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K-Fast Holding (KFAST-B) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · SE · Market cap 2.9B SEK (≈ $309M) · ISIN SE0016101679

What is K-Fast Holding really worth?

KF K-Fast Holding KFAST-B · ST
Pricekr 11.22
Fair Valuekr 10.19
Upside−9.2%
Quality44/100

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value of kr 10.19.

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Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +54.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.9% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Narrow moat 34/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 21 out of 100
!Weak on past: 3 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range kr 9.97 – kr 10.19

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Share price −5.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 10.19). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • The models converge in a tight band (kr 9.97 to kr 10.19), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 92.20 kr 9.36 Fair Value kr 10.19 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 9.36 – kr 92.20 · fair‑value band kr 9.97 – kr 10.19 · the kr 11.22 price screens above the kr 10.19 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

K-Fast Holding (KFAST-B) currently trades at kr 11.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 10.19, implying the stock looks roughly 10.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 18.14 per share, and 6 of the 8 models we run sit above the kr 11.22 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at kr 5.67, and 2 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, K-Fast Holding generated revenue of 2.2B SEK at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue grew 97.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.6%. Net debt stands at 15.6B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 9.97 (bear case) to kr 10.19 (bull case); at kr 11.22, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 45% fair-value upside, at −9%, KFAST-B screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF kr 18.14 kr 102.54 74
Growth DCF kr 30.58 kr 99.13 73
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 15.75 kr 78.12 69
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 18.14 kr 102.54 74
5Y Revenue Exit kr 44.63 67
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 15.75 kr 78.12 69
10Y Revenue Exit kr 19.62 kr 43.68 62
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 38.62 kr 127.73 63
Multiples
EV/EBIT kr 0.9300 kr 15.94 61
EV/EBITDA kr 5.63 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 11.33 kr 15.18 kr 22.66 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 30.58 kr 99.13 73
Rev-Margin DCF kr 5.67 kr 63.12 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 18.14) versus Multiples (kr 0.9300). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 1.32 TTM
EPS (TTM) kr −0.3100
Net margin −4.0% FY2025
Return on equity 0.6% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% avg 5y
Operating margin 28.3% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 2.2B SEK TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +97.5% 3y avg +11.2%
EPS growth (YoY) −86.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 705M SEK FY2025
Net debt 15.6B SEK FY2025 · ≈ 22.2 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 7
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 25
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 55
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

K-Fast Holding AB (publ), together with its subsidiary, operates as a project development company in Sweden. It operates in two segments, Property Management and Construction. The company constructs residential and commercial premises, community services properties, and industrial and logistics buildings.

Full company description

K-Fast Holding AB (publ), together with its subsidiary, operates as a project development company in Sweden. It operates in two segments, Property Management and Construction. The company constructs residential and commercial premises, community services properties, and industrial and logistics buildings. It is also involved in the production of prefabricated concrete frames; business development; design, production and installation of prefabricated structures; and procurement, purchasing, and construction management for the development of concept buildings. In addition, the company manages properties. Its property portfolio includes low-rise, lateral low-rise, apartment blocks, and K-Commercial concept building; and building for rental apartments, as well as commercial premises. K-Fast Holding AB (publ) was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Hässleholm, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

K-Fast Holding reported revenue of 1.9B SEK in FY2025 versus 1.2B SEK in FY2021, a compound +11.3%/yr. Reported net income was −76.2M SEK in FY2025.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.9B SEK
Latest YoY
+65.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+54.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+30.7%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +11.3%/yr
FY21 1.2B SEK
FY22 1.4B SEK
FY23 1.1B SEK
FY24 1.2B SEK
FY25 1.9B SEK
Net income
FY21 1.0B SEK
FY22 907M SEK
FY23 −398M SEK
FY24 74.8M SEK
FY25 −76.2M SEK

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "K-Fast Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KFAST-B

Peer Group

Residential Construction · 65 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −9% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 98% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 2.64× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Residential Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.14× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 18.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE21 · sector 54
FUTURE100 · sector 0
PAST3 · sector 32
HEALTH0 · sector 88
DIVIDEND0 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Residential Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
D.R. Horton, Inc DHI $145.26 $213.23 +47%
PulteGroup, Inc PHM $126.75 $190.17 +50%
Lennar Corporation LEN $85.11 $116.80 +37%
NVR, Inc NVR $6,396 $7,821 +22%
Toll Brothers, Inc TOL $146.22 $221.32 +51%
Taylor Morrison Home Corporation TMHC $72.45 $136.88 +89%
Installed Building Products, Inc IBP $237.70 $209.51 −12%
Meritage Homes Corporation MTH $71.06 $102.94 +45%
Champion Homes, Inc SKY $93.88 $75.12 −20%
Cavco Industries, Inc CVCO $598.38 $421.10 −30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is K-Fast Holding (KFAST-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 10.19 versus a price of kr 11.22, about −9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KFAST-B?
Our model-based fair value for K-Fast Holding is kr 10.19 (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 11.22.
What is the quality score of KFAST-B?
K-Fast Holding has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of K-Fast Holding (KFAST-B)?
K-Fast Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.2B SEK (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KFAST-B?
The net profit margin of K-Fast Holding is about 1.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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