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Kido Group Corp (KDC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Kido Group Corp VND 16,004, price VND 51,000, upside -68.6%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Defensive · VN · ISIN VN000000KDC3

KG Some data Sep 24, 2026

Kido Group Corp

KDC · VN

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value 16,004 VND · Strongly overvalued (−69%)
!Quality 51/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Narrow moat 32/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

61,216 VND 41,600 VND Fair Value 16,004 VND Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 41,600 VND – 61,216 VND · fair‑value band 12,259 VND – 16,004 VND · the 51,000 VND price screens above the 16,004 VND fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

KIDO Group Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, processes, and distributes consumer food products in Vietnam. It operates through Edible Oil Business, Foods Business, and Other Business segments.

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KIDO Group Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, processes, and distributes consumer food products in Vietnam. It operates through Edible Oil Business, Foods Business, and Other Business segments. The company offers cooking and soya oil, ice cream, confectionery, and beverages; fresh cakes, mooncakes, and snack noodles; bakery products; prepared meals and dishes; flour, baking flour, and instant food products; and vegetable and animal oils and fats. It also provides seasoning products comprising seasoning powders, fish sauces, soy sauces, margarine, mayonnaise, oyster sauces, marinades, and dipping sauces; dry food products consisting of pasta, noodles, vermicelli, instant noodles, pho, and crispy batter mixes; chilled and frozen food products, such as steamed buns, bread, and spring rolls; and snack food, including cookies, crackers, wafers and sponge wafers, candy, gums, chocolates, sponge cakes, pastries, and sandwiches; and lunar new year and mid-autumn festival snack food. In addition, the company engages in the manufacture and trade of products processed from oil-bearing seeds, nata de coco, coconut quartz, meat, seafood, fruits, vegetables, and starch; real estate activities with own or leased properties; operation of shopping centers; commercial, residential, and service real estate projects; and E2E shopping and entertainment channels. It sells its products under the Tuong An Premium, Tuong An, Tho Phat, Kido's Bakery, Kido's Confectionary, Van Hanh Mall, Hung Vuong Plaza, and E2E brands. The company was formerly known as Kinh Do Corporation and changed its name to KIDO Group Corporation in October 2015. KIDO Group Corporation was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.

Stock analysis

Kido Group Corp (KDC) currently trades at 51,000 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16,004 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 218.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 30,646 VND per share, and 0 of the 21 models we run sit above the 51,000 VND price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 6,201 VND, and 21 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 12,259 VND (bear) to 16,004 VND (bull), the price of 51,000 VND sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Kido Group Corp reported revenue of 9.1T VND in FY2025 versus 10.5T VND in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was 522B VND in FY2025, compounding −3.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 14.8T VND · P/E ratio 28.2 · P/S ratio 1.63 · EPS (TTM) 1,805 VND · Net margin 5.8% · Return on equity 9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.1% · Operating margin 0.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at −69%, KDC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 12,259 VND Fair Value 16,004 VND Bull 16,004 VND
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1,321 VND per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 9,517 VND 11,336 VND 13,556 VND 82
Growth DCF 9,621 VND 11,291 VND 13,247 VND 80
Owner Earnings 34,001 VND 43,930 VND 56,052 VND 78
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 9,517 VND 11,336 VND 13,556 VND 82
Owner Earnings 34,001 VND 43,930 VND 56,052 VND 78
5Y Revenue Exit 6,625 VND 7,035 VND 7,460 VND 74
5Y EBITDA Exit 11,757 VND 16,070 VND 20,849 VND 76
5Y P/E Exit 20,698 VND 31,809 VND 42,832 VND 71
10Y Revenue Exit 7,805 VND 8,374 VND 8,952 VND 68
10Y EBITDA Exit 10,740 VND 13,924 VND 17,781 VND 70
10Y P/E Exit 15,831 VND 23,593 VND 32,277 VND 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 12,259 VND 27,110 VND 34,592 VND 66
PEG = 1.0 4,341 VND 6,201 VND 8,062 VND 57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1.82 VND 2.68 VND 3.49 VND 69
DDM Multi-Stage 1.82 VND 2.50 VND 3.16 VND 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 28,393 VND 37,857 VND 47,322 VND 63
P/S Multiple 22,985 VND 30,646 VND 38,308 VND 58
P/B Multiple 22,985 VND 30,646 VND 38,308 VND 55
EV/EBITDA 14,759 VND 18,337 VND 21,914 VND 67
EV/Revenue 4,582 VND 4,820 VND 5,058 VND 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 12,268 VND 16,439 VND 24,536 VND 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 9,621 VND 11,291 VND 13,247 VND 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income 18,695 VND 19,129 VND 19,232 VND 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 21,129 VND 30,184 VND 39,239 VND 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 63
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 57
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 61
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in VND (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in VND: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−15.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → −1%
2025 sits 236% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

