Infragreen Group (IFN) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · AU · Market cap A$85.8M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 5 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from A$0.5704 to A$0.5609 (−1.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +1.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 35% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (14 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
14‑month range A$0.3250 – A$1.23 · fair‑value band A$0.4225 – A$0.6975 · the A$0.4150 price screens below the A$0.5609 fair value. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Infragreen Group (IFN) currently trades at A$0.4150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.5609, implying the stock looks roughly 35.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$250K. Revenue grew 38.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -16.3%. Net debt stands at A$477M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.4225 (bear case) to A$0.6975 (bull case); at A$0.4150, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at 35%, IFN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 5 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$4.93) versus Asset-Based (A$0.4400). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Infragreen Group Limited engages in the recycling and waste recovery, and clean energy and transition businesses in Australia and New Zealand. It is involved in regulated waste recycling; ferrous and non-ferrous metals collection, processing, export, and recycling; solar energy generation; and gas- and diesel-powered peaking power activities.
Full company description
Infragreen Group Limited engages in the recycling and waste recovery, and clean energy and transition businesses in Australia and New Zealand. It is involved in regulated waste recycling; ferrous and non-ferrous metals collection, processing, export, and recycling; solar energy generation; and gas- and diesel-powered peaking power activities. Infragreen Group Limited was incorporated in 2023 and is based in Fortitude Valley, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2018 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Infragreen Group reported revenue of A$4.4M in FY2025 versus A$193M in FY2018, a compound −41.8%/yr. Reported net income was −A$18.0M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Waste Management · 166 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Management, Inc WM | $233.33 | $128.02 | -45% |
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $219.20 | $122.01 | -44% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | C$242.43 | C$78.67 | -68% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €37.51 | €24.50 | -35% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $303.64 | $155.37 | -49% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | C$55.40 | C$94.12 | +70% |
| Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC | €12.20 | €7.30 | -40% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.32 | ¥5.27 | -17% |
| Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 | ¥16.18 | ¥20.91 | +29% |
| Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY | A$2.34 | A$1.18 | -50% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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