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Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Infragreen Group Ltd A$0.55, price A$0.63, upside -12.4%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · AU · ISIN AU000000IFN8

IG Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Infragreen Group Ltd

IFN · AU

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value A$0.5517 · Overvalued (−12%)
!Quality 51/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −56.9 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.79% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (4/8)
!Narrow moat 15/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 17 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 16 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$1.23 A$0.3250 Fair Value A$0.5517 Jun 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

15‑month range A$0.3250 – A$1.23 · fair‑value band A$0.4156 – A$0.6860 · the A$0.6300 price screens above the A$0.5517 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Infragreen Group Limited engages in the recycling and waste recovery, and clean energy and transition businesses in Australia and New Zealand. It is involved in regulated waste recycling; ferrous and non-ferrous metals collection, processing, export, and recycling; solar energy generation; and gas- and diesel-powered peaking power activities.

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Infragreen Group Limited engages in the recycling and waste recovery, and clean energy and transition businesses in Australia and New Zealand. It is involved in regulated waste recycling; ferrous and non-ferrous metals collection, processing, export, and recycling; solar energy generation; and gas- and diesel-powered peaking power activities. Infragreen Group Limited was incorporated in 2023 and is based in Fortitude Valley, Australia.

Stock analysis

Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN) currently trades at A$0.6300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.5517, implying the stock looks roughly 14.2% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$5.10 per share, and 2 of the 5 models we run sit above the A$0.6300 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.4400, and 3 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: A$0.4156 (bear) to A$0.6860 (bull), the price of A$0.6300 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Infragreen Group Ltd reported revenue of A$4.4M in FY2025 versus A$193M in FY2018, a compound −41.8%/yr. Reported net income was −A$18.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$139M (≈ $97.5M) · EPS (TTM) A$−0.3100 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Return on equity −16.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.5% · Operating margin −609% · Revenue growth (YoY) +38.9% · EPS growth (YoY) +22.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 94% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −12%, IFN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.4156 Fair Value A$0.5517 Bull A$0.6860
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings A$2.63 A$5.10 A$9.41 73
Gordon GGM A$0.3700 A$0.6200 A$0.8100 68
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.3700 A$0.5900 A$0.6700 67
All 5 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings A$2.63 A$5.10 A$9.41 73
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$0.3700 A$0.6200 A$0.8100 68
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.3700 A$0.5900 A$0.6700 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA A$2.32 A$3.08 A$3.83 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.3300 A$0.4400 A$0.6500 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−56.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −29.0% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
29.5% (2020) → −20.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

IFN screens 14% overvalued. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 168 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/6 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside −10% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 39% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.67× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)17 · sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 81
DIVIDEND (yield)16 · sector 44

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM $207.88 $228.67 +10%
Republic Services, Inc RSG $213.10 $128.02 −40%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN $155.41 $170.95 +10%
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €31.31 €24.17 −23%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $312.85 $155.37 −50%
GFL Environmental Inc GFL $41.90 $34.52 −18%
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC €10.72 €7.30 −32%
Umicore SA UMI €21.70 €25.28 +16%
Casella Waste Systems, Inc CWST $85.76 $14.75 −83%
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.26 ¥5.27 −16%

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A$0.5517 −14%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Infragreen Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IFN

Frequently asked questions

Is Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.5517 versus a price of A$0.6300, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IFN?
Our model-based fair value for Infragreen Group Ltd is A$0.5517 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.6300.
What is the quality score of IFN?
Infragreen Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.5517 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.4156, optimistic scenario A$0.6860. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Infragreen Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.5517, about −12% upside versus a price of A$0.6300 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.4156, optimistic scenario A$0.6860. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Infragreen Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Infragreen Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.79% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Infragreen Group Ltd it is A$0.5517 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.6300. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Infragreen Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, IFN trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.6300, fair value A$0.5517, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IFN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.6300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.5517). For Infragreen Group Ltd the two are A$0.0783 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Infragreen Group Ltd worth?
The market values Infragreen Group Ltd at about A$139M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.6300; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.5517 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IFN?
Our models span a range for Infragreen Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.4156, base A$0.5517, optimistic A$0.6860 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.6300). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Infragreen Group Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −16.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IFN from its 52-week high?
Infragreen Group Ltd trades at A$0.6300, about 39% below its 52-week high of A$1.04 and 94% above the low of A$0.3250 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.5517 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Infragreen Group Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Infragreen Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.6300, calculated fair value A$0.5517 (−12%), Quality Score 51/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IFN calculated?
We run Infragreen Group Ltd through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.5517, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Infragreen Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.6300. Our model-based fair value is A$0.5517, about −12% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Infragreen Group Ltd right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Infragreen Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
The market capitalisation of Infragreen Group Ltd is A$139M (≈ $97.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
Earnings per share at Infragreen Group Ltd are A$−0.3100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
The dividend yield of Infragreen Group Ltd is 0.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the return on equity of Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Infragreen Group Ltd is −16.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Infragreen Group Ltd is 3.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
The operating margin of Infragreen Group Ltd is −609% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
Revenue at Infragreen Group Ltd is growing +38.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −74.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
Earnings per share at Infragreen Group Ltd are growing +22.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN) generate?
The free cash flow of Infragreen Group Ltd is −A$23.4M (fiscal year 2020). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN) carry?
The net debt of Infragreen Group Ltd is A$477M (fiscal year 2020). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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