InCoax Networks AB (INCOAX) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · SE · Market cap 137M SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −3.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 54% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.6715). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (13/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 0.3315 to kr 0.6715) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 0.4330 – kr 7.02 · fair‑value band kr 0.3315 – kr 0.6715 · the kr 0.9820 price screens above the kr 0.4505 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
InCoax Networks AB (INCOAX) currently trades at kr 0.9820, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.4505, implying the stock looks roughly 54.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 13/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, InCoax Networks AB generated revenue of 45.0M SEK at a net margin of -99.3%. Revenue declined 79.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -38.0%. Net debt stands at 14.5M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 0.3315 (bear case) to kr 0.6715 (bull case); at kr 0.9820, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 149% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -54%, INCOAX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 17 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
InCoax Networks AB (publ) re-purposes existing property coaxial networks in fiber and fixed wireless access extension deployments for communication service providers in the European Union, North America, and internationally.
Full company description
InCoax Networks AB (publ) re-purposes existing property coaxial networks in fiber and fixed wireless access extension deployments for communication service providers in the European Union, North America, and internationally. The company offers InCoax DPU D2501 for fiber access extension deployments in small multi-dwelling units (MDUs) in P2MP coaxial networks; in:xtnd Control, a fiber access extension for MDUs in P2P and P2MP coaxial networks; InCoax Access modems; and InCoax Combine frequency combiners. It also provides MoCA Access 2.5 Control units and distribution point units; InCoax Access A251, a series of MoCA over coax network termination equipment (NTE) modems; InCoax Access A101, a series of reliable coax NTE modems; and InCoax Manage coax link manager (CLM), an advanced cloud-based element manager. InCoax Networks AB (publ) was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Lund, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
InCoax Networks AB reported revenue of kr 48.1M in FY2025 versus kr 20.9M in FY2021, a compound +23.1%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 32.6M in FY2025.
INCOAX screens 54% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →
Peer Group
Communication Equipment · 288 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $119.25 | $43.05 | -64% |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥1,094 | ¥171.09 | -84% |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥56.50 | ¥28.65 | -49% |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥482.88 | ¥155.05 | -68% |
| Nokia Oyj NOK | $11.25 | $2.67 | -76% |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $413.31 | $190.43 | -54% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥244.13 | ¥32.04 | -87% |
| Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC | $11.72 | $15.96 | +36% |
| Accton Technology Corporation 2345 | 2,090 TWD | 846.28 TWD | -60% |
| ZTE Corporation 000063 | ¥40.00 | ¥15.75 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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