JOST Werke AG (JST) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of JOST Werke AG €100, price €59.70, upside +68.0%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €29.75 – €65.45 · fair‑value band €63.47 – €137.15 · the €59.70 price screens below the €100.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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JOST Werke SE manufactures and supplies safety-critical systems for the commercial vehicle industry in Germany, Europe, he Middle East, Africa, the America, the Aisa Pacific, and Africa.
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JOST Werke SE manufactures and supplies safety-critical systems for the commercial vehicle industry in Germany, Europe, he Middle East, Africa, the America, the Aisa Pacific, and Africa. The company provides truck and trailer components, including sensor systems and lubetonic systems, fifth wheel couplings and mounting plates, dual-height fifth wheel systems, sliders, kingpins, ball bearing turntables and slewing rings, landing gear, and hubodometers and axle caps; container equipment, such as components for intermodal transports, corner casting, twist locks, bolsters, airbag lifting devices, and spare wheel holders; and axle systems and its spare parts. It offers products for commercial vehicles comprising towing hitches, hook couplings, traverses, varioblocs, adapter hitches, towing balls and eyes; products for agriculture and forestry applications, including towing and ball hitches, drawbars, piton fixes, ladders, calotte and towing eyes, hitch support, and accessories. In addition, the company provides drawbars, height adjustment systems, towbar pipes, and spare parts and accessories; and steering systems and axle suspensions. It markets its products under the JOST, ROCKINGER, TRIDEC, and Quicke brand names. JOST Werke SE was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Neu-Isenburg, Germany.
Stock analysis
JOST Werke AG (JST) currently trades at €59.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €100.32, implying the stock looks roughly 40.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €84.37 per share, and 9 of the 16 models we run sit above the €59.70 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €13.35, and 7 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €63.47 (bear) to €137.15 (bull), the price of €59.70 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
JOST Werke AG reported revenue of €1.5B in FY2025 versus €1.1B in FY2021, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was −€14.7M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €890M · P/E ratio 82.9 · P/S ratio 0.58 · EPS (TTM) €0.7200 · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin −1.0% · Return on equity 3.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 68%, JST screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €63.47Fair Value €100.32Bull €137.15
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+43.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.0% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.2% (2020) → 5.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.3% a year for the price and +3.6% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 692 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Below median
Fair Value upside+62% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Below median
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.54× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)82.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B3.21× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "JOST Werke AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JST
Frequently asked questions
Is JOST Werke AG (JST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €100.32 versus a price of €59.70, about +68% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of JST?
Our model-based fair value for JOST Werke AG is €100.32 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €59.70.
What is the quality score of JST?
JOST Werke AG has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for JOST Werke AG (JST)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €100.32 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario €63.47, optimistic scenario €137.15. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the JOST Werke AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €100.32, about +68% upside versus a price of €59.70 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €63.47, optimistic scenario €137.15. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of JOST Werke AG (JST)?
JOST Werke AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does JOST Werke AG pay a dividend?
JOST Werke AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.51% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into JOST Werke AG (JST)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, JOST Werke AG would have to grow free cash flow by +4.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.1 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of JST use?
Our models discount JOST Werke AG at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.21, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For JOST Werke AG that is +4.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has JOST Werke AG (JST) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at JOST Werke AG grew +14.1 % a year. The price currently implies +4.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of JOST Werke AG (JST) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into JOST Werke AG (+4.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of JOST Werke AG (JST)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.27 %: that much free cash flow JOST Werke AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of JOST Werke AG (JST)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For JOST Werke AG it is €100.32 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €59.70. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is JOST Werke AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, JST trades below its calculated fair value: price €59.70, fair value €100.32, a gap of about +68% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JST?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€59.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€100.32). For JOST Werke AG the two are €40.62 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is JOST Werke AG worth?
The market values JOST Werke AG at about €890M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €59.70; our models calculate a fair value of €100.32 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JST?
Our models span a range for JOST Werke AG: cautious scenario €63.47, base €100.32, optimistic €137.15 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €59.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of JST?
JOST Werke AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 82.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €100.32 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.2, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 6.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of JOST Werke AG (JST)?
Balance-sheet figures for JOST Werke AG (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 3.0%, debt of 1.54 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JST from its 52-week high?
JOST Werke AG trades at €59.70, about 9% below its 52-week high of €65.45 and 27% above the low of €47.12 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €100.32 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to JOST Werke AG?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is JOST Werke AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €59.70, calculated fair value €100.32 (+68%), Quality Score 46/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JST calculated?
We run JOST Werke AG through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €100.32, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. JOST Werke AG currently trades 68 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of JOST Werke AG (JST)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €59.70. Our model-based fair value is €100.32, about +68% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with JOST Werke AG right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€63.47). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (€63.47 to €137.15) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of JOST Werke AG
How large is the market capitalisation of JOST Werke AG (JST)?
The market capitalisation of JOST Werke AG is €890M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of JOST Werke AG (JST)?
The price-to-sales ratio of JOST Werke AG is 0.58 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of JOST Werke AG (JST)?
Earnings per share at JOST Werke AG are €0.7200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 82.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of JOST Werke AG (JST)?
The dividend yield of JOST Werke AG is 2.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of JOST Werke AG (JST)?
The net margin of JOST Werke AG is −1.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of JOST Werke AG (JST)?
The return on equity (ROE) of JOST Werke AG is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of JOST Werke AG (JST)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of JOST Werke AG is 7.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of JOST Werke AG (JST)?
The operating margin of JOST Werke AG is 7.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at JOST Werke AG (JST)?
Revenue at JOST Werke AG is growing +11.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at JOST Werke AG (JST)?
Earnings per share at JOST Werke AG are growing +20.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does JOST Werke AG (JST) carry?
The net debt of JOST Werke AG is €519M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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