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Maritana Minerals Limited (HRZMF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $279M

MM Maritana Minerals Limited logo Maritana Minerals Limited HRZMF · US
Price$0.4400
Fair Value$0.0935
Upside-78.8%
Quality14/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -3.7% net margin
negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0680 – $0.1360 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −41.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1360). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (14/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.0680 to $0.1360) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (18 months)

$1.12 $0.0001 Fair Value $0.0935 Jan 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

18‑month range $0.0001 – $1.12 · fair‑value band $0.0680 – $0.1360 · the $0.4400 price screens above the $0.0935 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Maritana Minerals Limited (HRZMF) currently trades at $0.4400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0935, implying the stock looks roughly 78.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 14/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Maritana Minerals Limited generated revenue of $97.6M at a net margin of -3.7%. It earns a return on equity of -3.9%. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0680 (bear case) to $0.1360 (bull case); at $0.4400, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -79%, HRZMF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.1100 $0.1500 $0.2300 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1100 $0.1500 $0.2300 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $97.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) +9,604%
Net margin -3.7%
Return on equity -3.9%
Free cash flow −$25.2M FY2025
Operating margin 28.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0600

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 14/100

Of which business quality 17 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 25
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 35
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Maritana Minerals Limited engages in the exploration, development, and production of gold and other mineral resources in Australia. It primarily explores for gold, nickel, cobalt, silver, and zinc deposits. The company was formerly known as Horizon Minerals Limited and changed its name to Maritana Minerals Limited in April 2026.

Full company description

Maritana Minerals Limited engages in the exploration, development, and production of gold and other mineral resources in Australia. It primarily explores for gold, nickel, cobalt, silver, and zinc deposits. The company was formerly known as Horizon Minerals Limited and changed its name to Maritana Minerals Limited in April 2026. Maritana Minerals Limited was incorporated in 1974 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Maritana Minerals Limited reported revenue of $36.9M in FY2025 versus $16.8M in FY2021, a compound +21.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$23.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$36.9M
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+123.1%
Revenue +21.8%/yr
FY21 $16.8M
FY22 $3.3M
FY23 $81.9K
FY25 $36.9M
Net income
FY21 $2.4M
FY22 −$28.0M
FY23 −$1.0M
FY24 −$3.5M
FY25 −$23.8M

HRZMF screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Maritana Minerals Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HRZMF

Peer Group

Gold · 259 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 17 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 29% · Above median
Revenue growth 9604% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.32× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.86× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 9.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 100
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEMCL $112.00 $132.73 +19%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥28.36 ¥30.58 +8%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM C$191.93 C$154.33 -20%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $34.93 $50.66 +45%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM C$152.57 C$52.47 -66%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV C$284.75 C$97.76 -66%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $76.35 $88.63 +16%
Gold Fields Limited GFI $33.33 $59.06 +77%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $22.57 $34.62 +53%
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$20.48 A$15.98 -22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Maritana Minerals Limited (HRZMF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0935 versus a price of $0.4400, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HRZMF?
Our model-based fair value for Maritana Minerals Limited is $0.0935 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.4400.
What is the quality score of HRZMF?
Maritana Minerals Limited has a Quality Score of 14/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Maritana Minerals Limited (HRZMF)?
Maritana Minerals Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $97.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HRZMF?
The net profit margin of Maritana Minerals Limited is about -3.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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