HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. (HOCL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. ₹118, price ₹46.07, upside +156.5%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹21.04 – ₹63.98 · fair‑value band ₹77.98 – ₹147.70 · the ₹46.07 price screens below the ₹118.16 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Hindustan Organic Chemicals Limited manufactures and sells chemicals in India. It offers phenol, acetone, and hydrogen peroxide chemical products. The company also produces engineering plastic polytetrafluoroethylene.
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Hindustan Organic Chemicals Limited manufactures and sells chemicals in India. It offers phenol, acetone, and hydrogen peroxide chemical products. The company also produces engineering plastic polytetrafluoroethylene. Its products are used in various industries, such as resins and laminates, dyes and dyes intermediates, drugs and pharmaceuticals, rubber chemicals, paints, pesticides, and other industries. The company was founded in 1960 and is based in Navi Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. (HOCL) currently trades at ₹46.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹118.16, implying the stock looks roughly 61.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 93/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: ₹77.98 (bear) to ₹147.70 (bull), the price of ₹46.07 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. reported revenue of ₹5.7B in FY2026 versus ₹4.3B in FY2022, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was −₹127M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹3.1B (≈ $32.3M) · P/S ratio 0.45 · EPS (TTM) ₹−1.92 · Net margin −2.2% · Return on equity −1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.5% · Operating margin 11.9% · Revenue (TTM) ₹5.7B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 110% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 156%, HOCL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹77.98Fair Value ₹118.16Bull ₹147.70
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.27/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.8% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.9% (2021) → −3.4% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 352 stocks
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Is HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. (HOCL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹118.16 versus a price of ₹46.07, about +156% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HOCL?
Our model-based fair value for HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. is ₹118.16 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹46.07.
What is the quality score of HOCL?
HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. (HOCL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹118.16 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹77.98, optimistic scenario ₹147.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹118.16, about +156% upside versus a price of ₹46.07 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹77.98, optimistic scenario ₹147.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. (HOCL)?
HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹5.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. (HOCL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. it is ₹118.16 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹46.07. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, HOCL trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹46.07, fair value ₹118.16, a gap of about +156% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HOCL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹46.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹118.16). For HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. the two are ₹72.09 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. worth?
The market values HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. at about ₹3.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹46.07; our models calculate a fair value of ₹118.16 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HOCL?
Our models span a range for HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD.: cautious scenario ₹77.98, base ₹118.16, optimistic ₹147.70 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹46.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. (HOCL)?
Balance-sheet figures for HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −1.3%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HOCL from its 52-week high?
HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. trades at ₹46.07, at its 52-week high of ₹46.07 and 110% above the low of ₹21.99 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹118.16 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹46.07, calculated fair value ₹118.16 (+156%), Quality Score 50/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HOCL calculated?
We run HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹118.16, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. currently trades 156 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. (HOCL)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ₹46.07. Our model-based fair value is ₹118.16, about +156% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹77.98). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (₹77.98 to ₹147.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. (HOCL)?
The market capitalisation of HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. is ₹3.1B (≈ $32.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. (HOCL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. is 0.45 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. (HOCL)?
Earnings per share at HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. are ₹−1.92. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. (HOCL)?
The net margin of HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. is −2.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. (HOCL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. is −1.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. (HOCL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. is 5.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. (HOCL)?
The operating margin of HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. is 11.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. (HOCL)?
Revenue at HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. is growing −0.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. (HOCL)?
Earnings per share at HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. are growing −97.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. (HOCL) generate?
The free cash flow of HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. is −₹723M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. (HOCL) carry?
The net debt of HINDUSTAN ORGANIC CHEMICALS LTD. is ₹2.8B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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