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Homasote Co (HMTC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 29, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Homasote Co stock $19.58, price $6.53, upside +200.0%, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials US

HC Homasote Co logo Thin data Oct 30, 2026

Homasote Co

HMTC · US
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 67% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $19.58 · Strongly undervalued (67%)
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/12)
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 155% above the price ($16.64).
Quality 43/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +2.4 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -4.6% net margin (TTM)
Narrow moat 18/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Thinly traded
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$12.50 $2.93 Fair Value $19.58 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.93 – $12.50 · fair‑value band $16.64 – $23.12 · the $6.53 price screens below the $19.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Company profile

Homasote Company manufactures and sells building products made from recycled materials in the United States.

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The company provides 440 SoundBarrier for wall and floor sound insulation; Easy-ply and Firestall for roof decking; 4-Way for floor deckings; Homex 300, Homasote ICE DECK, and N.C.F.R. Homasote for concrete expansion joints and forming boards; and DesignWall, NovaCork, and PINnacle for finished interior panels.

In addition, it offers industrial packaging.

The company's products are used in various applications, such as sound control, cathedral ceilings, class " A fire-rated products, concrete forming, decorative/tackable panels, floors, floor and surface protection, hobbies, ice rink conversions, multiple family dwellings, and roofs.

Homasote Company was incorporated in 1909 and is based in West Trenton, New Jersey.

Stock analysis

Homasote Co (HMTC) currently trades at $6.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.58, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $56.35 per share, and 14 of the 14 models we run sit above the $6.53 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $7.15, and 0 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $16.64 (bear) to $23.12 (bull), the price of $6.53 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Homasote Co reported revenue of $20.7M in FY2025 versus $19.0M in FY2021, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$75.3K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $2.4M Micro · P/S ratio 0.11 · EPS (TTM) $−5.50 · Net margin −0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9% · Operating margin 5.0% · Revenue (TTM) $19.5M · Revenue growth (YoY) −0.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 18 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at 200%, HMTC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $16.64 Fair Value $19.58 Bull $23.12
Price $6.53 · Upside +200.0%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF $48.02 $64.84 $95.10 80
Growth DCF $49.97 $66.19 $93.11 79
Owner Earnings $41.82 $56.35 $82.51 77
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $48.02 $64.84 $95.10 80
Owner Earnings $41.82 $56.35 $82.51 77
5Y Revenue Exit $33.53 $44.30 $59.88 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $43.27 $61.16 $84.86 75
10Y Revenue Exit $38.46 $46.89 $55.58 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $44.85 $57.10 $69.95 70
Earnings-Based
EPV $23.61 $26.98 $29.90 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT $14.64 $23.72 $32.79 64
EV/EBITDA $31.60 $46.33 $61.06 66
EV/Revenue $11.01 $21.12 $31.24 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.33 $7.15 $10.66 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $49.97 $66.19 $93.11 79
Rev-Margin DCF $33.53 $45.40 $60.33 73
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $23.61 $27.78 $31.86 72

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 42
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 46
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 43
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 56
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 38
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 75
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 92
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 21/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.7% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−0.5% (2020) → 4.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lumber & Wood Production · 77 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −0.5% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) −4.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 5.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −0.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.05× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.61× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.12× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow 1.8× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 2.6× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 38

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Stella-Jones Inc SJ C$67.03 C$115.37 +72% vs HMTC
UFP Industries, Inc UFPI $78.30 $103.76 +33% vs HMTC
DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 ¥12.60 ¥15.06 +20% vs HMTC
Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD $191.66 $210.83 +10% vs HMTC
Boise Cascade Company BCC $74.56 $52.73 −29% vs HMTC
Interfor Corporation IFP C$14.19 C$6.43 −55% vs HMTC
Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY ₹645.95 ₹211.47 −67% vs HMTC
Canfor Corporation CFP C$15.55 C$4.54 −71% vs HMTC
Zhongfu Straits (Pingtan) Development Company 000592 ¥6.70 ¥1.82 −73% vs HMTC
Greenlam Industries Limited GREENLAM ₹210.12 ₹50.48 −76% vs HMTC

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Homasote Co · Fair Value
$19.58 +67%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Homasote Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HMTC

Frequently asked questions

Is Homasote Co (HMTC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.58 versus a price of $6.53, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HMTC?
Our model-based fair value for Homasote Co is $19.58 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.53.
What is the quality score of HMTC?
Homasote Co has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Homasote Co (HMTC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $19.58 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $16.64, optimistic scenario $23.12. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Homasote Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $19.58, about +200% upside versus a price of $6.53 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $16.64, optimistic scenario $23.12. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Homasote Co (HMTC)?
Homasote Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $19.5M (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Homasote Co (HMTC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Homasote Co it is $19.58 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of $6.53. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Homasote Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, HMTC trades below its calculated fair value: price $6.53, fair value $19.58, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HMTC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.53); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($19.58). For Homasote Co the two are $13.06 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Homasote Co worth?
The market values Homasote Co at about $2.4M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is $6.53; our models calculate a fair value of $19.58 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HMTC?
Our models span a range for Homasote Co: cautious scenario $16.64, base $19.58, optimistic $23.12 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price $6.53). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Homasote Co (HMTC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Homasote Co (as of Oct 30, 2026): debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HMTC from its 52-week high?
Homasote Co trades at $6.53, about 7% below its 52-week high of $7.00 and 81% above the low of $3.60 (as of Oct 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $19.58 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Homasote Co?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Simpson Manufacturing Co, UFP Industries, Inc, Boise Cascade Company, Stella-Jones Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Homasote Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price $6.53, calculated fair value $19.58 (+200%), Quality Score 43/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HMTC calculated?
We run Homasote Co through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $19.58, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Homasote Co currently trades 67 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Homasote Co (HMTC)?
The closing price on Oct 29, 2026 was $6.53. Our model-based fair value is $19.58, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Homasote Co right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($16.64). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Homasote Co

How large is the market capitalisation of Homasote Co (HMTC)?
The market capitalisation of Homasote Co is $2.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Homasote Co (HMTC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Homasote Co is 0.11 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Homasote Co (HMTC)?
Earnings per share at Homasote Co are $−5.50. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Homasote Co (HMTC)?
The net margin of Homasote Co is −0.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Homasote Co (HMTC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Homasote Co is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Homasote Co (HMTC)?
The operating margin of Homasote Co is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Homasote Co (HMTC)?
Revenue at Homasote Co is growing −0.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Homasote Co (HMTC)?
Earnings per share at Homasote Co are growing +88.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Homasote Co (HMTC) generate?
The free cash flow of Homasote Co is $1.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Homasote Co (HMTC) carry?
The net debt of Homasote Co is $4.6M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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