John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB SEK 32.52, price SEK 56.00, upside -41.9%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 40.33 – kr 159.47 · fair‑value band kr 32.52 – kr 77.67 · the kr 56.00 price screens above the kr 32.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB (publ) operates as a residential property company in Sweden. The company owns, develops, and manages rental apartments, as well as commercial premises and leasehold properties in municipalities, including Lidingö, Sollentuna, Stockholm, Nacka, and Upplands Väsby.
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John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB (publ) operates as a residential property company in Sweden. The company owns, develops, and manages rental apartments, as well as commercial premises and leasehold properties in municipalities, including Lidingö, Sollentuna, Stockholm, Nacka, and Upplands Väsby. John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB (publ) was founded in 1944 and is headquartered in Lidingö, Sweden.
Stock analysis
John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA) currently trades at kr 56.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 32.52, implying the stock looks roughly 72.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of kr 63.93 per share, and 6 of the 13 models we run sit above the kr 56.00 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at kr 14.86, and 7 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: kr 32.52 (bear) to kr 77.67 (bull), the price of kr 56.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB reported revenue of 673M SEK in FY2025 versus 408M SEK in FY2021, a compound +13.3%/yr. Reported net income was 395M SEK in FY2025, compounding −26.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 4.2B SEK (≈ $427M) · P/E ratio 7.8 · P/S ratio 4.59 · EPS (TTM) kr 7.15 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 58.7% · Return on equity 8.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at −42%, JOMA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 32.52Fair Value kr 32.52Bull kr 77.67
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 5.07 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.6% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−13.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−13.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−14% vs 29%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.228% → 72%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+28.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +26.3% a year for the price.
Compare John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 133 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside−42% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Top 25%
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)78% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)69% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.76× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)7.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.67× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)6.22× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF1.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA20.1× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)21· sector 29
PAST (return on equity)33· sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)62· sector 76
DIVIDEND (yield)9· sector 54
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JOMA
Frequently asked questions
Is John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 32.52 versus a price of kr 56.00, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JOMA?
Our model-based fair value for John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB is kr 32.52 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 56.00.
What is the quality score of JOMA?
John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 32.52 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 32.52, optimistic scenario kr 77.67. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 32.52, about −42% upside versus a price of kr 56.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 32.52, optimistic scenario kr 77.67. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 687M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB pay a dividend?
John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.45% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB would have to grow free cash flow by +28.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of JOMA use?
Our models discount John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB at 10.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.87, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB that is +28.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB grew +18.0 % a year. The price currently implies +28.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (+28.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.39 %: that much free cash flow John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB it is kr 32.52 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 56.00. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, JOMA trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 56.00, fair value kr 32.52, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JOMA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 56.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 32.52). For John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB the two are kr 23.48 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB worth?
The market values John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB at about 4.2B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 56.00; our models calculate a fair value of kr 32.52 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JOMA?
Our models span a range for John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB: cautious scenario kr 32.52, base kr 32.52, optimistic kr 77.67 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 56.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of JOMA?
John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 32.52 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 6.2, EV/EBITDA 20.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
Balance-sheet figures for John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.3%, debt of 0.76 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JOMA from its 52-week high?
John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB trades at kr 56.00, about 23% below its 52-week high of kr 72.30 and at the low of kr 56.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 32.52 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Swiss Prime Site AG, Central Pattana Public Company, Prestige Estates Projects Limited, The Phoenix Mills Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 56.00, calculated fair value kr 32.52 (−42%), Quality Score 53/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JOMA calculated?
We run John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 32.52, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was kr 56.00. Our model-based fair value is kr 32.52, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (kr 32.52 to kr 77.67) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA) come from?
Earnings per share at John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB grew +5.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.9 %, EBIT margin +7.9 %, tax rate +0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −9.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB
How large is the market capitalisation of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
The market capitalisation of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB is 4.2B SEK (≈ $427M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB is 4.59 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
Earnings per share at John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB are kr 7.15 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
The dividend yield of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB is 0.4% (payout 3.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
The net margin of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB is 58.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB is 8.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB is 4.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
The operating margin of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB is 68.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
Revenue at John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB is growing +4.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
Earnings per share at John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB are growing +14.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA) carry?
The net debt of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB is 7.1B SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 31.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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