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POSCO-Thainox Public Company (INOX) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · TH · Market cap 3.2B THB

PT POSCO-Thainox Public Company INOX · BK
Price4.18 THB
Fair Value6.62 THB
Upside+58.5%
Quality58/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 1.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: Medium Range 6.00 THB – 7.26 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 4.87 THB to 6.62 THB (+36.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +1.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 58% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (6.00 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

14.27 THB 3.50 THB Fair Value 6.62 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 3.50 THB – 14.27 THB · fair‑value band 6.00 THB – 7.26 THB · the 4.18 THB price screens below the 6.62 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

POSCO-Thainox Public Company (INOX) currently trades at 4.18 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 6.62 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 58.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, POSCO-Thainox Public Company generated revenue of 13.2B THB at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue declined 0.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.3B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 6.00 THB (bear case) to 7.26 THB (bull case); at 4.18 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at 58%, INOX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder 3.59 THB 3.68 THB 3.77 THB 72
Gordon GGM 2.02 THB 2.43 THB 2.87 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 2.02 THB 2.65 THB 3.41 THB 61
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 4.42 THB 4.89 THB 5.80 THB 31
Earnings-Based
EPV 3.59 THB 3.68 THB 3.77 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 2.02 THB 2.43 THB 2.87 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 2.02 THB 2.65 THB 3.41 THB 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT 4.38 THB 4.85 THB 5.31 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 7.09 THB 8.46 THB 9.83 THB 54
EV/Revenue 4.19 THB 4.71 THB 5.23 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 5.80 THB 7.77 THB 11.60 THB 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 3.59 THB 3.68 THB 3.77 THB 72

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (7.77 THB) versus Dividend Discount (2.43 THB). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 13.2B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.4%
Net margin 1.2%
Return on equity 1.7%
Free cash flow −422M THB FY2025
P/E ratio 21.7
More key figures
Operating margin 2.3%
EPS (TTM) 0.2000 THB
EPS growth (YoY) -35.9%
Net cash 2.3B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 38
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

POSCO-Thainox Public Company Limited engages in the production and sale of cold-rolled stainless-steel products in Thailand, South Korea, the United States, Germany, Vietnam, Turkey, India, Hong Kong, and internationally.

Full company description

POSCO-Thainox Public Company Limited engages in the production and sale of cold-rolled stainless-steel products in Thailand, South Korea, the United States, Germany, Vietnam, Turkey, India, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company offers austenitic and ferritic stainless-steel products used in seat belts, spring coils, water tanks, construction work, transportation, pipes, pit containers, food manufacturing industry, boilers, heat exchangers, chemical industry, and large and hot water tanks, as well as in household appliances, such as kitchenette, sinks, and washing machines. The company was formerly known as Thainox Stainless Public Company Limited and changed its name to POSCO-Thainox Public Company Limited in 2011. POSCO-Thainox Public Company Limited was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand. POSCO-Thainox Public Company Limited is a subsidiary of POSCO Holdings Inc.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

POSCO-Thainox Public Company reported revenue of 13.3B THB in FY2025 versus 19.1B THB in FY2021, a compound −8.8%/yr. Reported net income was −62.0M THB in FY2025.

Growth Quality 19/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
13.3B THB
Latest YoY
−7.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−17.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.1%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.4%
Revenue −8.8%/yr
FY21 19.1B THB
FY22 23.5B THB
FY23 14.1B THB
FY24 14.4B THB
FY25 13.3B THB
Net income
FY21 886M THB
FY22 206M THB
FY23 −73.1M THB
FY24 351M THB
FY25 −62.0M THB

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "POSCO-Thainox Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/INOX

Peer Group

Steel · 378 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +59% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.35× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.24× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 19
FUTURE 0 · sector 4
PAST 7 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tata Steel Limited TTST $0.2010 $0.2000 -0%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,227 ₹1,140 -7%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.89 ¥8.07 +37%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.55 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 313,500 KRW 155,270 KRW -50%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,940 ARS +17%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,844 ₹1,098 -40%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 42.64 MXN -49%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,210 ARS +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is POSCO-Thainox Public Company (INOX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 6.62 THB versus a price of 4.18 THB, about +58% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of INOX?
Our model-based fair value for POSCO-Thainox Public Company is 6.62 THB (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 4.18 THB.
What is the quality score of INOX?
POSCO-Thainox Public Company has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of POSCO-Thainox Public Company (INOX)?
POSCO-Thainox Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 13.2B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of INOX?
The net profit margin of POSCO-Thainox Public Company is about 1.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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