Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT IDR 208, price IDR 218, upside -4.4%, quality 74 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 113.31 IDR – 284.11 IDR · fair‑value band 148.72 IDR – 270.95 IDR · the 218.00 IDR price screens above the 208.43 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Indonesia Fibreboard Industry Tbk engages in the wood processing industry in Indonesia, Japan, the Middle East, and internationally. The company offers high, medium, and low density fibreboards; high moisture resistant wood products; veneer; plywood and plywood medium density fibreboard (MDF) products; and MDF laminated paper products.
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PT Indonesia Fibreboard Industry Tbk engages in the wood processing industry in Indonesia, Japan, the Middle East, and internationally. The company offers high, medium, and low density fibreboards; high moisture resistant wood products; veneer; plywood and plywood medium density fibreboard (MDF) products; and MDF laminated paper products. It also exports its products. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Jakarta Utara, Indonesia. PT Indonesia Fibreboard Industry Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Adrindo Intiperkasa.
Stock analysis
Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII) currently trades at 218.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 208.43 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 4.6% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 434.47 IDR per share, and 18 of the 26 models we run sit above the 218.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 98.59 IDR, and 8 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 148.72 IDR (bear) to 270.95 IDR (bull), the price of 218.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT reported revenue of 1.3T IDR in FY2025 versus 715B IDR in FY2021, a compound +15.8%/yr. Reported net income was 183B IDR in FY2025, compounding +22.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.1T IDR (≈ $115M) · P/E ratio 13.6 · P/S ratio 1.95 · EPS (TTM) 16.01 IDR · Dividend yield 5.2% · Net margin 14.3% · Return on equity 10.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −4%, IFII screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 148.72 IDRFair Value 208.43 IDRBull 270.95 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (11.76 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+25.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.20% vs 18%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 20%
2025 sits 82% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−2.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −4.6% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lumber & Wood Production · 76 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11% · Top 25%
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)18% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−24% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)5.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IFII
Frequently asked questions
Is Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 208.43 IDR versus a price of 218.00 IDR, about −4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of IFII?
Our model-based fair value for Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT is 208.43 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 218.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of IFII?
Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 208.43 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 148.72 IDR, optimistic scenario 270.95 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 208.43 IDR, about −4% upside versus a price of 218.00 IDR (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 148.72 IDR, optimistic scenario 270.95 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII)?
Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT pay a dividend?
Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.24% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT would have to grow free cash flow by -2.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of IFII use?
Our models discount Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT at 13.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.08, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT that is -2.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT grew +13.5 % a year. The price currently implies -2.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (-2.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 14.80 %: that much free cash flow Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT it is 208.43 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 218.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, IFII trades above its calculated fair value: price 218.00 IDR, fair value 208.43 IDR, a gap of about −4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IFII?
No. The price is what the market pays today (218.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (208.43 IDR). For Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT the two are 9.57 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT worth?
The market values Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT at about 2.1T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 218.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 208.43 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IFII?
Our models span a range for Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT: cautious scenario 148.72 IDR, base 208.43 IDR, optimistic 270.95 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 218.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of IFII?
Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 208.43 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 5.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII)?
Balance-sheet figures for Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.7%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 74/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IFII from its 52-week high?
Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT trades at 218.00 IDR, about 23% below its 52-week high of 284.11 IDR and 9% above the low of 200.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 208.43 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Simpson Manufacturing Co, UFP Industries, Inc, Boise Cascade Company, Century Plyboards (India) Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 218.00 IDR, calculated fair value 208.43 IDR (−4%), Quality Score 74/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IFII calculated?
We run Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 208.43 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 218.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 208.43 IDR, about −4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (148.72 IDR to 270.95 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT
How large is the market capitalisation of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII)?
The market capitalisation of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT is 2.1T IDR (≈ $115M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT is 1.95 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII)?
Earnings per share at Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT are 16.01 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII)?
The dividend yield of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT is 5.2% (payout 71.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII)?
The net margin of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT is 14.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT is 10.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT is 10.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII)?
The operating margin of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT is 18.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII)?
Revenue at Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT is growing −23.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII)?
Earnings per share at Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT are growing −40.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT (IFII) carry?
The net debt of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry PT is 143B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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