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Horizon Gold Limited (HRN) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$198M

PriceA$1.13
Fair ValueA$0.5200
Upside-54.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.3900 – A$0.6500

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

Analysis

Horizon Gold Limited (HRN) currently trades at A$1.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.5200 — implying the stock looks roughly 54.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

Horizon Gold Limited engages in the exploration and evaluation of gold deposits in Australia. Its flagship project is the 100% owned Gum Creek gold project covering an area of approximately 663 square kilometers, located in the Yilgarn Craton in Western Australia. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is based in West Perth, Australia. Horizon Gold Limited is a subsidiary of Zeta Resources Limited.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Horizon Gold Limited (HRN) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.5200 versus a price of A$1.13 — about −54% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of HRN?
Our 21-model fair value for Horizon Gold Limited is A$0.5200 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$1.13.
What is the quality score of HRN?
Horizon Gold Limited has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.