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Klöckner & Co (KCO) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · DE · Market cap €1.2B

KC Klöckner & Co KCO · XETRA
Price€12.36
Fair Value€7.47
Upside-39.6%
Quality51/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -0.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.62% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 19/100
Evidence: Medium Range €3.84 – €11.10 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price +0.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 40% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€11.10). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (€3.84 to €11.10). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€12.62 €4.15 Fair Value €7.47 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €4.15 – €12.62 · fair‑value band €3.84 – €11.10 · the €12.36 price screens above the €7.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Klöckner & Co (KCO) currently trades at €12.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €7.47, implying the stock looks roughly 39.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Klöckner & Co generated revenue of €6.3B at a net margin of -0.5%. Revenue declined 5.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.8%. Net debt stands at €704M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €3.84 (bear case) to €11.10 (bull case); at €12.36, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 146% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -40%, KCO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM €1.55 €1.71 €1.90 70
DDM Multi-Stage €1.55 €1.90 €2.32 61
EV/EBITDA €6.11 €9.74 €13.37 54
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €1.55 €1.71 €1.90 70
DDM Multi-Stage €1.55 €1.90 €2.32 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €6.11 €9.74 €13.37 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €7.90 €10.59 €15.80 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€10.59) versus Dividend Discount (€1.71). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €6.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.9%
Net margin -0.5%
Return on equity -1.8%
Free cash flow −€1.5M FY2025
Operating margin 0.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.3000
Dividend yield 1.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -91.2%
Net debt €704M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 98
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Klöckner & Co SE, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution of steel and metal products in Germany, Switzerland, France, the United States, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Kloeckner Metals Americas and Kloeckner Metals Europe.

Full company description

Klöckner & Co SE, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution of steel and metal products in Germany, Switzerland, France, the United States, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Kloeckner Metals Americas and Kloeckner Metals Europe. The company offers steel flat products; long steel products; tubes and hollow sections; stainless steel and high-grade steel; aluminum products; and CO2-reduced steel, stainless steel, and aluminum products for building installations, roof and wall construction, and water supply. It also provides cutting and splitting of steel strips; forming and manufacturing of pressed parts; CNC turning/milling; 2D/3D tube laser cutting; laser and water jet cutting; structural steel processing; plasma and oxy-fuel cutting; blasting and primer surface treatment; and sawing/drilling/rounding off services. In addition, it offers warehousing, logistics, and materials management services. The company serves small to medium-sized steel and metal consumers, including construction, machinery and mechanical engineering, transportation, and other metalworking companies. Klöckner & Co SE was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Duisburg, Germany. As of June 3, 2026, Klöckner & Co SE operates as a subsidiary of Worthington Steel, Inc.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Klöckner & Co reported revenue of €6.4B in FY2025 versus €7.4B in FY2021, a compound −3.8%/yr. Reported net income was −€53.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 16/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€6.4B
Latest YoY
−3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.5%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y)
+2.1%
Revenue −3.8%/yr
FY21 €7.4B
FY22 €8.3B
FY23 €7.0B
FY24 €6.6B
FY25 €6.4B
Net income
FY21 €619M
FY22 €253M
FY23 −€191M
FY24 −€177M
FY25 −€53.6M

KCO screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Tata Steel Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Klöckner & Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KCO

Peer Group

Steel · 378 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside −40% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.34× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.90× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.23× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 15.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 20
FUTURE 0 · sector 4
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 83 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 32 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tata Steel Limited TTST $0.2010 $0.2000 -0%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,227 ₹1,140 -7%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.89 ¥8.07 +37%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.55 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 313,500 KRW 155,270 KRW -50%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,940 ARS +17%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,844 ₹1,098 -40%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 42.64 MXN -49%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,210 ARS +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Klöckner & Co (KCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €7.47 versus a price of €12.36, about −40% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KCO?
Our model-based fair value for Klöckner & Co is €7.47 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €12.36.
What is the quality score of KCO?
Klöckner & Co has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Klöckner & Co (KCO)?
Klöckner & Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €6.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KCO?
The net profit margin of Klöckner & Co is about -0.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Klöckner & Co pay a dividend?
Klöckner & Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.58% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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