Irish Residential Properties (IRES) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Irish Residential Properties €1.05, price €1.08, upside -2.4%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.8210 – €1.58 · fair‑value band €0.4200 – €1.32 · the €1.08 price screens above the €1.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Irish Residential Properties REIT plc is a Real Estate Investment Trust providing quality professionally managed homes in sustainable communities in Ireland.
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Irish Residential Properties REIT plc is a Real Estate Investment Trust providing quality professionally managed homes in sustainable communities in Ireland. IRES aims to be the provider of choice for the Irish living sector, known for excellent service and for operating responsibly, minimising its environmental impact, and maximising its contribution to the community. Irish Residential Properties REIT Plc was incorporated in 2013 in Ireland.
Stock analysis
Irish Residential Properties (IRES) currently trades at €1.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.05, implying the stock looks roughly 2.5% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €1.12 per share, and 4 of the 15 models we run sit above the €1.08 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €0.5900, and 11 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €0.4200 (bear) to €1.32 (bull), the price of €1.08 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Irish Residential Properties reported revenue of €85.5M in FY2025 versus €79.7M in FY2021, a compound +1.7%/yr. Reported net income was €49.8M in FY2025, compounding −7.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €564M · P/E ratio 6.7 · P/S ratio 3.91 · EPS (TTM) €0.1600 · Dividend yield 4.6% · Net margin 58.2% · Return on equity 11.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −2%, IRES screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €0.4200Fair Value €1.05Bull €1.32
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0805 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.68/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.2% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−1.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6% vs −2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.63% → 63%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.7% a year for the price.
Compare Irish Residential Properties with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Residential · 43 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Return on assets3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)95% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)62% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.78× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Residential median · lower = cheaper
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Is Irish Residential Properties (IRES) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.05 versus a price of €1.08, about −2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of IRES?
Our model-based fair value for Irish Residential Properties is €1.05 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.08.
What is the quality score of IRES?
Irish Residential Properties has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Irish Residential Properties (IRES)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €1.05 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.4200, optimistic scenario €1.32. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Irish Residential Properties stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €1.05, about −2% upside versus a price of €1.08 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €0.4200, optimistic scenario €1.32. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Irish Residential Properties (IRES)?
Irish Residential Properties reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €85.9M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Irish Residential Properties pay a dividend?
Irish Residential Properties currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.65% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Irish Residential Properties (IRES)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Irish Residential Properties would have to grow free cash flow by +12.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of IRES use?
Our models discount Irish Residential Properties at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.74, country premium for Ireland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Irish Residential Properties that is +12.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Irish Residential Properties (IRES) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Irish Residential Properties grew +2.7 % a year. The price currently implies +12.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Irish Residential Properties (IRES) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Irish Residential Properties (+12.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Irish Residential Properties (IRES)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.00 %: that much free cash flow Irish Residential Properties produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Irish Residential Properties (IRES)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Irish Residential Properties it is €1.05 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €1.08. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Irish Residential Properties stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, IRES trades above its calculated fair value: price €1.08, fair value €1.05, a gap of about −2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IRES?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.08); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€1.05). For Irish Residential Properties the two are €0.0260 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Irish Residential Properties worth?
The market values Irish Residential Properties at about €564M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €1.08; our models calculate a fair value of €1.05 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IRES?
Our models span a range for Irish Residential Properties: cautious scenario €0.4200, base €1.05, optimistic €1.32 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €1.08). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of IRES?
Irish Residential Properties trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €1.05 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 7.5, EV/EBITDA 21.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Irish Residential Properties (IRES)?
Balance-sheet figures for Irish Residential Properties (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.7%, debt of 0.78 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IRES from its 52-week high?
Irish Residential Properties trades at €1.08, about 9% below its 52-week high of €1.18 and 19% above the low of €0.9040 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €1.05 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Irish Residential Properties?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Essex Property Trust, Inc, Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc, Sun Communities, Inc, UDR, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Irish Residential Properties stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €1.08, calculated fair value €1.05 (−2%), Quality Score 66/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IRES calculated?
We run Irish Residential Properties through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €1.05, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Irish Residential Properties itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Irish Residential Properties (IRES)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €1.08. Our model-based fair value is €1.05, about −2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Irish Residential Properties right now?
The model range is unusually wide (€0.4200 to €1.32). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Irish Residential Properties
How large is the market capitalisation of Irish Residential Properties (IRES)?
The market capitalisation of Irish Residential Properties is €564M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Irish Residential Properties (IRES)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Irish Residential Properties is 3.91 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Irish Residential Properties (IRES)?
Earnings per share at Irish Residential Properties are €0.1600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Irish Residential Properties (IRES)?
The dividend yield of Irish Residential Properties is 4.6% (payout 31.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Irish Residential Properties (IRES)?
The net margin of Irish Residential Properties is 58.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Irish Residential Properties (IRES)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Irish Residential Properties is 11.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Irish Residential Properties (IRES)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Irish Residential Properties is 3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Irish Residential Properties (IRES)?
The operating margin of Irish Residential Properties is 62.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Irish Residential Properties (IRES)?
Revenue at Irish Residential Properties is growing +1.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Irish Residential Properties (IRES)?
Earnings per share at Irish Residential Properties are growing +194% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Irish Residential Properties (IRES) carry?
The net debt of Irish Residential Properties is €532M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 9.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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