ITOCHU Corporation (ITOCY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $82.3B
Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 26, 2026, revised from $14.39 to $14.16 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +9.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 11% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from $10.62 (bear) to $17.70 (bull), base $14.16. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 59/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.75 – $14.42 · fair‑value band $10.62 – $17.70 · the $12.78 price screens below the $14.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
Analysis
ITOCHU Corporation (ITOCY) currently trades at $12.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.16, implying the stock looks roughly 10.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, ITOCHU Corporation generated revenue of $14.8T at a net margin of 6.1%. Revenue grew 4.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.9%. Net debt stands at $4.2T. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $10.62 (bear case) to $17.70 (bull case); at $12.78, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 11%, ITOCY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($37.57) versus Economic Profit ($2.49). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ITOCHU Corporation trades and imports/exports various products worldwide.It operates through eight segments: Textile, Machinery, Metals & Minerals, Energy & Chemicals, Food, General Products & Realty, ICT & Financial Business, and The 8th.
Full company description
ITOCHU Corporation trades and imports/exports various products worldwide.It operates through eight segments: Textile, Machinery, Metals & Minerals, Energy & Chemicals, Food, General Products & Realty, ICT & Financial Business, and The 8th. The company produces and sells raw materials, threads, and textiles; and garments, home furnishings, and industrial materials. It also engages in the plants, bridges, railways, and other infrastructure; power generation, transmission, transformation, and electricity sale; water, environment and waste-related; trading of ships, aircraft, automobiles, construction and industrial machinery, machine tools, environmental equipment, electronic devices, and related equipment; renewable and alternative energy; and waste recycling businesses. In addition, the company develops metal and mineral resource; processes steel products; trades iron ore, coal, pig iron and ferrous raw materials, non-ferrous and light metals, steel products, nuclear fuels, and greenhouse gas emissions; and waste treatment activities. Further, it trades in energy, chemical, and power including renewable energy; produces and distributes food; and develops new business fields and cultivates new partners. The company also engages in pulp and paper, natural rubber, building products and materials, tire and automotive aftermarket related, and logistics business; development, sales, lease, and operation of real estate; IT solutions, internet-related services, business process outsourcing, medical and healthcare, satellite, content, and distribution of mobile phone devices and after-sales services; and financial and insurance services. The company was founded in 1858 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
ITOCHU Corporation reported revenue of ¥15.7T in FY2026 versus ¥12.3T in FY2022, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥955B in FY2026, compounding +3.9%/yr from FY2022.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Is It Time To Reassess ITOCHU (TSE:8001) After Its Strong Multi Year Rally?
- Nanoramic’s NXSP Rollout Tests ITOCHU’s Battery Materials Strategy and Supply Chain Ambitions (TSE:8001)
Peer Group
Conglomerates · 371 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$11.28 | HK$22.56 | +100% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 580,000 KRW | 497,919 KRW | -14% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,810 IDR | 9,620 IDR | +100% |
| The Siam Cement Public Company SCC | 254.00 THB | 199.40 THB | -21% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,875 | ₹1,053 | -63% |
| Empresas Copec S.A COPEC | 6,330 CLP | 10,879 CLP | +72% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 50,900 KRW | 61,248 KRW | +20% |
| Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA | ₹2,940 | ₹559.30 | -81% |
| Doosan Corporation 000155 | 464,000 KRW | 75,620 KRW | -84% |
| Thermax Limited THERMAX | ₹4,809 | ₹1,087 | -77% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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