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JOST Werke SE (JST) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · DE · Market cap €911M

JW JOST Werke SE JST · XETRA
Price€56.60
Fair Value€90.56
Upside+60.0%
Quality46/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -0.7% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
2.69% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: High Range €57.30 – €123.81 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from €67.55 to €90.56 (+34.1%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +7.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (€57.30 to €123.81) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€65.45 €29.75 Fair Value €90.56 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €29.75 – €65.45 · fair‑value band €57.30 – €123.81 · the €56.60 price screens below the €90.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

JOST Werke SE (JST) currently trades at €56.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €90.56, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, JOST Werke SE generated revenue of €1.6B at a net margin of -0.7%. Revenue grew 11.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.0%. Net debt stands at €519M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €57.30 (bear case) to €123.81 (bull case); at €56.60, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 60%, JST screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €48.01 €85.07 €136.86 80
Rev-Margin DCF €36.42 €70.94 €114.36 74
ROIC Compounder €10.17 €14.23 €17.62 72
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €48.67 €89.94 €150.88 38
Owner Earnings €1.97 €15.01 €34.27 31
5Y Revenue Exit €36.42 €71.10 €116.61 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €65.03 €128.54 €206.67 41
10Y Revenue Exit €39.00 €71.25 €117.61 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €57.55 €109.13 €184.73 37
Earnings-Based
EPV €10.17 €14.23 €17.62 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €10.59 €19.09 €26.28 70
DDM Multi-Stage €10.59 €17.44 €20.39 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT €54.80 €79.60 €104.41 53
EV/EBITDA €85.10 €120.00 €154.91 54
EV/Revenue €30.55 €52.04 €73.54 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €9.97 €13.35 €19.93 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €48.01 €85.07 €136.86 80
Rev-Margin DCF €36.42 €70.94 €114.36 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder €10.17 €14.23 €17.62 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (€79.60) versus Asset-Based (€13.35). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €1.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.6%
Net margin -0.7%
Return on equity 3.0%
Free cash flow €109M FY2025
P/E ratio 82.1
More key figures
Operating margin 7.1%
EPS (TTM) €0.7200
Dividend yield 2.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +20.6%
Net debt €519M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

JOST Werke SE manufactures and supplies safety-critical systems for the commercial vehicle industry in Germany, Europe, he Middle East, Africa, the America, the Aisa Pacific, and Africa.

Full company description

JOST Werke SE manufactures and supplies safety-critical systems for the commercial vehicle industry in Germany, Europe, he Middle East, Africa, the America, the Aisa Pacific, and Africa. The company provides truck and trailer components, including sensor systems and lubetonic systems, fifth wheel couplings and mounting plates, dual-height fifth wheel systems, sliders, kingpins, ball bearing turntables and slewing rings, landing gear, and hubodometers and axle caps; container equipment, such as components for intermodal transports, corner casting, twist locks, bolsters, airbag lifting devices, and spare wheel holders; and axle systems and its spare parts. It offers products for commercial vehicles comprising towing hitches, hook couplings, traverses, varioblocs, adapter hitches, towing balls and eyes; products for agriculture and forestry applications, including towing and ball hitches, drawbars, piton fixes, ladders, calotte and towing eyes, hitch support, and accessories. In addition, the company provides drawbars, height adjustment systems, towbar pipes, and spare parts and accessories; and steering systems and axle suspensions. It markets its products under the JOST, ROCKINGER, TRIDEC, and Quicke brand names. JOST Werke SE was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Neu-Isenburg, Germany.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

JOST Werke SE reported revenue of €1.5B in FY2025 versus €1.1B in FY2021, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was −€14.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€1.5B
Latest YoY
+43.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+14.1%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y)
+10.4%
Revenue +9.9%/yr
FY21 €1.1B
FY22 €1.3B
FY23 €1.2B
FY24 €1.1B
FY25 €1.5B
Net income
FY21 €43.9M
FY22 €59.8M
FY23 €52.3M
FY24 €52.6M
FY25 −€14.7M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "JOST Werke SE Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JST

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.54× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 77.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.23× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.67× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 9.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 17
FUTURE 58 · sector 23
PAST 12 · sector 26
HEALTH 23 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 54 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

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Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is JOST Werke SE (JST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €90.56 versus a price of €56.60, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of JST?
Our model-based fair value for JOST Werke SE is €90.56 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €56.60.
What is the quality score of JST?
JOST Werke SE has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of JOST Werke SE (JST)?
JOST Werke SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.6B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JST?
The net profit margin of JOST Werke SE is about -0.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does JOST Werke SE pay a dividend?
JOST Werke SE currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.60% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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