John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB stock SEK 33.07, price SEK 53.00, that is 37.6% below the price, quality 56 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 13 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 40.33 – kr 159.47 · fair‑value band kr 33.07 – kr 78.92 · the kr 53.00 price screens above the kr 33.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB (publ) operates as a residential property company in Sweden. The company owns, develops, and manages rental apartments, as well as commercial premises and leasehold properties in municipalities, including Lidingö, Sollentuna, Stockholm, Nacka, and Upplands Väsby.
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John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB (publ) was founded in 1944 and is headquartered in Lidingö, Sweden.
Stock analysis
John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA) currently trades at kr 53.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 33.07, 38% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of kr 65.72 per share, and 5 of the 13 models we run sit above the kr 53.00 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at kr 21.91, and 8 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: kr 33.07 (bear) to kr 78.92 (bull), the price of kr 53.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB reported revenue of 673M SEK in FY2025 versus 408M SEK in FY2021, a compound +13.3%/yr. Reported net income was 395M SEK in FY2025, compounding −26.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 4.0B SEK (≈ $401M) Small · P/E ratio 6.1 · P/S ratio 5.77 · EPS (TTM) kr 8.68 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 78.2% · Return on equity 8.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 66 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at −38%, JOMA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bearkr 33.07Fair Value kr 33.07Bullkr 78.92
Price kr 53.00 · Downside -37.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 7.23 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.6% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−13.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−13.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−13.9% vs 29.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.228% → 72%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+28.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +25.8% a year for the price.
Compare John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 114 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside−37.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)8.3% · Above median
Return on assets2.6% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)78.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)68.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)4.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.76× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)6.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B0.62× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)5.77× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)17.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA19.4× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)21· sector 5
PAST (return on equity)33· sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)62· sector 74
DIVIDEND (yield)9· sector 64
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JOMA
Frequently asked questions
Is John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 33.07 versus a price of kr 53.00, about 38% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JOMA?
Our model-based fair value for John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB is kr 33.07 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 53.00.
What is the quality score of JOMA?
John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 33.07 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 33.07, optimistic scenario kr 78.92. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 33.07, about 38% lower versus a price of kr 53.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 33.07, optimistic scenario kr 78.92. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 687M SEK (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB pay a dividend?
John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB currently shows a dividend yield of 0.47% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA) and when is the ex-dividend date?
John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB pays a dividend of kr 0.25 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.5%. The last ex-dividend date was Apr 24, 2026. The payout ratio is 2.9% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 12.33 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB would have to grow free cash flow by +28.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.0 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of JOMA use?
Our models discount John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.87, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB that is +28.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB grew +18.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +28.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (+28.2 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.77 %: that much free cash flow John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB it is kr 33.07 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of kr 53.00. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models in 5 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, JOMA trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 53.00, fair value kr 33.07, a gap of about −38% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JOMA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 53.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 33.07). For John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB the two are kr 19.93 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB worth?
The market values John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB at about 4.0B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is kr 53.00; our models calculate a fair value of kr 33.07 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JOMA?
Our models span a range for John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB: cautious scenario kr 33.07, base kr 33.07, optimistic kr 78.92 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price kr 53.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of JOMA?
John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.1 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 33.07 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 6 fiscal years (2019 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 12.1. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 5.8, EV/EBITDA 19.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
Balance-sheet figures for John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 8.3%, debt of 0.76 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JOMA from its 52-week high?
John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB trades at kr 53.00, about 27% below its 52-week high of kr 72.30 and 3% above the low of kr 51.70 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 33.07 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Swiss Prime Site AG, The Phoenix Mills Limited, Prestige Estates Projects Limited, Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price kr 53.00, calculated fair value kr 33.07 (−38%), Quality Score 56/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JOMA calculated?
We run John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB through 13 models from 5 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of kr 33.07 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was kr 53.00. Our model-based fair value is kr 33.07, about 38% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (kr 33.07 to kr 78.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA) come from?
Earnings per share at John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB grew +5.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.9 %, EBIT margin +7.9 %, tax rate +0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −9.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB
How large is the market capitalisation of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
The market capitalisation of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB is 4.0B SEK (≈ $401M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB is 5.77 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
Earnings per share at John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB are kr 8.68 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
The dividend yield of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB is 0.5% (payout 2.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
The net margin of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB is 78.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB is 8.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB is 4.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
The operating margin of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB is 68.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
Revenue at John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB is growing +4.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA)?
Earnings per share at John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB are growing +332% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB (JOMA) carry?
The net debt of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen AB is 7.1B SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 31.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 8, 2026