KDC screens 219% overvalued. Compare with Mondelez International, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Confectioners · 81 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 16% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.08× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.57× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 35.3× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 14
FUTURE (revenue growth)78 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)38 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ $61.08 $28.86 −53%
The Hershey Company HSY $168.46 $91.25 −46%
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISP CHF 8,650 CHF 4,796 −45%
Barry Callebaut AG BARN CHF 1,141 CHF 654.80 −43%
ORION Corp 271560 110,100 KRW 203,315 KRW +85%
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB $39.00 $22.28 −43%
Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 ¥19.81 ¥9.09 −54%
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN ₹676.40 ₹158.54 −77%
PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI 1,265 IDR 935.74 IDR −26%
ORION Holdings 001800 23,750 KRW 92,076 KRW +288%

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Kido Group Corp · Fair Value
16,004 VND −219%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kido Group Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KDC

Frequently asked questions

Is Kido Group Corp (KDC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16,004 VND versus a price of 51,000 VND, about −69% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KDC?
Our model-based fair value for Kido Group Corp is 16,004 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 51,000 VND.
What is the quality score of KDC?
Kido Group Corp has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kido Group Corp (KDC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 16,004 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario 12,259 VND, optimistic scenario 16,004 VND. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kido Group Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 16,004 VND, about −69% upside versus a price of 51,000 VND (overvalued). Cautious scenario 12,259 VND, optimistic scenario 16,004 VND. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kido Group Corp (KDC)?
Kido Group Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.4T VND (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kido Group Corp (KDC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kido Group Corp would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KDC use?
Our models discount Kido Group Corp at 14.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Vietnam. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kido Group Corp that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kido Group Corp (KDC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kido Group Corp grew +1.7 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kido Group Corp (KDC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kido Group Corp (more than 80 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kido Group Corp (KDC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.12 %: that much free cash flow Kido Group Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kido Group Corp (KDC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kido Group Corp it is 16,004 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 51,000 VND. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kido Group Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KDC trades above its calculated fair value: price 51,000 VND, fair value 16,004 VND, a gap of about −69% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KDC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (51,000 VND); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (16,004 VND). For Kido Group Corp the two are 34,996 VND per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kido Group Corp worth?
The market values Kido Group Corp at about 14.8T VND (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 51,000 VND; our models calculate a fair value of 16,004 VND per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KDC?
Our models span a range for Kido Group Corp: cautious scenario 12,259 VND, base 16,004 VND, optimistic 16,004 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 51,000 VND). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KDC?
Kido Group Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 16,004 VND is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 1.6, EV/EBITDA 35.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kido Group Corp (KDC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kido Group Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.4%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KDC from its 52-week high?
Kido Group Corp trades at 51,000 VND, about 4% below its 52-week high of 53,225 VND and 23% above the low of 41,600 VND (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 16,004 VND is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kido Group Corp?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Mondelez International, Inc, The Hershey Company, Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, Barry Callebaut AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kido Group Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 51,000 VND, calculated fair value 16,004 VND (−69%), Quality Score 51/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KDC calculated?
We run Kido Group Corp through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 16,004 VND, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Kido Group Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kido Group Corp (KDC)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 51,000 VND. Our model-based fair value is 16,004 VND, about −69% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kido Group Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (16,004 VND). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Kido Group Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Kido Group Corp (KDC)?
The market capitalisation of Kido Group Corp is 14.8T VND. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kido Group Corp (KDC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kido Group Corp is 1.63 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kido Group Corp (KDC)?
Earnings per share at Kido Group Corp are 1,805 VND (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Kido Group Corp (KDC)?
The net margin of Kido Group Corp is 5.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kido Group Corp (KDC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kido Group Corp is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kido Group Corp (KDC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kido Group Corp is 0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kido Group Corp (KDC)?
The operating margin of Kido Group Corp is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kido Group Corp (KDC)?
Revenue at Kido Group Corp is growing +15.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kido Group Corp (KDC)?
Earnings per share at Kido Group Corp are growing +261% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Kido Group Corp (KDC) carry?
The net debt of Kido Group Corp is 2.1T VND (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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