KCD Industries India Ltd (KCDGROUP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of KCD Industries India Ltd ₹1.62, price ₹3.50, upside -53.7%, quality 27 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹2.16 – ₹30.89 · fair‑value band ₹1.13 – ₹2.10 · the ₹3.50 price screens above the ₹1.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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KCD Industries India Limited engages in the construction business in India. It undertakes construction of residential, commercial, and institutional buildings, as well as high-rise buildings, gated community, villaments, and other buildings, such as car parks, and corporate offices.
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KCD Industries India Limited engages in the construction business in India. It undertakes construction of residential, commercial, and institutional buildings, as well as high-rise buildings, gated community, villaments, and other buildings, such as car parks, and corporate offices. The company is also involved in the décor, infra, printing, hospitality, and auto mobiles sectors. The company was formerly known as Ruchika Industries India Limited. KCD Industries India Limited was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
KCD Industries India Ltd (KCDGROUP) currently trades at ₹3.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1.62, 53.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹7.31 per share, and 2 of the 9 models we run sit above the ₹3.50 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ₹0.9700, and 7 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹1.13 (bear) to ₹2.10 (bull), the price of ₹3.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
KCD Industries India Ltd reported revenue of ₹30.4M in FY2025 versus ₹1.1M in FY2021, a compound +131.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹2.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap ₹130M (≈ $1.3M) · EPS (TTM) ₹−0.0200 · Net margin 6.9% · Return on equity 0.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.7% · Operating margin 9.2% · Revenue (TTM) −₹34.4M · Revenue growth (YoY) −53.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −54%, KCDGROUP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹1.13Fair Value ₹1.62Bull ₹2.10
Price ₹3.50 · Upside -53.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.4/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−56.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−56.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−83% → −5%
Compare KCD Industries India Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 789 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−53.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.5% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets0.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)6.9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)9.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−53.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)2· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 42
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KCD Industries India Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KCDGROUP
Frequently asked questions
Is KCD Industries India Ltd (KCDGROUP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1.62 versus a price of ₹3.50, about −54% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KCDGROUP?
Our model-based fair value for KCD Industries India Ltd is ₹1.62 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹3.50.
What is the quality score of KCDGROUP?
KCD Industries India Ltd has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for KCD Industries India Ltd (KCDGROUP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹1.62 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹1.13, optimistic scenario ₹2.10. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the KCD Industries India Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹1.62, about −54% upside versus a price of ₹3.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹1.13, optimistic scenario ₹2.10. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of KCD Industries India Ltd (KCDGROUP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For KCD Industries India Ltd it is ₹1.62 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ₹3.50. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is KCD Industries India Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, KCDGROUP trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹3.50, fair value ₹1.62, a gap of about −54% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KCDGROUP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹3.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹1.62). For KCD Industries India Ltd the two are ₹1.88 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is KCD Industries India Ltd worth?
The market values KCD Industries India Ltd at about ₹130M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ₹3.50; our models calculate a fair value of ₹1.62 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KCDGROUP?
Our models span a range for KCD Industries India Ltd: cautious scenario ₹1.13, base ₹1.62, optimistic ₹2.10 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ₹3.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of KCD Industries India Ltd (KCDGROUP)?
Balance-sheet figures for KCD Industries India Ltd (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 0.5%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KCDGROUP from its 52-week high?
KCD Industries India Ltd trades at ₹3.50, about 73% below its 52-week high of ₹13.18 and 10% above the low of ₹3.17 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹1.62 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to KCD Industries India Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is KCD Industries India Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ₹3.50, calculated fair value ₹1.62 (−54%), Quality Score 27/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KCDGROUP calculated?
We run KCD Industries India Ltd through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹1.62, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. KCD Industries India Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of KCD Industries India Ltd (KCDGROUP)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹3.50. Our model-based fair value is ₹1.62, about −54% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with KCD Industries India Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹2.10). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (₹1.13 to ₹2.10) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of KCD Industries India Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of KCD Industries India Ltd (KCDGROUP)?
The market capitalisation of KCD Industries India Ltd is ₹130M (≈ $1.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of KCD Industries India Ltd (KCDGROUP)?
Earnings per share at KCD Industries India Ltd are ₹−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of KCD Industries India Ltd (KCDGROUP)?
The net margin of KCD Industries India Ltd is 6.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of KCD Industries India Ltd (KCDGROUP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of KCD Industries India Ltd is 0.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of KCD Industries India Ltd (KCDGROUP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of KCD Industries India Ltd is 1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of KCD Industries India Ltd (KCDGROUP)?
The operating margin of KCD Industries India Ltd is 9.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much revenue does KCD Industries India Ltd (KCDGROUP) generate?
KCD Industries India Ltd generates revenue of −₹34.4M (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at KCD Industries India Ltd (KCDGROUP)?
Revenue at KCD Industries India Ltd is growing −53.3% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at KCD Industries India Ltd (KCDGROUP)?
Earnings per share at KCD Industries India Ltd are growing −42.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does KCD Industries India Ltd (KCDGROUP) generate?
The free cash flow of KCD Industries India Ltd is −₹294M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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