K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (KFAST-B) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 19, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of K-Fast Holding AB (publ) stock SEK 6.54, price SEK 10.16, upside -35.6%, quality 45 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
K-Fast Holding AB (publ), together with its subsidiary, operates as a project development company in Sweden. It operates in two segments, Property Management and Construction.
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The company constructs residential and commercial premises, community services properties, and industrial and logistics buildings.
It is also involved in the production of prefabricated concrete frames; business development; design, production and installation of prefabricated structures; and procurement, purchasing, and construction management for the development of concept buildings.
In addition, the company manages properties. Its property portfolio includes low-rise, lateral low-rise, apartment blocks, and K-Commercial concept building; and building for rental apartments, as well as commercial premises.
K-Fast Holding AB (publ) was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Hässleholm, Sweden.
Stock analysis
K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (KFAST-B) currently trades at kr 10.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 6.54, 35.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of kr 13.36 per share, and 3 of the 7 models we run sit above the kr 10.16 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at kr 1.38, and 4 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: kr 6.54 (bear) to kr 26.16 (bull), the price of kr 10.16 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
K-Fast Holding AB (publ) reported revenue of 1.9B SEK in FY2025 versus 1.2B SEK in FY2021, a compound +11.3%/yr. Reported net income was −76.2M SEK in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.5B SEK (≈ $252M) Micro · P/E ratio 55.7 · P/S ratio 1.03 · EPS (TTM) kr 0.1800 · Net margin −4.0% · Return on equity 1.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% · Operating margin 26.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 65% fair-value upside, at −36%, KFAST-B screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bearkr 6.54Fair Value kr 6.54Bullkr 26.16
Price kr 10.16 · Upside -35.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 0.1445 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+65.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+54.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +30.7% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
247.1% (2019) → 32.2% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+26.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +23.9% a year for the price.
Compare K-Fast Holding AB (publ) with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Residential Construction · 62 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−35.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)1.4% · Below median
Return on assets−0.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)4.5% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)26.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)27.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.64× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Residential Construction median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)55.7× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.49× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)1.05× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow3.6× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA21.7× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 98
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 10
PAST (return on equity)5· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 88
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 60
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "K-Fast Holding AB (publ) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KFAST-B
Frequently asked questions
Is K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (KFAST-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 6.54 versus a price of kr 10.16, about −36% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KFAST-B?
Our model-based fair value for K-Fast Holding AB (publ) is kr 6.54 (as of Oct 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 10.16.
What is the quality score of KFAST-B?
K-Fast Holding AB (publ) has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (KFAST-B)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 6.54 (as of Oct 13, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 6.54, optimistic scenario kr 26.16. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the K-Fast Holding AB (publ) stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 6.54, about −36% upside versus a price of kr 10.16 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 6.54, optimistic scenario kr 26.16. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (KFAST-B)?
K-Fast Holding AB (publ) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.4B SEK (latest available figure, as of Oct 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (KFAST-B)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, K-Fast Holding AB (publ) would have to grow free cash flow by +26.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +54.8 % per year. As of Oct 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KFAST-B use?
Our models discount K-Fast Holding AB (publ) at 15.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.80, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For K-Fast Holding AB (publ) that is +26.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (KFAST-B) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at K-Fast Holding AB (publ) grew +54.8 % a year. The price currently implies +26.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (KFAST-B) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (+26.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (KFAST-B)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 28.20 %: that much free cash flow K-Fast Holding AB (publ) produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (KFAST-B)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For K-Fast Holding AB (publ) it is kr 6.54 per share (as of Oct 13, 2026), against a price of kr 10.16. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is K-Fast Holding AB (publ) stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 13, 2026, KFAST-B trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 10.16, fair value kr 6.54, a gap of about −36% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KFAST-B?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 10.16); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 6.54). For K-Fast Holding AB (publ) the two are kr 3.62 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is K-Fast Holding AB (publ) worth?
The market values K-Fast Holding AB (publ) at about 2.5B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Oct 13, 2026). Per share that is kr 10.16; our models calculate a fair value of kr 6.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KFAST-B?
Our models span a range for K-Fast Holding AB (publ): cautious scenario kr 6.54, base kr 6.54, optimistic kr 26.16 per share (as of Oct 13, 2026, price kr 10.16). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KFAST-B?
K-Fast Holding AB (publ) trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 55.7 (as of Oct 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 6.54 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 35.2 (the reported result was a loss). Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 21.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (KFAST-B)?
Balance-sheet figures for K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (as of Oct 13, 2026): return on equity 1.4%, debt of 2.64 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KFAST-B from its 52-week high?
K-Fast Holding AB (publ) trades at kr 10.16, about 33% below its 52-week high of kr 15.16 and 9% above the low of kr 9.36 (as of Oct 19, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 6.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to K-Fast Holding AB (publ)?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value D.R. Horton, Inc, PulteGroup, Inc, Lennar Corporation, NVR, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is K-Fast Holding AB (publ) stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 13, 2026: price kr 10.16, calculated fair value kr 6.54 (−36%), Quality Score 45/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KFAST-B calculated?
We run K-Fast Holding AB (publ) through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 6.54, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. K-Fast Holding AB (publ) itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (KFAST-B)?
The closing price on Oct 19, 2026 was kr 10.16. Our model-based fair value is kr 6.54, about −36% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with K-Fast Holding AB (publ) right now?
The model range is unusually wide (kr 6.54 to kr 26.16). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of K-Fast Holding AB (publ)
How large is the market capitalisation of K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (KFAST-B)?
The market capitalisation of K-Fast Holding AB (publ) is 2.5B SEK (≈ $252M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (KFAST-B)?
The price-to-sales ratio of K-Fast Holding AB (publ) is 1.03 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (KFAST-B)?
Earnings per share at K-Fast Holding AB (publ) are kr 0.1800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 55.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (KFAST-B)?
The net margin of K-Fast Holding AB (publ) is −4.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (KFAST-B)?
The return on equity (ROE) of K-Fast Holding AB (publ) is 1.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (KFAST-B)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of K-Fast Holding AB (publ) is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (KFAST-B)?
The operating margin of K-Fast Holding AB (publ) is 26.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (KFAST-B)?
Revenue at K-Fast Holding AB (publ) is growing +27.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (KFAST-B)?
Earnings per share at K-Fast Holding AB (publ) are growing −86.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does K-Fast Holding AB (publ) (KFAST-B) carry?
The net debt of K-Fast Holding AB (publ) is 15.6B SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 22.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 13, 2026