KIDO Group (KDC) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · VN · Market cap 14.4T VND
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +3.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 58% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (24,536 VND). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 39,406 VND – 61,216 VND · fair‑value band 20,185 VND – 24,536 VND · the 51,600 VND price screens above the 21,542 VND fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
KIDO Group (KDC) currently trades at 51,600 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 21,542 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 58.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, KIDO Group generated revenue of 9.4T VND at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue grew 15.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. Net debt stands at 2.1T VND. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 20,185 VND (bear case) to 24,536 VND (bull case); at 51,600 VND, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -58%, KDC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (30,646 VND) versus Dividend Discount (3.34 VND). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
KIDO Group Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, processes, and distributes consumer food products in Vietnam. It operates through Edible Oil Business, Foods Business, and Other Business segments.
Full company description
KIDO Group Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, processes, and distributes consumer food products in Vietnam. It operates through Edible Oil Business, Foods Business, and Other Business segments. The company offers cooking and soya oil, ice cream, confectionery, and beverages; fresh cakes, mooncakes, and snack noodles; bakery products; prepared meals and dishes; flour, baking flour, and instant food products; and vegetable and animal oils and fats. It also provides seasoning products comprising seasoning powders, fish sauces, soy sauces, margarine, mayonnaise, oyster sauces, marinades, and dipping sauces; dry food products consisting of pasta, noodles, vermicelli, instant noodles, pho, and crispy batter mixes; chilled and frozen food products, such as steamed buns, bread, and spring rolls; and snack food, including cookies, crackers, wafers and sponge wafers, candy, gums, chocolates, sponge cakes, pastries, and sandwiches; and lunar new year and mid-autumn festival snack food. In addition, the company engages in the manufacture and trade of products processed from oil-bearing seeds, nata de coco, coconut quartz, meat, seafood, fruits, vegetables, and starch; real estate activities with own or leased properties; operation of shopping centers; commercial, residential, and service real estate projects; and E2E shopping and entertainment channels. It sells its products under the Tuong An Premium, Tuong An, Tho Phat, Kido's Bakery, Kido's Confectionary, Van Hanh Mall, Hung Vuong Plaza, and E2E brands. The company was formerly known as Kinh Do Corporation and changed its name to KIDO Group Corporation in October 2015. KIDO Group Corporation was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
KIDO Group reported revenue of 9.1T VND in FY2025 versus 10.5T VND in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was 522B VND in FY2025, compounding −3.0%/yr from FY2021.
KDC screens 58% overvalued. Compare with Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG →
Peer Group
Confectioners · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 96,500 | CHF 9,874 | -90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $61.00 | $27.68 | -55% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $170.27 | $91.25 | -46% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,100 | CHF 711.91 | -35% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 127,100 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +60% |
| Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB | $39.50 | $21.81 | -45% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥18.81 | ¥9.83 | -48% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 48.88 | kr 59.12 | +21% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹586.20 | ₹304.54 | -48% |
| PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI | 1,320 IDR | 1,286 IDR | -3% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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