JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $2.1B
JetBlue Airways Corporation
JBLU · US
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $6.53 to $9.71 (+48.8%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +8.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (25/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($5.47 to $13.19) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.43 – $20.55 · fair‑value band $5.47 – $13.19 · the $6.07 price screens below the $9.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) currently trades at $6.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.71, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, JetBlue Airways Corporation generated revenue of $9.2B at a net margin of -7.8%. Revenue grew 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -33.5%. Net debt stands at $8.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.47 (bear case) to $13.19 (bull case); at $6.07, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 40% fair-value upside, at 60%, JBLU screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($57.28) versus Asset-Based ($3.82). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
JetBlue Airways Corporation provides air transportation services. The company operates a fleet of Airbus A220, Airbus A320, Airbus A320 Restyled, Airbus A321, Airbus A321 with Mint, Airbus A321neo, Airbus A321neo with Mint, and Airbus A321neoLR with Mint aircraft.
Full company description
JetBlue Airways Corporation provides air transportation services. The company operates a fleet of Airbus A220, Airbus A320, Airbus A320 Restyled, Airbus A321, Airbus A321 with Mint, Airbus A321neo, Airbus A321neo with Mint, and Airbus A321neoLR with Mint aircraft. It also serves 100 destinations across the United States, the Caribbean, Latin America, Canada, and Europe. In addition, it operates airport lounges, as well as provides vacation services. JetBlue Airways Corporation was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Long Island City, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
JetBlue Airways Corporation reported revenue of $9.1B in FY2025 versus $6.0B in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$602M in FY2025.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- JetBlue’s earnings beat hides $407 million warning
- JetBlue Airways (JBLU) Beat Expectations, Is The Rebound Already Priced In?
- The Best of New York, Now Boarding: JetBlue Debuts New Mint® Menus from Crown Shy and Birdee
- JetBlue (JBLU) Is Up 12.1% After Reinstating 2026 Outlook And Setting 2028 EPS Target – What's Changed
Peer Group
Airlines · 60 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Airlines median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Airlines stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Air Lines, Inc DAL | $84.17 | $118.24 | +40% |
| United Airlines Holdings UAL | $120.97 | $175.62 | +45% |
| Ryanair Holdings RYA | €25.47 | €41.26 | +62% |
| Southwest Airlines Co LUV | $47.56 | $14.76 | -69% |
| InterGlobe Aviation Limited INDIGO | ₹5,249 | ₹3,704 | -29% |
| Singapore Airlines Limited C6L | 7.60 SGD | 7.89 SGD | +4% |
| Air China Limited 601111 | ¥5.97 | ¥7.16 | +20% |
| LATAM Airlines Group LTM | $54.87 | $106.79 | +95% |
| Deutsche Lufthansa AG 1LHA | €8.57 | €15.42 | +80% |
| China Southern Airlines Company 600029 | ¥4.99 | ¥1.28 | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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