Israel Canada (ISCN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Israel Canada ILS 1.44, price ILS 14.03, upside -89.7%, quality 23 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value 1.44 ILA · Strongly overvalued (−89.7%)
!Quality 23/100
!Weak Growth(revenue 5y +35.4 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -0.3% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 3.3%
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers(1/11)
!Narrow moat18/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 6.24 ILA – 25.16 ILA · fair‑value band 1.08 ILA – 1.80 ILA · the 14.03 ILA price screens above the 1.44 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Pangaea Real-Estate Ltd. is a principal investment firm specializing in investments in real estate. The firm seeks to invest in Europe. Pangaea Real-Estate Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is based in Ramat Gan, Israel.
Stock analysis
Israel Canada (ISCN) currently trades at 14.03 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.44 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 874.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 5.28 ILA per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the 14.03 ILA price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.9400 ILA, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1.08 ILA (bear) to 1.80 ILA (bull), the price of 14.03 ILA sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Israel Canada reported revenue of 877M ILS in FY2025 versus 351M ILS in FY2021, a compound +25.7%/yr. Reported net income was 28.8M ILS in FY2025, compounding −52.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 6.1B ILA · P/S ratio 7.00 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 3.3% · Return on equity −1.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1% · Operating margin −21.1% · Revenue (TTM) 872M ILA.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −90%, ISCN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1.08 ILAFair Value 1.44 ILABull 1.80 ILA
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+74.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +18.0% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−28.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−28.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−28.7% vs −12.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.49% → 6%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 575 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−89.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−0.1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−0.3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−21.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.04× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.74× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)2.29× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)2· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)48· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)8· sector 55
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Israel Canada Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ISCN
Frequently asked questions
Is Israel Canada (ISCN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.44 ILA versus a price of 14.03 ILA, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ISCN?
Our model-based fair value for Israel Canada is 1.44 ILA (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 14.03 ILA.
What is the quality score of ISCN?
Israel Canada has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Israel Canada (ISCN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.44 ILA (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.08 ILA, optimistic scenario 1.80 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Israel Canada stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.44 ILA, about −90% upside versus a price of 14.03 ILA (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.08 ILA, optimistic scenario 1.80 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Israel Canada (ISCN)?
Israel Canada reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 872M ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Israel Canada pay a dividend?
Israel Canada currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.41% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Israel Canada (ISCN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Israel Canada it is 1.44 ILA per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 14.03 ILA. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Israel Canada stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, ISCN trades above its calculated fair value: price 14.03 ILA, fair value 1.44 ILA, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ISCN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (14.03 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.44 ILA). For Israel Canada the two are 12.59 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Israel Canada worth?
The market values Israel Canada at about 6.1B ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 14.03 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 1.44 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ISCN?
Our models span a range for Israel Canada: cautious scenario 1.08 ILA, base 1.44 ILA, optimistic 1.80 ILA per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 14.03 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Israel Canada (ISCN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Israel Canada (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −1.8%, debt of 1.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 23/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ISCN from its 52-week high?
Israel Canada trades at 14.03 ILA, about 44% below its 52-week high of 25.16 ILA and 10% above the low of 12.76 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.44 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Israel Canada?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Israel Canada stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 14.03 ILA, calculated fair value 1.44 ILA (−90%), Quality Score 23/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ISCN calculated?
We run Israel Canada through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.44 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Israel Canada itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Israel Canada (ISCN)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 14.03 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 1.44 ILA, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Israel Canada right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.80 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Israel Canada (ISCN) come from?
Earnings per share at Israel Canada grew +1.1 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.4 %, EBIT margin +4.5 %, tax rate +2.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −10.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Israel Canada
How large is the market capitalisation of Israel Canada (ISCN)?
The market capitalisation of Israel Canada is 6.1B ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Israel Canada (ISCN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Israel Canada is 7.00 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Israel Canada (ISCN)?
The dividend yield of Israel Canada is 0.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Israel Canada (ISCN)?
The net margin of Israel Canada is 3.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Israel Canada (ISCN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Israel Canada is −1.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Israel Canada (ISCN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Israel Canada is 4.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Israel Canada (ISCN)?
The operating margin of Israel Canada is −21.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Israel Canada (ISCN)?
Revenue at Israel Canada is growing +0.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −16.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Israel Canada (ISCN)?
Earnings per share at Israel Canada are growing −61.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Israel Canada (ISCN) generate?
The free cash flow of Israel Canada is −728M ILA (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Israel Canada (ISCN) carry?
The net debt of Israel Canada is 7.4B ILA (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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