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Global Crossing Airlines Group (JET) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CA · Market cap C$70.2M

GC Global Crossing Airlines Group JET · NEO
PriceC$1.00
Fair ValueC$1.90
Upside+90.0%
Quality32/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -0.2% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/10)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: Medium Range C$1.32 – C$2.47 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from C$2.39 to C$1.90 (−20.5%) since Jun 25, 2026.

Below-average quality, screening 90% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (32/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$1.32). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range (C$1.32 to C$2.47) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$3.50 C$0.5600 Fair Value C$1.90 Mar 2021 Jun 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.5600 – C$3.50 · fair‑value band C$1.32 – C$2.47 · the C$1.00 price screens below the C$1.90 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

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Analysis

Global Crossing Airlines Group (JET) currently trades at C$1.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$1.90, implying the stock looks roughly 90.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Global Crossing Airlines Group generated revenue of C$256M at a net margin of -0.2%. Revenue grew 15.0% year over year. Net debt stands at C$26.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$1.32 (bear case) to C$2.47 (bull case); at C$1.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 40% fair-value upside, at 90%, JET screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF C$2.43 C$4.14 C$6.82 80
Rev-Margin DCF C$1.73 C$3.03 C$5.78 74
ROIC Compounder C$0.4000 C$0.5000 C$0.5700 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF C$2.62 C$3.81 C$7.31 38
Owner Earnings C$2.34 C$4.94 C$9.48 31
5Y Revenue Exit C$1.55 C$2.60 C$4.78 39
5Y EBITDA Exit C$4.48 C$8.52 C$16.45 41
10Y Revenue Exit C$1.90 C$3.78 C$4.74 36
10Y EBITDA Exit C$3.77 C$9.16 C$18.66 37
Earnings-Based
EPV C$0.4000 C$0.5000 C$0.5700 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT C$1.37 C$1.95 C$2.52 53
EV/EBITDA C$5.50 C$7.46 C$9.41 54
EV/Revenue C$0.8700 C$1.40 C$1.93 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF C$2.43 C$4.14 C$6.82 80
Rev-Margin DCF C$1.73 C$3.03 C$5.78 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder C$0.4000 C$0.5000 C$0.5700 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$3.81) versus Earnings-Based (C$0.5000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$256M
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.0%
Net margin -0.2%
Return on equity -788%
Free cash flow C$16.5M FY2025
Operating margin 8.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) C$-0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) +1,708%
Net debt C$26.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 43
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 79
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 13
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Global Crossing Airlines Group Inc. provides air transport services in the United States, Europe, Canada, the Caribbean Islands, and Central and South America. It operates a US Part 121 flag and supplemental airline using the Airbus A320 family of aircraft and the Airbus A321 freighter.

Full company description

Global Crossing Airlines Group Inc. provides air transport services in the United States, Europe, Canada, the Caribbean Islands, and Central and South America. It operates a US Part 121 flag and supplemental airline using the Airbus A320 family of aircraft and the Airbus A321 freighter. The company is involved in the provision of aircraft, crew, maintenance, and insurance services using wet lease contracts to airlines and non-airlines; and cargo and passenger aircraft charter services. It also leases office space; operates its ticket counters; and maintains a maintenance office for its maintenance staff and for storage of aircraft records, spare parts, and consumables. As of December 31, 2025, its fleet consisted of sixteen passenger aircraft and four cargo aircraft. Global Crossing Airlines Group Inc. is headquartered in Miami, Florida.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Global Crossing Airlines Group reported revenue of C$246M in FY2025 versus C$14.3M in FY2021, a compound +103.8%/yr. Reported net income was −C$3.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 51/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
C$246M
Latest YoY
+10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+36.4%
Revenue +103.8%/yr
FY21 C$14.3M
FY22 C$97.1M
FY23 C$160M
FY24 C$224M
FY25 C$246M
Net income
FY21 −C$19.8M
FY22 −C$15.8M
FY23 −C$21.0M
FY24 −C$11.5M
FY25 −C$3.1M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Global Crossing Airlines Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JET

Peer Group

Airlines · 59 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +90% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 15% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Airlines median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.20× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 2.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 38
FUTURE 75 · sector 47
PAST 0 · sector 47
HEALTH 100 · sector 71
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Airlines stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Air Lines, Inc DAL $84.17 $118.24 +40%
United Airlines Holdings UAL $120.97 $175.62 +45%
Ryanair Holdings RYA €25.47 €41.26 +62%
Southwest Airlines Co LUV $47.56 $14.76 -69%
InterGlobe Aviation Limited INDIGO ₹5,249 ₹3,704 -29%
Singapore Airlines Limited C6L 7.60 SGD 7.89 SGD +4%
Air China Limited 601111 ¥5.97 ¥7.16 +20%
LATAM Airlines Group LTM $54.87 $106.79 +95%
Deutsche Lufthansa AG 1LHA €8.57 €15.42 +80%
China Southern Airlines Company 600029 ¥4.99 ¥1.28 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Global Crossing Airlines Group (JET) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$1.90 versus a price of C$1.00, about +90% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of JET?
Our model-based fair value for Global Crossing Airlines Group is C$1.90 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$1.00.
What is the quality score of JET?
Global Crossing Airlines Group has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Global Crossing Airlines Group (JET)?
Global Crossing Airlines Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$256M (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JET?
The net profit margin of Global Crossing Airlines Group is about -0.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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