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Itaú Unibanco Holding (ITUB3) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · BR · Market cap R$499B

IU Itaú Unibanco Holding ITUB3 · SA
PriceR$44.87
Fair ValueR$52.12
Upside+16.2%
Quality66/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 33.3% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
7.38% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Wide moat 74/100
Evidence: High Range R$39.09 – R$65.14 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from R$58.19 to R$52.12 (−10.4%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price +0.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 16% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
  • Our model range runs from R$39.09 (bear) to R$65.14 (bull), base R$52.12. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 66/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R$46.44 R$10.44 Fair Value R$52.12 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$10.44 – R$46.44 · fair‑value band R$39.09 – R$65.14 · the R$44.87 price screens below the R$52.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Itaú Unibanco Holding (ITUB3) currently trades at R$44.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$52.12, implying the stock looks roughly 16.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Itaú Unibanco Holding generated revenue of R$138B at a net margin of 33.3%. Revenue declined 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.8%. Net debt stands at R$742B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$39.09 (bear case) to R$65.14 (bull case); at R$44.87, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 16%, ITUB3 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF R$145.40 R$255.99 R$448.66 80
Residual Income R$25.45 R$30.45 R$80.46 76
ROIC Compounder R$38.06 R$54.30 R$76.22 72
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF R$144.55 R$258.67 R$456.68 38
Owner Earnings R$52.16 R$96.71 R$174.02 31
5Y Revenue Exit R$55.60 R$77.68 R$103.76 39
5Y EBITDA Exit R$72.37 R$111.01 R$156.03 41
5Y P/E Exit R$78.54 R$123.27 R$171.44 38
10Y Revenue Exit R$83.21 R$112.88 R$150.80 36
10Y EBITDA Exit R$95.16 R$137.36 R$194.03 37
10Y P/E Exit R$99.28 R$146.36 R$206.77 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$27.26 R$110.46 R$150.30 54
Lynch FV R$27.61 R$39.45 R$51.28 50
PEG = 1.0 R$27.61 R$39.45 R$51.28 46
EPV R$33.40 R$40.53 R$46.87 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$41.52 R$90.65 R$152.52 70
DDM Multi-Stage R$41.52 R$74.25 R$94.47 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$60.13 R$80.18 R$100.22 63
P/S Multiple R$23.28 R$31.04 R$38.81 58
P/B Multiple R$41.12 R$54.83 R$68.54 55
EV/EBIT R$53.61 R$73.82 R$94.03 53
EV/EBITDA R$43.20 R$59.94 R$76.68 54
EV/Revenue R$14.71 R$24.03 R$33.34 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$9.14 R$12.25 R$18.28 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R$145.40 R$255.99 R$448.66 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$25.45 R$30.45 R$80.46 76
ROIC Compounder R$38.06 R$54.30 R$76.22 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$46.75 R$66.78 R$86.82 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (R$255.99) versus Asset-Based (R$12.25). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$138B
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.1%
Net margin 33.3%
Return on equity 21.8%
Free cash flow R$131B FY2025
P/E ratio 11.0
More key figures
Operating margin 33.1%
EPS (TTM) R$4.12
Dividend yield 7.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +11.4%
Net debt R$742B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 69
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 94
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 44
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. provides various financial products and services to personal and corporate customers in Brazil and internationally. It operates through three segments: Retail Business, Wholesale Business and Activities with the Market + Corporation.

Full company description

Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. provides various financial products and services to personal and corporate customers in Brazil and internationally. It operates through three segments: Retail Business, Wholesale Business and Activities with the Market + Corporation. The company offers current accounts; funds management; payments and collections; loans; credit and debit cards; investment and commercial banking services; real estate lending and financing services; economic, financial and brokerage advisory; and leasing and foreign exchange services. The company also provides non-life insurance products covering loss, damage, or liability for objects or people, as well as life insurance products covering death and personal accidents. It serves retail customers, account and non-account holders, individuals and legal entities, high income clients, microenterprises, and small companies, as well as middle-market companies and high net worth institutional clients. The company was formerly known as Itaú Unibanco Banco Múltiplo S.A. and changed its name to Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. in April 2009. The company was incorporated in 1924 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil. Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. is a subsidiary of IUPAR - Itaú Unibanco Participações S.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Itaú Unibanco Holding reported revenue of R$139B in FY2025 versus R$122B in FY2021, a compound +3.3%/yr. Reported net income was R$44.9B in FY2025, compounding +13.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
R$139B
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+38.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+23.8%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+15.0%
Revenue +3.3%/yr
FY21 R$122B
FY22 R$139B
FY23 R$125B
FY24 R$326B
FY25 R$139B
Net income +13.8%/yr
FY21 R$26.8B
FY22 R$29.2B
FY23 R$33.1B
FY24 R$41.1B
FY25 R$44.9B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Itaú Unibanco Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ITUB3

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1082 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +16% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 33% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 33% · Below median
Revenue growth -2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.71× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.44× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.61× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.53× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 55 · sector 39
FUTURE 0 · sector 44
PAST 87 · sector 41
HEALTH 15 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 49

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Itaú Unibanco Holding (ITUB3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$52.12 versus a price of R$44.87, about +16% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ITUB3?
Our model-based fair value for Itaú Unibanco Holding is R$52.12 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$44.87.
What is the quality score of ITUB3?
Itaú Unibanco Holding has a Quality Score of 66/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Itaú Unibanco Holding (ITUB3)?
Itaú Unibanco Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$138B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ITUB3?
The net profit margin of Itaú Unibanco Holding is about 33.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 33.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Itaú Unibanco Holding pay a dividend?
Itaú Unibanco Holding currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.42% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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