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Ihlas Yayin Holding (IHYAY) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · TR · Market cap 567M TRY

IY Ihlas Yayin Holding IHYAY · IS
Price1.26 TRY
Fair Value3.73 TRY
Upside+196.0%
Quality32/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -9.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range 2.65 TRY – 4.81 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −9.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 196% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (32/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (2.65 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (2.65 TRY to 4.81 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

6.86 TRY 0.6100 TRY Fair Value 3.73 TRY May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.6100 TRY – 6.86 TRY · fair‑value band 2.65 TRY – 4.81 TRY · the 1.26 TRY price screens below the 3.73 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Ihlas Yayin Holding (IHYAY) currently trades at 1.26 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.73 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 196.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Ihlas Yayin Holding generated revenue of 3.4B TRY at a net margin of -9.9%. Revenue declined 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.3%. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2.65 TRY (bear case) to 4.81 TRY (bull case); at 1.26 TRY, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at 196%, IHYAY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 3.66 TRY 6.23 TRY 10.27 TRY 80
Rev-Margin DCF 3.44 TRY 6.07 TRY 11.40 TRY 74
NCAV (Graham) 0.7900 TRY 1.06 TRY 1.58 TRY 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 3.90 TRY 5.63 TRY 10.81 TRY 38
5Y Revenue Exit 3.21 TRY 5.32 TRY 9.73 TRY 39
10Y Revenue Exit 3.36 TRY 6.84 TRY 8.94 TRY 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue 2.65 TRY 3.73 TRY 4.81 TRY 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.7900 TRY 1.06 TRY 1.58 TRY 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 3.66 TRY 6.23 TRY 10.27 TRY 80
Rev-Margin DCF 3.44 TRY 6.07 TRY 11.40 TRY 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (6.07 TRY) versus Asset-Based (1.06 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.4B TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.2%
Net margin -9.9%
Return on equity -5.3%
Free cash flow 125M TRY FY2025
Operating margin -21.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.4300 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) +80.5%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 3
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ihlas Yayin Holding A.S., through its subsidiaries, engages in media, publishing, and advertising businesses in Turkey. It publishes newspaper under the Türkiye Newspaper name; operates news agency, which provides video news service and news reporting and content production services to private corporations in Turkey; and produces and publishes special news …

Full company description

Ihlas Yayin Holding A.S., through its subsidiaries, engages in media, publishing, and advertising businesses in Turkey. It publishes newspaper under the Türkiye Newspaper name; operates news agency, which provides video news service and news reporting and content production services to private corporations in Turkey; and produces and publishes special news through TGRT News TV. The company also broadcasts live news and programs, television and radio broadcasting, production, shooting, dubbing of television films, videos and advertising programs, television channels, renting and establishing radio stations through digital platforms, such as Türksat Cable TV and D-smart, as well as over the internet through tgrthaber.com.tr website; and broadcasts educational, relaxing, and informative documentaries. In addition, it provides integrated services, including prepress, printing, and post-press services for various products, such as newspapers, magazines, promotional materials, and books, as well as broadcasts programming through TGRT FM radio. Further, the company engages in the digital assets business that offers web design, mobile content and applications, internet software, and social media management services. Ihlas Yayin Holding A.S. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ihlas Yayin Holding reported revenue of 3.4B TRY in FY2025 versus 333M TRY in FY2021, a compound +78.4%/yr. Reported net income was −340M TRY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.4B TRY
Latest YoY
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+66.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+67.9%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y)
+22.9%
Revenue +78.4%/yr
FY21 333M TRY
FY22 733M TRY
FY23 2.6B TRY
FY24 3.2B TRY
FY25 3.4B TRY
Net income
FY21 31.9M TRY
FY22 92.9M TRY
FY23 −526M TRY
FY24 −297M TRY
FY25 −340M TRY

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ihlas Yayin Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IHYAY

Peer Group

Publishing · 110 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +196% · Top 25%
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -21% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -2% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 40
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 21
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 57

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ihlas Yayin Holding (IHYAY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.73 TRY versus a price of 1.26 TRY, about +196% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of IHYAY?
Our model-based fair value for Ihlas Yayin Holding is 3.73 TRY (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1.26 TRY.
What is the quality score of IHYAY?
Ihlas Yayin Holding has a Quality Score of 32/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ihlas Yayin Holding (IHYAY)?
Ihlas Yayin Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.4B TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IHYAY?
The net profit margin of Ihlas Yayin Holding is about -9.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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