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Irish Continental Group (IR5B) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IE · Market cap €950M

IC Irish Continental Group IR5B · IR
Price€6.28
Fair Value€7.16
Upside+14.0%
Quality71/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.58% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Moderate moat 64/100
Evidence: High Range €3.97 – €11.36 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −1.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 14% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (€3.97 to €11.36). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Our model range runs from €3.97 (bear) to €11.36 (bull), base €7.16. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 71/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€6.80 €3.03 Fair Value €7.16 Apr 2021 Jun 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €3.03 – €6.80 · fair‑value band €3.97 – €11.36 · the €6.28 price screens below the €7.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Irish Continental Group (IR5B) currently trades at €6.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €7.16, implying the stock looks roughly 14.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Irish Continental Group generated revenue of €667M at a net margin of 11.2%. Revenue grew 12.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.7%. Net debt stands at €134M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €3.97 (bear case) to €11.36 (bull case); at €6.28, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at 14%, IR5B screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €2.19 €3.36 €4.81 80
Residual Income €2.87 €3.90 €18.02 76
Rev-Margin DCF €3.34 €6.04 €9.11 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €2.17 €3.51 €5.29 38
Owner Earnings €1.54 €2.60 €4.01 31
5Y Revenue Exit €3.34 €6.06 €9.54 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €5.60 €10.27 €15.75 41
5Y P/E Exit €4.57 €8.35 €12.32 38
10Y Revenue Exit €2.68 €4.90 €7.89 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €4.13 €7.57 €12.21 37
10Y P/E Exit €3.53 €6.36 €9.82 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €3.43 €10.59 €14.07 54
Lynch FV €2.29 €3.27 €4.25 50
PEG = 1.0 €2.29 €3.27 €4.25 46
EPV €3.30 €3.87 €4.34 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple €7.95 €10.60 €13.25 63
P/S Multiple €6.43 €8.58 €10.72 58
P/B Multiple €6.43 €8.58 €10.72 55
EV/EBIT €6.50 €8.95 €11.40 53
EV/EBITDA €9.04 €12.34 €15.64 54
EV/Revenue €4.40 €6.65 €8.90 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.9600 €1.28 €1.91 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €2.19 €3.36 €4.81 80
Rev-Margin DCF €3.34 €6.04 €9.11 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €2.87 €3.90 €18.02 76
ROIC Compounder €3.51 €4.44 €5.46 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €6.55 €9.36 €12.17 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€9.36) versus Asset-Based (€1.28). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €667M
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.1%
Net margin 11.2%
Return on equity 24.7%
Free cash flow €47.9M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.9
More key figures
Operating margin 17.4%
EPS (TTM) €0.4600
Dividend yield 2.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +26.2%
Net debt €134M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 75
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Irish Continental Group plc operates as a maritime transport company in Ireland, the United Kingdom, and Continental Europe. It operates through two segments, Ferries, and Container and Terminal. The Ferries segment provides ferry services carrying passengers and roll on roll off freight on short sea routes; and chartering services.

Full company description

Irish Continental Group plc operates as a maritime transport company in Ireland, the United Kingdom, and Continental Europe. It operates through two segments, Ferries, and Container and Terminal. The Ferries segment provides ferry services carrying passengers and roll on roll off freight on short sea routes; and chartering services. The Container and Terminal segment provides door-to-door and feeder lift on lift off freight services under the Eucon brand; stevedoring; and other related terminal services, as well as operates container terminals in the ports of Dublin and Belfast. It provides container shipping, ship leasing, administration, and container handling services. The company also operates ferry; acts as a shipping and forwarding agents; and engages in non-trading activities. Irish Continental Group plc was founded in 1972 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Irish Continental Group reported revenue of €667M in FY2025 versus €335M in FY2021, a compound +18.8%/yr. Reported net income was €74.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€667M
Latest YoY
+10.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+19.2%
Avg. growth/yr (39Y)
+8.1%
Revenue +18.8%/yr
FY21 €335M
FY22 €585M
FY23 €572M
FY24 €604M
FY25 €667M
Net income
FY21 −€4.9M
FY22 €59.8M
FY23 €61.6M
FY24 €59.9M
FY25 €74.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Irish Continental Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IR5B

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 231 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +14% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Above median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.57× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.87× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.65× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 22.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 8.72× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 52 · sector 29
FUTURE 61 · sector 18
PAST 99 · sector 27
HEALTH 71 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 52 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,828 ₹1,041 -43%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,520 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥13.98 ¥40.37 +189%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.57 +27%
HMM Co 011200 20,050 KRW 33,855 KRW +69%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.35 ¥5.58 +67%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.88 ¥15.97 +80%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹330.05 ₹126.31 -62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 80.70 TWD 212.79 TWD +164%
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI kr 137.70 kr 50.56 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Irish Continental Group (IR5B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €7.16 versus a price of €6.28, about +14% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of IR5B?
Our model-based fair value for Irish Continental Group is €7.16 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €6.28.
What is the quality score of IR5B?
Irish Continental Group has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Irish Continental Group (IR5B)?
Irish Continental Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €667M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IR5B?
The net profit margin of Irish Continental Group is about 11.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Irish Continental Group pay a dividend?
Irish Continental Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.58% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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