Hipages Group Holdings Ltd (HPG) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · AU · Market cap A$99.0M (≈ $71.3M) · ISIN AU0000112104

What is Hipages Group Holdings Ltd really worth?

HG Hipages Group Holdings Ltd HPG · AU

PriceA$0.9250

Fair ValueA$0.4100

Upside−55.7%

Quality72/100

A solid business, but trading 126% above our fair value of A$0.4100.

As of Aug 19, 2026, the fair value of Hipages Group Holdings Ltd is A$0.4100 per share against a price of A$0.9250, so the fair value sits 56% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

✓Ranks above peers (13/14)

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +12.1 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 5.8% net margin

!Narrow moat 42/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

Evidence: Low Range A$0.3400 – A$0.4800

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price +26.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.4800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.6350 – A$4.13 · fair‑value band A$0.3400 – A$0.4800 · the A$0.9250 price screens above the A$0.4100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Hipages Group Holdings Ltd (HPG) currently trades at A$0.9250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.4100, implying the stock looks roughly 125.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$1.60 per share, and 11 of the 26 models we run sit above the A$0.9250 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at A$0.2000, and 15 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hipages Group Holdings Ltd generated revenue of A$87.5M at a net margin of 5.8%. Revenue grew 10.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$16.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.3400 (bear case) to A$0.4800 (bull case); at A$0.9250, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −56%, HPG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2024 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly A$0.0400 per share, which is 9.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence

Highest evidence

FCF DCF A$1.66 A$2.49 A$3.65 80

Growth DCF A$1.63 A$2.36 A$3.30 79

Owner Earnings A$1.52 A$2.26 A$3.32 76

All 26 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF A$1.66 A$2.49 A$3.65 80

Owner Earnings A$1.52 A$2.26 A$3.32 76

5Y Revenue Exit A$0.8500 A$1.02 A$1.20 74

5Y EBITDA Exit A$1.82 A$2.98 A$4.42 74

5Y P/E Exit A$0.9900 A$1.29 A$1.61 72

10Y Revenue Exit A$1.18 A$1.43 A$1.74 68

10Y EBITDA Exit A$1.72 A$2.65 A$4.01 68

10Y P/E Exit A$1.25 A$1.60 A$2.03 65

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd A$0.1200 A$0.5300 A$0.7200 64

Lynch FV A$0.1400 A$0.2000 A$0.2500 61

PEG = 1.0 A$0.1400 A$0.2000 A$0.2500 57

EPV A$0.2600 A$0.2700 A$0.2800 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM A$0.1700 A$0.2800 A$0.3600 68

DDM Multi-Stage A$0.1700 A$0.2600 A$0.3000 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple A$0.3700 A$0.4900 A$0.6100 63

P/S Multiple A$0.2200 A$0.3000 A$0.3700 58

P/B Multiple A$0.2200 A$0.3000 A$0.3700 55

EV/EBIT A$0.4000 A$0.4700 A$0.5400 66

EV/EBITDA A$2.13 A$2.77 A$3.42 67

EV/Revenue A$0.3000 A$0.3400 A$0.3900 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) A$0.1600 A$0.2100 A$0.3200 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF A$1.63 A$2.36 A$3.30 79

Rev-Margin DCF A$0.8500 A$1.05 A$1.30 74

Economic Profit

Residual Income A$0.2200 A$0.2300 A$0.2000 76

ROIC Compounder A$0.2600 A$0.2700 A$0.2800 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E A$0.2700 A$0.3800 A$0.4900 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$1.60) versus Earnings-Based (A$0.2000). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 23.1

P/S ratio 0.66 P/E × margin

EPS (TTM) A$0.0400 price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.1

Dividend yield 3.4% payout 77.9%

Net margin 2.9% FY2024

Return on equity 11.7% TTM

More key figures

Profitability

Return on assets (EBIT) −0.3% avg 5y

Operating margin 5.5% TTM

Growth

Revenue (TTM) A$87.5M TTM

Revenue growth (YoY) +10.6% 3y avg +11.1%

EPS growth (YoY) +39.4%

Balance sheet & cash flow

Free cash flow A$21.9M FY2024

Net cash A$16.7M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 56

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 38

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 98

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 84

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 91

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 39

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 45

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 17

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 81

Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

hipages Group Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an online tradie marketplace in Australia and New Zealand.

Full company description

hipages Group Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an online tradie marketplace in Australia and New Zealand. It provides hipages, an online tradie marketplace that provides local tradies with job leads, grow and manage their business; and Builderscrack, an online home repair and renovation marketplace that enables homeowners to connect with local tradies. The company also provides Tradiecore, a job management solution; and Proptech Labs, a property management productivity software. hipages Group Holdings Limited was founded in 2004 and is based in Sydney, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Hipages Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of A$83.2M in FY2024 versus A$55.8M in FY2020, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was A$2.4M in FY2024.

Growth Quality 78/100

Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Latest Revenue (FY 2024)

A$83.2M

Latest YoY

+10.4%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+11.1%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+12.1%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (7Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+10.8%

EBIT margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

−3.2% (2019) → 1.9% (2024)

Value creation/yr ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year

not computed

Revenue +10.5%/yr

FY20 A$55.8M

FY21 A$60.7M

FY22 A$65.9M

FY23 A$75.3M

FY24 A$83.2M

Net income

FY20 −A$6.2M

FY21 −A$910K

FY22 −A$5.1M

FY23 A$3.6M

FY24 A$2.4M

HPG screens 126% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Hipages Group Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.4100 −126%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HPG.AU" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Hipages Group Holdings Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">A$0.4100</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−126%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:#7BB290;font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hipages Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HPG.AU

Peer Group

Software - Application · 691 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%

Fair Value upside −56% · Below median

Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median

Return on assets 4% · Above median

Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median

Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median

Revenue growth 11% · Above median

Dividend yield (TTM) 3.4% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.1× · Cheaper than median

P/B 1.65× · Cheaper than median

P/S (TTM) 0.82× · Cheaper than median

P/FCF 3.3× · Cheaper than median

EV/EBITDA 8.8× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE0 · sector 0

FUTURE53 · sector 36

PAST47 · sector 12

HEALTH100 · sector 98

DIVIDEND67 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hipages Group Holdings Ltd (HPG) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.4100 versus a price of A$0.9250, about −56% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of HPG?

Our model-based fair value for Hipages Group Holdings Ltd is A$0.4100 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.9250.

What is the quality score of HPG?

Hipages Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Hipages Group Holdings Ltd (HPG)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.4100 (as of Aug 19, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.3400, optimistic scenario A$0.4800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Hipages Group Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at A$0.4100, about −56% upside versus a price of A$0.9250 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.3400, optimistic scenario A$0.4800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Hipages Group Holdings Ltd (HPG)?

Hipages Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$87.5M (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of HPG?

The net profit margin of Hipages Group Holdings Ltd is about 5.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does Hipages Group Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?

Hipages Group Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.37% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).

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