Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited THB 0.32, price THB 0.33, upside -1.7%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated logistics services in Thailand, Lao People's Democratic Republic, and internationally. It offers truck and rail transport; air and sea freight forwarding; chemical sourcing; and fleet safety technology.
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Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated logistics services in Thailand, Lao People's Democratic Republic, and internationally. It offers truck and rail transport; air and sea freight forwarding; chemical sourcing; and fleet safety technology. The company also provides goods custodial services and distribution; transportation management; and customs services. In addition, it distributes and rents hardware and software accessories relating to IT systems and various types of global positioning systems, as well as hire-purchase lease for trucks. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Nonthaburi, Thailand.
Stock analysis
Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT) currently trades at 0.3300 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.3245 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 1.7% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 0.2800 THB per share, and 5 of the 24 models we run sit above the 0.3300 THB price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.0600 THB, and 19 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.2758 THB (bear) to 0.4056 THB (bull), the price of 0.3300 THB sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited reported revenue of 746M THB in FY2025 versus 752M THB in FY2021, a compound −0.2%/yr. Reported net income was 34.1M THB in FY2025, compounding −18.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.0B THB (≈ $30.3M) · P/E ratio 33.0 · P/S ratio 1.51 · EPS (TTM) 0.0100 THB · Dividend yield 6.1% · Net margin 4.6% · Return on equity 2.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −60% fair-value upside, at −2%, KIAT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.2758 THBFair Value 0.3245 THBBull 0.4056 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.0% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in THB ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−14.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−20.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−21% vs −11%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25% → 2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.3%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −4.9% a year for the price.
Compare Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Trucking · 47 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−12% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)6.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Trucking median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KIAT
Frequently asked questions
Is Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.3245 THB versus a price of 0.3300 THB, about −2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KIAT?
Our model-based fair value for Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited is 0.3245 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.3300 THB.
What is the quality score of KIAT?
Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.3245 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.2758 THB, optimistic scenario 0.4056 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.3245 THB, about −2% upside versus a price of 0.3300 THB (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 0.2758 THB, optimistic scenario 0.4056 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT)?
Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 724M THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited pay a dividend?
Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.06% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -3.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KIAT use?
Our models discount Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.31, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited that is -3.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited grew -1.0 % a year. The price currently implies -3.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (-3.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.76 %: that much free cash flow Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited it is 0.3245 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.3300 THB. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KIAT trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.3300 THB, fair value 0.3245 THB, a gap of about −2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KIAT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.3300 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.3245 THB). For Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited the two are 0.0055 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited worth?
The market values Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited at about 1.0B THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.3300 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 0.3245 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KIAT?
Our models span a range for Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 0.2758 THB, base 0.3245 THB, optimistic 0.4056 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.3300 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KIAT?
Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.3245 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 10.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KIAT from its 52-week high?
Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited trades at 0.3300 THB, about 8% below its 52-week high of 0.3600 THB and 17% above the low of 0.2817 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.3245 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc, XPO, Inc, TFI International Inc, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.3300 THB, calculated fair value 0.3245 THB (−2%), Quality Score 57/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KIAT calculated?
We run Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.3245 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 0.3300 THB. Our model-based fair value is 0.3245 THB, about −2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT) come from?
Earnings per share at Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited grew −7.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −1.3 %, EBIT margin −7.5 %, tax rate −0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT)?
The market capitalisation of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited is 1.0B THB (≈ $30.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited is 1.51 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT)?
Earnings per share at Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited are 0.0100 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT)?
The dividend yield of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited is 6.1% (payout 200%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT)?
The net margin of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited is 4.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited is 2.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited is 5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT)?
The operating margin of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited is 7.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT)?
Revenue at Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited is growing −12.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT)?
Earnings per share at Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited are growing −31.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited (KIAT) carry?
The net debt of Kiattana Transport Public Company Limited is 27.8M THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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