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KebNi AB (KEBNI-B) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SE · Market cap 299M SEK (≈ $31.3M) · ISIN SE0012904803

What is KebNi AB really worth?

KA KebNi AB KEBNI-B · ST
Pricekr 0.8340
Fair Valuekr 0.2200
Upside−73.6%
Quality39/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 279% above our fair value of kr 0.2200.

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Strengths

generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +26.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -9.4% net margin
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range kr 0.1800 – kr 0.2600

Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price −20.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.2600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 2.76 kr 0.4019 Fair Value kr 0.2200 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 0.4019 – kr 2.76 · fair‑value band kr 0.1800 – kr 0.2600 · the kr 0.8340 price screens above the kr 0.2200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

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Analysis

KebNi AB (KEBNI-B) currently trades at kr 0.8340, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.2200, implying the stock looks roughly 279.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 0.5200 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the kr 0.8340 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at kr 0.1300, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, KebNi AB generated revenue of 114M SEK at a net margin of −9.4%. Revenue declined 57.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −17.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 17.0M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 0.1800 (bear case) to kr 0.2600 (bull case); at kr 0.8340, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −74%, KEBNI-B screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence kr 0.3900 kr 0.5200 kr 0.9000 74
Growth DCF kr 0.3700 kr 0.5500 kr 0.8500 72
EPV kr 0.1200 kr 0.1300 kr 0.1300 70
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence kr 0.3900 kr 0.5200 kr 0.9000 74
Owner Earnings kr 0.3300 kr 0.5900 kr 1.04 68
5Y Revenue Exit kr 0.2300 kr 0.3100 kr 0.4700 68
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 0.4000 kr 0.6400 kr 1.11 68
10Y Revenue Exit kr 0.2900 kr 0.4500 kr 0.5200 64
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 0.3900 kr 0.7400 kr 1.34 61
Earnings-Based
EPV kr 0.1200 kr 0.1300 kr 0.1300 70
Multiples
EV/EBIT kr 0.1800 kr 0.2200 kr 0.2600 63
EV/EBITDA kr 0.4000 kr 0.5100 kr 0.6300 64
EV/Revenue kr 0.1400 kr 0.1800 kr 0.2100 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.1300 kr 0.1700 kr 0.2600 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 0.3700 kr 0.5500 kr 0.8500 72
Rev-Margin DCF kr 0.2500 kr 0.3500 kr 0.5600 67
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder kr 0.1200 kr 0.1300 kr 0.1300 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 0.5200) versus Earnings-Based (kr 0.1300). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 2.62 TTM
EPS (TTM) kr −0.0400
Net margin −0.2% FY2025
Return on equity −17.0% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −36.1% avg 5y
Operating margin −55.9% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 114M SEK TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −57.0% 3y avg +68.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +43.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 7.5M SEK FY2025
Net cash 17.0M SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 39
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 45
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

KebNi AB (publ) develops, produces, and sells products and applications for stabilization, navigation, and satcom worldwide. The company offers SensAItion, an inertial measurement unit/inertial navigation system platform, as well as other tailor sensor solutions.

Full company description

KebNi AB (publ) develops, produces, and sells products and applications for stabilization, navigation, and satcom worldwide. The company offers SensAItion, an inertial measurement unit/inertial navigation system platform, as well as other tailor sensor solutions. It also provides Kebni Gimbal, a military maritime terminal; Kebni SOTM, a low profile on-the-move terminal; and Kebni Satmission, a drive-away terminal. The company serves governmental, military, and commercial organizations. The company was formerly known as Advanced Stabilized Technologies Group AB (publ) and changed its name to KebNi AB (publ) in July 2020. KebNi AB (publ) was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Kista, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

KebNi AB reported revenue of 125M SEK in FY2025 versus 18.3M SEK in FY2021, a compound +61.6%/yr. Reported net income was −237K SEK in FY2025.

Growth Quality 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
125M SEK
Latest YoY
−4.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+68.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.7%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +61.6%/yr
FY21 18.3M SEK
FY22 26.3M SEK
FY23 65.5M SEK
FY24 131M SEK
FY25 125M SEK
Net income
FY21 −37.8M SEK
FY22 −64.1M SEK
FY23 −39.0M SEK
FY24 2.0M SEK
FY25 −237K SEK

KEBNI-B screens 279% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KebNi AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KEBNI-B

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 229 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −74% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −56% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth −57% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.44× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.27× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.2× · Cheaper than median

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $335.71 $116.71 −65%
RTX Corporation RTX $212.08 $88.37 −58%
Airbus SE AIR €213.00 €117.01 −45%
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $565.89 $419.01 −26%
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $264.85 $50.43 −81%
General Dynamics Corporation GD $379.32 $274.32 −28%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $545.57 $356.59 −35%
TransDigm Group TDG $1,235 $571.03 −54%
L3Harris Technologies, Inc LHX $262.82 $146.55 −44%
Thales S.A HO €243.70 €171.13 −30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is KebNi AB (KEBNI-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 0.2200 versus a price of kr 0.8340, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KEBNI-B?
Our model-based fair value for KebNi AB is kr 0.2200 (as of Aug 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 0.8340.
What is the quality score of KEBNI-B?
KebNi AB has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of KebNi AB (KEBNI-B)?
KebNi AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 114M SEK (latest available figure, as of Aug 30, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KEBNI-B?
The net profit margin of KebNi AB is about −9.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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