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Hexatronic Group (HTROF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Hexatronic Group $3.16, price $4.35, upside -27.4%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Hexatronic Group
HTROF · USWeak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.
!Fair value $3.16 · Overvalued (−27.4%)
!Quality 50/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +29.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 15/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
36‑month range $1.60 – $5.30 · fair‑value band $1.85 – $4.90 · the $4.35 price screens above the $3.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Hexatronic Group AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells fiber communication solutions in Sweden, the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
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Hexatronic Group AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells fiber communication solutions in Sweden, the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers cables; cable assemblies; accessories for cables and ducts; joint closures; cabinets and pedestals; enclosures and outlets; chambers and handholes; discreet MDU cabling system; distribution frames and rack systems; microducts and microduct assemblies; splitters and other passive devices; fiber optic accessories; installation and test; hexatronic inone powered fiber system; and 5G and wireless infrastructure solutions. It also provides Fibre To The Home (FTTH) and fibre access; transport and metro networks; power industry communications; and security infrastructure solutions. The company serves telecom operators, network owners and contractors, and installation companies. Hexatronic Group AB (publ) was incorporated in 1972 and is based in Gothenburg, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Hexatronic Group (HTROF) currently trades at $4.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.16, 27.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $3.70 per share, and 1 of the 12 models we run sit above the $4.35 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $0.8900, and 11 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $1.85 (bear) to $4.90 (bull), the price of $4.35 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Hexatronic Group reported revenue of 7.5B SEK in FY2025 versus 3.5B SEK in FY2021, a compound +21.1%/yr. Reported net income was −14.0M SEK in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $1.1B · P/S ratio 0.15 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0100 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin −0.2% · Return on equity −0.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.8% · Revenue (TTM) 7.5B SEK.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 139% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −27%, HTROF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.85
Fair Value $3.16
Bull $4.90
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$2.11
$3.86
$6.50
78
Growth DCF
$2.07
$3.64
$5.84
77
Owner Earnings
$2.01
$3.70
$6.24
74
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$2.11
$3.86
$6.50
78
Owner Earnings
$2.01
$3.70
$6.24
74
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.8800
$1.58
$2.47
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
$2.31
$4.49
$7.18
73
10Y Revenue Exit
$1.30
$2.09
$3.16
66
10Y EBITDA Exit
$2.19
$4.02
$6.70
66
Earnings-Based
EPV
n/a
n/a
$0.0500
65
Multiples
EV/EBIT
$0.5000
$0.8900
$1.29
63
EV/EBITDA
$2.75
$3.89
$5.04
67
EV/Revenue
$0.1600
$0.5200
$0.8800
49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.7800
$1.04
$1.56
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$2.07
$3.64
$5.84
77
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.8800
$1.61
$2.55
71
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder
n/a
n/a
$0.0500
68
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
50/100
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Profitability
36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
19
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
89
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
79
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.4% (2020) → 2.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+16.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in SEK, Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.5% a year for the price.
HTROF screens overvalued: fair value 27% below the price. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →
Compare Hexatronic Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 298 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $107.63 | $118.39 | +10% |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥61.00 | ¥13.99 | −77% |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥895.86 | ¥342.18 | −62% |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥435.00 | ¥289.12 | −34% |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $445.97 | $249.04 | −44% |
| Nokia Oyj NOKIA | €9.19 | €3.15 | −66% |
| Ciena Corporation CIEN | $356.91 | $48.70 | −86% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥267.93 | ¥87.34 | −67% |
| Ubiquiti Inc UI | $609.64 | $670.60 | +10% |
| Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 6869 | HK$186.50 | HK$32.66 | −82% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Hexatronic Group (HTROF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.16 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $4.35, about −27% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HTROF?
Our model-based fair value for Hexatronic Group is $3.16 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $4.35.
What is the quality score of HTROF?
Hexatronic Group has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hexatronic Group (HTROF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.16 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.85, optimistic scenario $4.90. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hexatronic Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.16, about −27% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $4.35 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.85, optimistic scenario $4.90. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hexatronic Group (HTROF)?
Hexatronic Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.5B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Hexatronic Group pay a dividend?
Hexatronic Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.77% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hexatronic Group (HTROF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hexatronic Group would have to grow free cash flow by +16.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +29.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HTROF use?
Our models discount Hexatronic Group at 12.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.30, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hexatronic Group that is +16.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hexatronic Group (HTROF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hexatronic Group grew +29.3 % a year. The price currently implies +16.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hexatronic Group (HTROF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +15.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hexatronic Group (+16.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hexatronic Group (HTROF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.41 %: that much free cash flow Hexatronic Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hexatronic Group (HTROF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hexatronic Group it is $3.16 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $4.35. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hexatronic Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, HTROF trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.35, fair value $3.16, a gap of about −27% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HTROF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.16). For Hexatronic Group the two are $1.19 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hexatronic Group worth?
The market values Hexatronic Group at about $1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $4.35; our models calculate a fair value of $3.16 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HTROF?
Our models span a range for Hexatronic Group: cautious scenario $1.85, base $3.16, optimistic $4.90 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $4.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hexatronic Group (HTROF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hexatronic Group (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −0.3%, debt of 0.63 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HTROF from its 52-week high?
Hexatronic Group trades at $4.35, about 15% below its 52-week high of $5.09 and 139% above the low of $1.82 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.16 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hexatronic Group?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Zhongji Innolight Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hexatronic Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $4.35, calculated fair value $3.16 (−27%), Quality Score 50/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HTROF calculated?
We run Hexatronic Group through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.16, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Hexatronic Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hexatronic Group (HTROF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $4.35. Our model-based fair value is $3.16, about −27% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hexatronic Group right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($1.85 to $4.90). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Hexatronic Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Hexatronic Group (HTROF)?
The market capitalisation of Hexatronic Group is $1.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hexatronic Group (HTROF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hexatronic Group is 0.15 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hexatronic Group (HTROF)?
Earnings per share at Hexatronic Group are $−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hexatronic Group (HTROF)?
The dividend yield of Hexatronic Group is 1.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hexatronic Group (HTROF)?
The net margin of Hexatronic Group is −0.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hexatronic Group (HTROF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hexatronic Group is −0.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hexatronic Group (HTROF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hexatronic Group is 8.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Hexatronic Group (HTROF)?
Revenue at Hexatronic Group is growing −9.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hexatronic Group (HTROF)?
Earnings per share at Hexatronic Group are growing +6.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Hexatronic Group (HTROF) carry?
The net debt of Hexatronic Group is 1.6B SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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