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Izostal S.A (IZS) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · PL · Market cap 97.6M PLN

IS Izostal S.A IZS · WAR
Price3.06 PLN
Fair Value6.64 PLN
Upside+117.0%
Quality66/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.67% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/13)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: High Range 5.21 PLN – 8.30 PLN Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +2.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 117% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (5.21 PLN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

3.57 PLN 1.91 PLN Fair Value 6.64 PLN Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.91 PLN – 3.57 PLN · fair‑value band 5.21 PLN – 8.30 PLN · the 3.06 PLN price screens below the 6.64 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Izostal S.A (IZS) currently trades at 3.06 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 6.64 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 117.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Izostal S.A generated revenue of 1.1B PLN at a net margin of 2.4%. Revenue declined 50.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.2%. Net debt stands at 139M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 5.21 PLN (bear case) to 8.30 PLN (bull case); at 3.06 PLN, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at 117%, IZS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 26.89 PLN 42.65 PLN 64.63 PLN 80
Residual Income 5.60 PLN 5.38 PLN 4.40 PLN 76
Rev-Margin DCF 16.13 PLN 24.34 PLN 35.43 PLN 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 27.67 PLN 46.61 PLN 75.51 PLN 38
Owner Earnings 6.84 PLN 11.33 PLN 18.19 PLN 31
5Y Revenue Exit 16.13 PLN 24.18 PLN 34.51 PLN 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 16.56 PLN 25.10 PLN 35.39 PLN 41
5Y P/E Exit 13.86 PLN 19.31 PLN 25.13 PLN 38
10Y Revenue Exit 20.27 PLN 29.15 PLN 41.93 PLN 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 20.74 PLN 29.74 PLN 42.59 PLN 37
10Y P/E Exit 19.19 PLN 26.03 PLN 34.95 PLN 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 2.66 PLN 14.17 PLN 19.62 PLN 54
Lynch FV 3.91 PLN 5.58 PLN 7.26 PLN 50
PEG = 1.0 3.91 PLN 5.58 PLN 7.26 PLN 46
EPV 6.24 PLN 6.95 PLN 7.52 PLN 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.6300 PLN 1.05 PLN 1.36 PLN 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.6300 PLN 1.00 PLN 1.13 PLN 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 4.98 PLN 6.64 PLN 8.30 PLN 63
P/S Multiple 4.98 PLN 6.64 PLN 8.30 PLN 58
P/B Multiple 4.98 PLN 6.64 PLN 8.30 PLN 55
EV/EBIT 10.12 PLN 13.38 PLN 16.63 PLN 53
EV/EBITDA 10.19 PLN 13.47 PLN 16.75 PLN 54
EV/Revenue 8.82 PLN 12.45 PLN 16.07 PLN 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 4.10 PLN 5.50 PLN 8.21 PLN 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 26.89 PLN 42.65 PLN 64.63 PLN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 16.13 PLN 24.34 PLN 35.43 PLN 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 5.60 PLN 5.38 PLN 4.40 PLN 76
ROIC Compounder 6.24 PLN 6.95 PLN 7.52 PLN 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 5.21 PLN 7.44 PLN 9.67 PLN 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (25.10 PLN) versus Dividend Discount (1.00 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.1B PLN
Revenue growth (YoY) -50.7%
Net margin 2.4%
Return on equity 9.2%
Free cash flow 91.1M PLN FY2025
P/E ratio 4.0
More key figures
Operating margin 2.5%
EPS (TTM) 0.7800 PLN
Dividend yield 3.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +394%
Net debt 139M PLN FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 71
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Izostal S.A. manufactures and distributes steel pipes, metallurgical products, and steel fixtures in Poland, European Union, Europe, and internationally.

Full company description

Izostal S.A. manufactures and distributes steel pipes, metallurgical products, and steel fixtures in Poland, European Union, Europe, and internationally. The company offers three layer polyethylene and polypropylene; and internal coating for gas and fuels transportation, drinking water, and sewage water; steel pipes products, including seamless, welded with high frequency current, spiral-welded, and longitudinally welded products. It also provides metallurgical products, such as sheets, channels, flange i-beams, angles, angles-hollow sections, flat bars, ribbed bars, T bars, and wire rod and flat bars; and gas fixtures. Izostal S.A. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Kolonowskie, Poland. Izostal S.A. is a subsidiary of Stalprofil S.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Izostal S.A reported revenue of 1.2B PLN in FY2025 versus 796M PLN in FY2021, a compound +11.6%/yr. Reported net income was 12.8M PLN in FY2025, compounding −8.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.2B PLN
Latest YoY
+59.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.7%
Revenue +11.6%/yr
FY21 796M PLN
FY22 1.2B PLN
FY23 751M PLN
FY24 772M PLN
FY25 1.2B PLN
Net income −8.9%/yr
FY21 18.6M PLN
FY22 22.5M PLN
FY23 11.9M PLN
FY24 10.1M PLN
FY25 12.8M PLN
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +10.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +14.7 pp

of which total revenue +14.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +4.6 pp
Tax rate −0.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −8.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Izostal S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IZS

Peer Group

Steel · 378 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +117% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth -51% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.7% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 19
FUTURE 0 · sector 4
PAST 37 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 73 · sector 41

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tata Steel Limited TTST $0.2010 $0.2000 -0%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,227 ₹1,140 -7%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.89 ¥8.07 +37%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.55 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 313,500 KRW 155,270 KRW -50%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,940 ARS +17%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,844 ₹1,098 -40%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 42.64 MXN -49%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,210 ARS +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Izostal S.A (IZS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 6.64 PLN versus a price of 3.06 PLN, about +117% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of IZS?
Our model-based fair value for Izostal S.A is 6.64 PLN (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 3.06 PLN.
What is the quality score of IZS?
Izostal S.A has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Izostal S.A (IZS)?
Izostal S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B PLN (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IZS?
The net profit margin of Izostal S.A is about 2.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Izostal S.A pay a dividend?
Izostal S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.49% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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