PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (KETR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk IDR 1,365, price IDR 930, upside +46.7%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
46‑month range 160.00 IDR – 1,480 IDR · fair‑value band 918.96 IDR – 2,056 IDR · the 930.00 IDR price screens below the 1,365 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Ketrosden Triasmitra, through its subsidiaries, operates as a telecommunication infrastructure company in Indonesia. The company operates through Construction Services and Sales of Fiber Optic Cable System; and Maintenance and Manage Services of Fiber Optic Cable System segments.
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PT Ketrosden Triasmitra, through its subsidiaries, operates as a telecommunication infrastructure company in Indonesia. The company operates through Construction Services and Sales of Fiber Optic Cable System; and Maintenance and Manage Services of Fiber Optic Cable System segments. It also provides cable management and maintenance services, as well as sells submarine and terrestrial fiber optic cable systems. In addition, the company offers construction of electrical and telecommunication line services. The company was founded in 1994 and is based in Jakarta Timur, Indonesia. PT Ketrosden Triasmitra operates as a subsidiary of Pt Fajar Sejahtera Mandiri Nusantara.
Stock analysis
PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (KETR) currently trades at 930.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,365 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 31.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 1,837 IDR per share, and 17 of the 24 models we run sit above the 930.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 274.79 IDR, and 7 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 918.96 IDR (bear) to 2,056 IDR (bull), the price of 930.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk reported revenue of 750B IDR in FY2025 versus 449B IDR in FY2021, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was 138B IDR in FY2025, compounding +4.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.6T IDR (≈ $148M) · P/E ratio 15.8 · P/S ratio 2.92 · EPS (TTM) 58.80 IDR · Net margin 18.5% · Return on equity 14.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.8% · Operating margin 28.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 140% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at 47%, KETR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 918.96 IDRFair Value 1,365 IDRBull 2,056 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (43.17 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+34.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+9.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.33% → 33%
2025 sits 79% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.5% a year for the price.
Compare PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 316 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Above median
Fair Value upside+41% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Return on assets9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)19% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)29% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth99% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.28× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
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Is PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (KETR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,365 IDR versus a price of 930.00 IDR, about +47% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KETR?
Our model-based fair value for PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk is 1,365 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 930.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of KETR?
PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (KETR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,365 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 918.96 IDR, optimistic scenario 2,056 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,365 IDR, about +47% upside versus a price of 930.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 918.96 IDR, optimistic scenario 2,056 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (KETR)?
PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 864B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (KETR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +15.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +20.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KETR use?
Our models discount PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk at 13.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.54, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk that is +15.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (KETR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk grew +20.3 % a year. The price currently implies +15.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (KETR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (+15.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (KETR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.84 %: that much free cash flow PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (KETR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk it is 1,365 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 930.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KETR trades below its calculated fair value: price 930.00 IDR, fair value 1,365 IDR, a gap of about +47% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KETR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (930.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,365 IDR). For PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk the two are 434.67 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk worth?
The market values PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk at about 2.6T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 930.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 1,365 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KETR?
Our models span a range for PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk: cautious scenario 918.96 IDR, base 1,365 IDR, optimistic 2,056 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 930.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KETR?
PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,365 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.4, P/S 3.2, EV/EBITDA 9.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (KETR)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 14.8%, debt of 0.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KETR from its 52-week high?
PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk trades at 930.00 IDR, about 37% below its 52-week high of 1,480 IDR and 140% above the low of 388.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,365 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Zhongji Innolight Co, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 930.00 IDR, calculated fair value 1,365 IDR (+47%), Quality Score 64/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KETR calculated?
We run PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,365 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk currently trades 47 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (KETR)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 930.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 1,365 IDR, about +47% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk right now?
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (918.96 IDR to 2,056 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (KETR)?
The market capitalisation of PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk is 2.6T IDR (≈ $148M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (KETR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk is 2.92 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (KETR)?
Earnings per share at PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk are 58.80 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (KETR)?
The net margin of PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk is 18.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (KETR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk is 14.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (KETR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk is 8.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (KETR)?
The operating margin of PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk is 28.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (KETR)?
Revenue at PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk is growing +98.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +28.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (KETR)?
Earnings per share at PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk are growing +171% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk (KETR) carry?
The net debt of PT Ketrosden Triasmitra Tbk is 548B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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