Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Argosy Property Limited $0.40, price $0.75, upside -46.7%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.4334 – $0.9135 · fair‑value band $0.4000 – $0.6200 · the $0.7500 price screens above the $0.4000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Argosy Property Limited (APL or the Company) is an FMC Reporting Entity under the Financial Markets Conduct Act 2013 and the Financial Reporting Act 2013. APL is incorporated under the Companies Act 1993 and domiciled in New Zealand.
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Argosy Property Limited (APL or the Company) is an FMC Reporting Entity under the Financial Markets Conduct Act 2013 and the Financial Reporting Act 2013. APL is incorporated under the Companies Act 1993 and domiciled in New Zealand. The Company's principal activity is investment in properties which include Industrial, Office and Large Format Retail properties, predominantly in Auckland and Wellington. Argosy Property Limited was incorporated in 2002 in New Zealand.
Stock analysis
Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF) currently trades at $0.7500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4000, 46.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $0.8000 per share, and 3 of the 11 models we run sit above the $0.7500 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $0.1400, and 8 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.4000 (bear) to $0.6200 (bull), the price of $0.7500 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Argosy Property Limited reported revenue of 161M NZD in FY2026 versus 132M NZD in FY2022, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was 129M NZD in FY2026, compounding −14.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $655M · P/E ratio 8.3 · P/S ratio 6.66 · EPS (TTM) $0.0900 · Dividend yield 8.9% · Net margin 79.9% · Return on equity 9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at −47%, IGPYF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.4000Fair Value $0.4000Bull $0.6200
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0115 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.8% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+7.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)8.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−1.5% vs 10.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.92% → 68%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+48.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−1.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in NZD, New Zealand: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.0% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +45.4% a year for the price and −3.9% for the forecasts.
Compare Argosy Property Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Diversified · 154 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Below median
Fair Value upside−46.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets3.0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)79.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)67.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)8.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.54× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)8.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.82× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)7.23× · Pricier than median
P/FCF107.9× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA10.5× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)13· sector 16
PAST (return on equity)38· sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)73· sector 75
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 100
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4000 versus a price of $0.7500, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IGPYF?
Our model-based fair value for Argosy Property Limited is $0.4000 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.7500.
What is the quality score of IGPYF?
Argosy Property Limited has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.4000 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.4000, optimistic scenario $0.6200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Argosy Property Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.4000, about −47% upside versus a price of $0.7500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.4000, optimistic scenario $0.6200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF)?
Argosy Property Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 160M NZD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Argosy Property Limited pay a dividend?
Argosy Property Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.93% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Argosy Property Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +48.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of IGPYF use?
Our models discount Argosy Property Limited at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.36, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Argosy Property Limited that is +48.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Argosy Property Limited grew +4.2 % a year. The price currently implies +48.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Argosy Property Limited (+48.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.63 %: that much free cash flow Argosy Property Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Argosy Property Limited it is $0.4000 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.7500. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Argosy Property Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, IGPYF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.7500, fair value $0.4000, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IGPYF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.7500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4000). For Argosy Property Limited the two are $0.3500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Argosy Property Limited worth?
The market values Argosy Property Limited at about $655M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.7500; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IGPYF?
Our models span a range for Argosy Property Limited: cautious scenario $0.4000, base $0.4000, optimistic $0.6200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.7500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of IGPYF?
Argosy Property Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.4000 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 7.2, EV/EBITDA 10.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Argosy Property Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.4%, debt of 0.54 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IGPYF from its 52-week high?
Argosy Property Limited trades at $0.7500, at its 52-week high of $0.7500 and 23% above the low of $0.6085 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Argosy Property Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Goodman Group, VICI Properties Inc, W. P. Carey Inc, The GPT Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Argosy Property Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.7500, calculated fair value $0.4000 (−47%), Quality Score 53/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IGPYF calculated?
We run Argosy Property Limited through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.4000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Argosy Property Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $0.7500. Our model-based fair value is $0.4000, about −47% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Argosy Property Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.6200). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF) come from?
Earnings per share at Argosy Property Limited grew +6.7 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.9 %, EBIT margin −4.0 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +6.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Argosy Property Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF)?
The market capitalisation of Argosy Property Limited is $655M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Argosy Property Limited is 6.66 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF)?
Earnings per share at Argosy Property Limited are $0.0900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF)?
The dividend yield of Argosy Property Limited is 8.9% (payout 74.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF)?
The net margin of Argosy Property Limited is 79.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Argosy Property Limited is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Argosy Property Limited is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF)?
The operating margin of Argosy Property Limited is 67.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF)?
Revenue at Argosy Property Limited is growing +2.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF)?
Earnings per share at Argosy Property Limited are growing −29.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Argosy Property Limited (IGPYF) carry?
The net debt of Argosy Property Limited is 901M NZD (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 84.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026