, Inc UFPI $88.29 $107.07 +21%
Stella-Jones Inc SJ C$75.22 C$92.56 +23%
Boise Cascade Company BCC $77.12 $51.39 −33%
Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY ₹751.05 ₹201.01 −73%
DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 ¥12.58 ¥14.78 +17%
Canfor Corporation CFP C$14.77 C$4.54 −69%
Interfor Corporation IFP C$13.69 C$6.43 −53%
Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 ¥3.11 ¥0.6700 −78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Homasote Co (HMTC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $21.00 versus a price of $7.00, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HMTC?
Our model-based fair value for Homasote Co is $21.00 (as of Aug 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $7.00.
What is the quality score of HMTC?
Homasote Co has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Homasote Co (HMTC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $21.00 (as of Aug 18, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $18.35, optimistic scenario $25.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Homasote Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $21.00, about +200% upside versus a price of $7.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $18.35, optimistic scenario $25.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Homasote Co (HMTC)?
Homasote Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $19.5M (latest available figure, as of Aug 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HMTC?
The net profit margin of Homasote Co is about −4.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
What is the intrinsic value of Homasote Co (HMTC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Homasote Co it is $21.00 per share (as of Aug 18, 2026), against a price of $7.00. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Homasote Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 18, 2026, HMTC trades below its calculated fair value: price $7.00, fair value $21.00, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HMTC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($21.00). For Homasote Co the two are $14.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Homasote Co worth?
The market values Homasote Co at about $2.5M (market capitalisation, as of Aug 18, 2026). Per share that is $7.00; our models calculate a fair value of $21.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HMTC?
Our models span a range for Homasote Co: cautious scenario $18.35, base $21.00, optimistic $25.29 per share (as of Aug 18, 2026, price $7.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Homasote Co (HMTC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Homasote Co (as of Aug 18, 2026): debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HMTC from its 52-week high?
Homasote Co trades at $7.00, about 12% below its 52-week high of $6.23 and 94% above the low of $3.60 (as of Aug 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $21.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Homasote Co?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Simpson Manufacturing Co, West Fraser Timber Co, UFP Industries, Inc, Stella-Jones Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Homasote Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 18, 2026: price $7.00, calculated fair value $21.00 (+200%), Quality Score 43/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HMTC calculated?
We run Homasote Co through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $21.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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