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JBG SMITH Properties owns, (JBGS) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $859M

JS JBG SMITH Properties owns, logo JBG SMITH Properties owns, JBGS · US
Price$12.16
Fair Value$13.42
Upside+10.4%
Quality32/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -22.2% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
5.04% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 14/100
Evidence: Low Range $9.94 – $27.37 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price −16.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 10% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($9.94 to $27.37). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$28.10 $11.32 Fair Value $13.42 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $11.32 – $28.10 · fair‑value band $9.94 – $27.37 · the $12.16 price screens below the $13.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

JBG SMITH Properties owns, (JBGS) currently trades at $12.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.42, implying the stock looks roughly 10.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, JBG SMITH Properties owns, generated revenue of $505M at a net margin of -22.2%. Revenue grew 5.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.6%. Net debt stands at $2.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $9.94 (bear case) to $27.37 (bull case); at $12.16, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 10%, JBGS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA $3.69 $17.64 $31.58 54
NCAV (Graham) $9.94 $13.31 $19.87 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $3.69 $17.64 $31.58 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.94 $13.31 $19.87 50

Widest divergence: Multiples ($17.64) versus Asset-Based ($13.31). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $505M
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.9%
Net margin -22.2%
Return on equity -7.6%
Free cash flow −$49.0M FY2025
Operating margin 1.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.85
Dividend yield 5.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +59.5%
Net debt $2.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 19
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

JBG SMITH Properties owns, operates, and develops mixed-use properties concentrated in amenity-rich, Metro-served submarkets. The markets are in and around Washington, DC, most notably National Landing, where through our focus on placemaking, they cultivate vibrant, highly amenitized, walkable neighborhoods.

Full company description

JBG SMITH Properties owns, operates, and develops mixed-use properties concentrated in amenity-rich, Metro-served submarkets. The markets are in and around Washington, DC, most notably National Landing, where through our focus on placemaking, they cultivate vibrant, highly amenitized, walkable neighborhoods. JBG SMITH Properties has a portfolio comprised of 12.0 million square feet at share of multifamily, office, and retail assets, and a 3.6 million square-foot development pipeline. JBG SMITH Properties was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Bethesda, United States.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

JBG SMITH Properties owns, reported revenue of $499M in FY2025 versus $634M in FY2021, a compound −5.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$139M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$499M
Latest YoY
−8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+0.4%
Revenue −5.8%/yr
FY21 $634M
FY22 $606M
FY23 $604M
FY24 $547M
FY25 $499M
Net income
FY21 −$79.3M
FY22 $85.4M
FY23 −$80.0M
FY24 −$144M
FY25 −$139M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "JBG SMITH Properties owns, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JBGS

Peer Group

REIT - Diversified · 165 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +10% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -22% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.99× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.74× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.70× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 16.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 47 · sector 13
FUTURE 30 · sector 13
PAST 0 · sector 20
HEALTH 1 · sector 72
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 97

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Goodman Group GMG A$29.11 A$7.37 -75%
VICI Properties Inc VICI $26.73 $41.74 +56%
W. P. Carey Inc WPC $76.69 $35.59 -54%
Charter Hall Group CHC A$21.90 A$11.46 -48%
Fibra Uno FUNO11 31.10 MXN 63.56 MXN +104%
COV COV €52.55 €62.39 +19%
The GPT Group GPT A$4.89 A$3.49 -29%
Mirvac Group MGR A$1.70 A$0.5700 -66%
KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS 8.85 MYR 6.91 MYR -22%
CRRUN CRRUN C$17.65 C$17.89 +1%

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Frequently asked questions

Is JBG SMITH Properties owns, (JBGS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.42 versus a price of $12.16, about +10% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of JBGS?
Our model-based fair value for JBG SMITH Properties owns, is $13.42 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $12.16.
What is the quality score of JBGS?
JBG SMITH Properties owns, has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of JBG SMITH Properties owns, (JBGS)?
JBG SMITH Properties owns, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $505M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JBGS?
The net profit margin of JBG SMITH Properties owns, is about -22.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does JBG SMITH Properties owns, pay a dividend?
JBG SMITH Properties owns, currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.04% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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