Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (KBAG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt stock IDR 14, price IDR 32, upside -56.2%, quality 69 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Very expensive, in a downtrendSolid quality, but price far above fair value and a downtrend.Plus: Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +100%, profit +96%.
Our calculation puts a fair price 56% below what the stock costs today.
Quality 69/100
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers(4/10)
Fair value 14.01 IDR · Strongly overvalued (−56.2%)
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 9.00 IDR – 124.73 IDR · fair‑value band 9.80 IDR – 19.55 IDR · the 32.00 IDR price screens above the 14.01 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 24, 2026.
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PT Karya Bersama Anugerah Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate development business in Indonesia. The company operates through Developer and Estate Management segments. It builds residential properties and flats, as well as land and shop houses.
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PT Karya Bersama Anugerah Tbk was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Balikpapan, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (KBAG) currently trades at 32.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 14.01 IDR, 56.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 21.18 IDR per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the 32.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 3.19 IDR, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 9.80 IDR (bear) to 19.55 IDR (bull), the price of 32.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt reported revenue of 21.3B IDR in FY2025 versus 39.1B IDR in FY2021, a compound −14.1%/yr. Reported net income was −9.7B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 229B IDR (≈ $12.6M) Micro · P/S ratio 12.0 · EPS (TTM) −0.0780 IDR · Net margin −45.4% · Return on equity −3.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.1% · Operating margin −305% · Revenue (TTM) 23.2B IDR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 51% fair-value upside, at −56%, KBAG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear9.80 IDRFair Value 14.01 IDRBull19.55 IDR
Price 32.00 IDR · Upside -56.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.29/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+44.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−35.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
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’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.5% (2020) → −63.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+19.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.7% a year for the price.
Compare Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Residential Construction · 63 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−56.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−2.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−46.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)99.9% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Residential Construction median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.66× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)9.86× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow26.1× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 100
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 88
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 59
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KBAG
Frequently asked questions
Is Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (KBAG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 14.01 IDR versus a price of 32.00 IDR, about −56% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KBAG?
Our model-based fair value for Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt is 14.01 IDR (as of Oct 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 32.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of KBAG?
Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (KBAG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 14.01 IDR (as of Oct 24, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 9.80 IDR, optimistic scenario 19.55 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 14.01 IDR, about −56% upside versus a price of 32.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 9.80 IDR, optimistic scenario 19.55 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (KBAG)?
Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 23.2B IDR (latest available figure, as of Oct 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (KBAG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt would have to grow free cash flow by +19.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -8.5 % per year. As of Oct 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KBAG use?
Our models discount Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt that is +19.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (KBAG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt grew -8.5 % a year. The price currently implies +19.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (KBAG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (+19.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (KBAG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.83 %: that much free cash flow Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (KBAG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt it is 14.01 IDR per share (as of Oct 24, 2026), against a price of 32.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 24, 2026, KBAG trades above its calculated fair value: price 32.00 IDR, fair value 14.01 IDR, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KBAG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (32.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (14.01 IDR). For Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt the two are 17.99 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt worth?
The market values Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt at about 229B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 24, 2026). Per share that is 32.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 14.01 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KBAG?
Our models span a range for Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt: cautious scenario 9.80 IDR, base 14.01 IDR, optimistic 19.55 IDR per share (as of Oct 24, 2026, price 32.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (KBAG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (as of Oct 24, 2026): return on equity −3.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KBAG from its 52-week high?
Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt trades at 32.00 IDR, about 53% below its 52-week high of 68.00 IDR and 7% above the low of 30.00 IDR (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 14.01 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value D.R. Horton, Inc, PulteGroup, Inc, Lennar Corporation, NVR, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 24, 2026: price 32.00 IDR, calculated fair value 14.01 IDR (−56%), Quality Score 69/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KBAG calculated?
We run Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 14.01 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (KBAG)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 32.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 14.01 IDR, about −56% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (19.55 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (9.80 IDR to 19.55 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt
How large is the market capitalisation of Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (KBAG)?
The market capitalisation of Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt is 229B IDR (≈ $12.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (KBAG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt is 12.0 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (KBAG)?
Earnings per share at Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt are −0.0780 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (KBAG)?
The net margin of Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt is −45.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (KBAG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt is −3.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (KBAG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt is −2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (KBAG)?
The operating margin of Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt is −305% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (KBAG)?
Revenue at Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt is growing +99.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −35.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (KBAG)?
Earnings per share at Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt are growing +96.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt (KBAG) carry?
The net debt of Karya Bersama Anugerah Pt is 2.7B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 24, 2026