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JSE Limited (JSE) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · ZA · Market cap 12.6B ZAC

JL JSE Limited JSE · JSE
PriceR152.72
Fair ValueR167.48
Upside+9.7%
Quality63/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 31.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.06% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Wide moat 80/100
Evidence: High Range R125.61 – R344.34 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from R171.80 to R167.48 (−2.5%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +0.4% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (R125.61 to R344.34). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R175.79 R82.27 Fair Value R167.48 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R82.27 – R175.79 · fair‑value band R125.61 – R344.34 · the R152.72 price screens below the R167.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

JSE Limited (JSE) currently trades at R152.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R167.48, implying the stock looks roughly 9.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, JSE Limited generated revenue of 3.4B ZAR at a net margin of 31.2%. Revenue grew 17.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.0B ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R125.61 (bear case) to R344.34 (bull case); at R152.72, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at 10%, JSE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF R212.08 R304.63 R440.76 80
Residual Income R80.34 R99.20 R278.42 76
Rev-Margin DCF R133.30 R176.90 R229.49 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings R208.71 R314.81 R482.67 31
5Y P/E Exit R171.07 R247.66 R329.02 38
10Y P/E Exit R183.39 R254.08 R342.53 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R87.60 R308.62 R415.22 54
Lynch FV R72.14 R103.06 R133.98 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R76.64 R159.34 R252.78 70
DDM Multi-Stage R76.64 R134.36 R167.23 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple R125.61 R167.48 R209.35 63
P/B Multiple R63.98 R85.30 R106.63 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R30.46 R40.82 R60.93 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R212.08 R304.63 R440.76 80
Rev-Margin DCF R133.30 R176.90 R229.49 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income R80.34 R99.20 R278.42 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (R254.08) versus Asset-Based (R40.82). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.4B ZAC
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.4%
Net margin 31.2%
Return on equity 22.0%
Free cash flow 1.2B ZAC FY2025
P/E ratio 11.8
More key figures
Operating margin 29.9%
EPS (TTM) R12.90
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +21.0%
Net cash 3.0B ZAC FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 86
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

JSE Limited operates as a stock exchange in South Africa. It offers international securities identification number (ISIN) and national numbering agency (NNA) related services, regulatory compliance services in post-trade activities, capital market, and colocation and connectivity services; and operates training academy.

Full company description

JSE Limited operates as a stock exchange in South Africa. It offers international securities identification number (ISIN) and national numbering agency (NNA) related services, regulatory compliance services in post-trade activities, capital market, and colocation and connectivity services; and operates training academy. The company was founded in 1887 and is based in Johannesburg, South Africa.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

JSE Limited reported revenue of R3.4B in FY2025 versus R2.5B in FY2021, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was R1.1B in FY2025, compounding +10.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.4B ZAR
Latest YoY
+15.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.4%
Revenue +8.0%/yr
FY21 R2.5B
FY22 R2.7B
FY23 R2.8B
FY24 R3.0B
FY25 R3.4B
Net income +10.3%/yr
FY21 R722M
FY22 R749M
FY23 R831M
FY24 R918M
FY25 R1.1B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +1.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.4 pp

of which total revenue +3.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.5 pp

EBIT margin −3.0 pp
Tax rate +0.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "JSE Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JSE

Peer Group

Financial Data & Stock Exchanges · 54 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Below median
Fair Value upside +10% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 31% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 30% · Below median
Revenue growth 17% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Financial Data & Stock Exchanges median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.50× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.68× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 46 · sector 0
FUTURE 87 · sector 69
PAST 88 · sector 77
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 1 · sector 32

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Financial Data & Stock Exchanges stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
S&P Global Inc SPGI $450.84 $196.36 -56%
CME Group CME $245.05 $145.51 -41%
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Intercontinental Exchange, Inc ICE $139.65 $75.95 -46%
Deutsche Börse AG DB1 €260.90 €142.42 -45%
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MSCI Inc MSCI $604.71 $214.91 -64%
Coinbase Global, Inc COIN $160.49 $57.05 -64%
Cboe Global Markets, Inc CBOE $273.41 $136.64 -50%
Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network Co 300033 ¥215.56 ¥55.36 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is JSE Limited (JSE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R167.48 versus a price of R152.72, about +10% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of JSE?
Our model-based fair value for JSE Limited is R167.48 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R152.72.
What is the quality score of JSE?
JSE Limited has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of JSE Limited (JSE)?
JSE Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.4B ZAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JSE?
The net profit margin of JSE Limited is about 31.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 31.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does JSE Limited pay a dividend?
JSE Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.06% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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