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Huntsman Corporation (HUN) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $2.1B

HC Huntsman Corporation logo Huntsman Corporation HUN · US
Price$10.12
Fair Value$4.40
Upside-56.5%
Quality45/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -5.8% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
5.69% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/14)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: Medium Range $2.22 – $12.94 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $2.35 to $4.40 (+87.2%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price −10.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 57% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($2.22 to $12.94). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$34.07 $7.27 Fair Value $4.40 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.27 – $34.07 · fair‑value band $2.22 – $12.94 · the $10.12 price screens above the $4.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Huntsman Corporation (HUN) currently trades at $10.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.40, implying the stock looks roughly 56.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Huntsman Corporation generated revenue of $5.7B at a net margin of -5.8%. Revenue grew 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.9%. Net debt stands at $2.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.22 (bear case) to $12.94 (bull case); at $10.12, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -57%, HUN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1.54 $5.11 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.49 $4.86 74
Gordon GGM $7.31 $7.97 $8.96 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.36 $5.38 38
5Y Revenue Exit $1.35 $5.11 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.8900 $5.05 $10.55 41
10Y Revenue Exit $0.6100 $2.66 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.1200 $2.85 $5.78 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $7.31 $7.97 $8.96 70
DDM Multi-Stage $7.31 $9.03 $11.39 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $3.60 $7.13 $10.67 54
EV/Revenue $1.59 $4.17 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.84 $10.51 $15.68 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.54 $5.11 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.49 $4.86 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($10.51) versus DCF Models ($1.36). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $5.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.7%
Net margin -5.8%
Return on equity -8.9%
Free cash flow $116M FY2025
Operating margin -0.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.88
Dividend yield 4.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +20.6%
Net debt $2.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 20
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 41
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Huntsman Corporation manufactures and sells diversified organic chemical products worldwide. The company operates in three segments: Polyurethanes, Performance Products, and Advanced Materials.

Full company description

Huntsman Corporation manufactures and sells diversified organic chemical products worldwide. The company operates in three segments: Polyurethanes, Performance Products, and Advanced Materials. The Polyurethanes segment offers polyurethane chemicals, including methyl diphenyl diisocyanate, polyether and polyester polyols, and thermoplastic polyurethane; and aniline, benzene, nitrobenzene and other co-products. The Performance Products segment manufactures amines, such as polyetheramines, ethyleneamines, DGA Agent, JEFFCAT catalysts, and E-GRADE specialty amines and carbonates. The Advanced Materials segment offers epoxy, phenoxy, acrylic, polyurethane, and acrylonitrile-butadiene-based polymer formulations; and thermoset resins, curing and toughening agents, and carbon nanomaterials. The company provides pre-and post-sales technical service support to customers. Its products are used in a range of applications, including adhesives, aerospace, automotive, construction products, durable and non-durable consumer products, electronics, insulation, packaging, coatings and construction, power generation, and refining, as well as serves the elastomers, insulation, footwear, furniture, industrial, oil and gas, liquid natural gas transport, printed circuit boards, consumer, appliances, electrical power transmission and distribution, recreational sports equipment, food and beverage packaging, and medical appliances markets. It sells its products through a network of distributors and agents. The company was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Huntsman Corporation reported revenue of $5.7B in FY2025 versus $7.7B in FY2021, a compound −7.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$275M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 20/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$5.7B
Latest YoY
−5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−10.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+2.2%
Revenue −7.2%/yr
FY21 $7.7B
FY22 $8.0B
FY23 $6.1B
FY24 $6.0B
FY25 $5.7B
Net income
FY21 $1.0B
FY22 $460M
FY23 $101M
FY24 −$189M
FY25 −$275M

HUN screens 57% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Huntsman Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HUN

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Chemicals · 334 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −57% · Below median
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.60× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.75× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.36× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 17.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.22× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 4 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 19
HEALTH 70 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Huntsman Corporation (HUN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.40 versus a price of $10.12, about −57% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HUN?
Our model-based fair value for Huntsman Corporation is $4.40 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.12.
What is the quality score of HUN?
Huntsman Corporation has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Huntsman Corporation (HUN)?
Huntsman Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HUN?
The net profit margin of Huntsman Corporation is about -5.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Huntsman Corporation pay a dividend?
Huntsman Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.58% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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