JOST Werke SE (JST) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · DE · Market cap €911M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from €67.55 to €90.56 (+34.1%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +7.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (€57.30 to €123.81) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €29.75 – €65.45 · fair‑value band €57.30 – €123.81 · the €56.60 price screens below the €90.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
JOST Werke SE (JST) currently trades at €56.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €90.56, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, JOST Werke SE generated revenue of €1.6B at a net margin of -0.7%. Revenue grew 11.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.0%. Net debt stands at €519M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €57.30 (bear case) to €123.81 (bull case); at €56.60, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 60%, JST screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€79.60) versus Asset-Based (€13.35). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
JOST Werke SE manufactures and supplies safety-critical systems for the commercial vehicle industry in Germany, Europe, he Middle East, Africa, the America, the Aisa Pacific, and Africa.
Full company description
JOST Werke SE manufactures and supplies safety-critical systems for the commercial vehicle industry in Germany, Europe, he Middle East, Africa, the America, the Aisa Pacific, and Africa. The company provides truck and trailer components, including sensor systems and lubetonic systems, fifth wheel couplings and mounting plates, dual-height fifth wheel systems, sliders, kingpins, ball bearing turntables and slewing rings, landing gear, and hubodometers and axle caps; container equipment, such as components for intermodal transports, corner casting, twist locks, bolsters, airbag lifting devices, and spare wheel holders; and axle systems and its spare parts. It offers products for commercial vehicles comprising towing hitches, hook couplings, traverses, varioblocs, adapter hitches, towing balls and eyes; products for agriculture and forestry applications, including towing and ball hitches, drawbars, piton fixes, ladders, calotte and towing eyes, hitch support, and accessories. In addition, the company provides drawbars, height adjustment systems, towbar pipes, and spare parts and accessories; and steering systems and axle suspensions. It markets its products under the JOST, ROCKINGER, TRIDEC, and Quicke brand names. JOST Werke SE was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Neu-Isenburg, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
JOST Werke SE reported revenue of €1.5B in FY2025 versus €1.1B in FY2021, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was −€14.7M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Auto Parts · 642 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 482,000 KRW | 678,420 KRW | +41% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,172 MXN | +4% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹144.17 | ₹80.63 | -44% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹41,110 | ₹14,004 | -66% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,117 | ₹441.74 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹792.00 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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