Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Infragreen Group Ltd stock A$0.61, price A$0.58, upside +5.2%, quality 71 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 12 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
16‑month range A$0.3250 – A$1.23 · fair‑value band A$0.4600 – A$0.7600 · the A$0.5800 price screens below the A$0.6100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Infragreen Group Limited engages in the recycling and waste recovery, and clean energy and transition businesses in Australia and New Zealand.
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It is involved in regulated waste recycling; ferrous and non-ferrous metals collection, processing, export, and recycling; solar energy generation; and gas- and diesel-powered peaking power activities. Infragreen Group Limited was incorporated in 2023 and is based in Fortitude Valley, Australia.
Stock analysis
Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN) currently trades at A$0.5800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.6100, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.9%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$1.39 per share, and 7 of the 12 models we run sit above the A$0.5800 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at A$0.4500, and 5 of the 12 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.4600 (bear) to A$0.7600 (bull), the price of A$0.5800 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2009: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2009.
Infragreen Group Ltd reported revenue of A$4.4M in FY2025 versus A$193M in FY2018, a compound −41.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$7.4M in FY2026, compounding −21.6%/yr from FY2019.
Key figures
Market cap A$127M (≈ $87.8M) Micro · P/E ratio 14.5 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0400 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Return on equity 5.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin −1,022% · Revenue growth (YoY) +38.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 78% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at 5%, IFN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$0.4600Fair Value A$0.6100BullA$0.7600
Price A$0.5800 · Upside +5.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0300 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2009: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2009.
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−56.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −29.0% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−25.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +52.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year≈ +50.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 50.7% / 3.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.30% → −20%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 9.2%/yr over ~12Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Base effect: the rate starts in the earnings trough around 2021 (starting value 0.004 per share, median 0.041 in 2016 to 2019). It measures the recovery from the trough, not lasting growth.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 155 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/8 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+5.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)5.2% · Below median
Return on assets4.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)38.9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.7% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Infragreen Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IFN
Frequently asked questions
Is Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.6100 versus a price of A$0.5800, about +5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of IFN?
Our model-based fair value for Infragreen Group Ltd is A$0.6100 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.5800.
What is the quality score of IFN?
Infragreen Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.6100 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.4600, optimistic scenario A$0.7600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Infragreen Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.6100, about +5% upside versus a price of A$0.5800 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.4600, optimistic scenario A$0.7600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Infragreen Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Infragreen Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.72% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Infragreen Group Ltd pays a dividend of A$0.01 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 10, 2026. The payout ratio is 25.0% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Infragreen Group Ltd it is A$0.6100 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of A$0.5800. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Infragreen Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, IFN trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.5800, fair value A$0.6100, a gap of about +5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IFN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.5800); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.6100). For Infragreen Group Ltd the two are A$0.0300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Infragreen Group Ltd worth?
The market values Infragreen Group Ltd at about A$127M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is A$0.5800; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.6100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IFN?
Our models span a range for Infragreen Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.4600, base A$0.6100, optimistic A$0.7600 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price A$0.5800). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of IFN?
Infragreen Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.5 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.6100 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Infragreen Group Ltd (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 5.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 71/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IFN from its 52-week high?
Infragreen Group Ltd trades at A$0.5800, about 39% below its 52-week high of A$0.9468 and 78% above the low of A$0.3250 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.6100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Infragreen Group Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Infragreen Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price A$0.5800, calculated fair value A$0.6100 (+5%), Quality Score 71/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IFN calculated?
We run Infragreen Group Ltd through 12 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.6100 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Infragreen Group Ltd currently trades 5% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.5800. Our model-based fair value is A$0.6100, about +5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Infragreen Group Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Infragreen Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
The market capitalisation of Infragreen Group Ltd is A$127M (≈ $87.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
Earnings per share at Infragreen Group Ltd are A$0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
The dividend yield of Infragreen Group Ltd is 1.7% (payout 25.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the return on equity of Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Infragreen Group Ltd is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Infragreen Group Ltd is 2.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
The operating margin of Infragreen Group Ltd is −1,022% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
Revenue at Infragreen Group Ltd is growing +38.9% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN)?
Earnings per share at Infragreen Group Ltd are growing +22.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN) generate?
The free cash flow of Infragreen Group Ltd is −A$23.4M (fiscal year 2020). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Infragreen Group Ltd (IFN) carry?
The net debt of Infragreen Group Ltd is A$477M (fiscal year 2020). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 4, 2026