Hostelworld Group (HSW) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · GB · Market cap 132M GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +3.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 17% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from £0.9200 (bear) to £1.53 (bull), base £1.23. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 68/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.5787 – £1.62 · fair‑value band £0.9200 – £1.53 · the £1.05 price screens below the £1.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Hostelworld Group (HSW) currently trades at £1.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.23, implying the stock looks roughly 17.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hostelworld Group generated revenue of £93.8M at a net margin of 7.5%. Revenue grew 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.8%. Net debt stands at £2.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £0.9200 (bear case) to £1.53 (bull case); at £1.05, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at 17%, HSW screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (£1.81) versus Dividend Discount (£0.0900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hostelworld Group plc operates as an online travel agent focused on the hostel market worldwide. The company offers software and data processing services that facilitate hostel, bed and breakfasts, hotel, and other accommodation bookings.
Full company description
Hostelworld Group plc operates as an online travel agent focused on the hostel market worldwide. The company offers software and data processing services that facilitate hostel, bed and breakfasts, hotel, and other accommodation bookings. It also provides marketing planning services and marketing and research and development services, as well as management services. In addition, the company engages in the technology trading business. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hostelworld Group reported revenue of £92.1M in FY2025 versus £16.9M in FY2021, a compound +52.8%/yr. Reported net income was £6.9M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Travel Services · 90 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booking Holdings BKNG | $182.80 | $152.94 | -16% |
| Airbnb, Inc ABNB | $148.62 | $57.47 | -61% |
| Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL | $286.96 | $215.19 | -25% |
| Viking Holdings VIK | $100.69 | $43.51 | -57% |
| Carnival Corporation CCL | $26.41 | $31.36 | +19% |
| Expedia Group EXPE | $268.77 | $248.63 | -7% |
| Trip.com Group TCOM | $42.45 | $88.82 | +109% |
| Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings NCLH | $19.46 | $20.28 | +4% |
| Global Business Travel Group GBTG | $9.40 | $4.17 | -56% |
| Travel + Leisure Co TNL | $73.27 | $27.29 | -63% |
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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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