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John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB (JOMA) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · SE · Market cap 4.4B SEK

JM John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB JOMA · ST
Pricekr 58.30
Fair Valuekr 58.32
Upside+0.0%
Quality53/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 78.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
0.42% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: High Range kr 43.74 – kr 70.30 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price −1.0% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 159.47 kr 40.33 Fair Value kr 58.32 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 40.33 – kr 159.47 · fair‑value band kr 43.74 – kr 70.30 · the kr 58.30 price screens below the kr 58.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB (JOMA) currently trades at kr 58.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 58.32, implying the stock looks roughly 0.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB generated revenue of 680M SEK at a net margin of 60.7%. Revenue grew 4.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.5%. Net debt stands at 7.1B SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 43.74 (bear case) to kr 70.30 (bull case); at kr 58.30, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at 0%, JOMA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 40.62 80
Residual Income kr 66.27 kr 68.20 kr 68.60 76
Rev-Margin DCF kr 9.71 kr 50.79 74
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 2.23 kr 49.78 38
5Y Revenue Exit kr 10.69 kr 55.54 39
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 56.31 kr 127.65 41
10Y Revenue Exit kr 4.90 kr 51.69 36
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 37.55 kr 110.62 37
Multiples
P/S Multiple kr 43.74 kr 58.32 kr 72.90 58
P/B Multiple kr 67.11 kr 89.48 kr 111.85 55
EV/EBIT kr 43.71 kr 79.42 kr 115.13 53
EV/EBITDA kr 19.88 kr 47.64 kr 75.40 54
EV/Revenue kr 18.23 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 42.46 kr 56.89 kr 84.91 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 40.62 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 9.71 kr 50.79 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 66.27 kr 68.20 kr 68.60 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (kr 68.20) versus Growth DCF (kr 9.71). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 680M SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.1%
Net margin 60.7%
Return on equity 6.5%
Free cash flow 228M SEK FY2025
P/E ratio 10.7
More key figures
Operating margin 61.6%
EPS (TTM) kr 5.48
Dividend yield 0.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +14.5%
Net debt 7.1B SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 41
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB (publ) operates as a residential property company in Sweden. The company owns, develops, and manages rental apartments, as well as commercial premises and leasehold properties in municipalities, including Lidingö, Sollentuna, Stockholm, Nacka, and Upplands Väsby.

Full company description

John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB (publ) operates as a residential property company in Sweden. The company owns, develops, and manages rental apartments, as well as commercial premises and leasehold properties in municipalities, including Lidingö, Sollentuna, Stockholm, Nacka, and Upplands Väsby. John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB (publ) was founded in 1944 and is headquartered in Lidingö, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB reported revenue of kr 673M in FY2025 versus kr 408M in FY2021, a compound +13.3%/yr. Reported net income was kr 395M in FY2025, compounding −26.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
673M SEK
Latest YoY
+4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.0%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.9%
Revenue +13.3%/yr
FY21 kr 408M
FY22 kr 621M
FY23 kr 610M
FY24 kr 643M
FY25 kr 673M
Net income −26.2%/yr
FY21 kr 1.3B
FY22 kr 124M
FY23 −kr 1.3B
FY24 kr 429M
FY25 kr 395M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +5.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.9 pp

of which total revenue +15.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −8.8 pp

EBIT margin +7.9 pp
Tax rate +0.8 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −10.0 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JOMA

Peer Group

Real Estate - Diversified · 137 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside +0% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 78% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 69% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.76× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.69× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 6.43× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 20.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 33 · sector 46
FUTURE 21 · sector 32
PAST 33 · sector 17
HEALTH 62 · sector 75
DIVIDEND 8 · sector 45

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB (JOMA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 58.32 versus a price of kr 58.30, about +0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of JOMA?
Our model-based fair value for John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB is kr 58.32 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 58.30.
What is the quality score of JOMA?
John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB (JOMA)?
John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 680M SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JOMA?
The net profit margin of John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB is about 60.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 60.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB pay a dividend?
John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.42% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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