K.M. Sugar Mills Limited (KMSUGAR) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹2.4B
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ₹92.46 to ₹76.20 (−17.6%) since Jul 3, 2026. Share price +1.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 169% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹47.77). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (₹47.77 to ₹112.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹11.77 – ₹48.26 · fair‑value band ₹47.77 – ₹112.22 · the ₹28.37 price screens below the ₹76.20 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
K.M. Sugar Mills Limited (KMSUGAR) currently trades at ₹28.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹76.20, implying the stock looks roughly 168.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, K.M. Sugar Mills Limited generated revenue of ₹6.6B at a net margin of 8.1%. Revenue declined 30.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.6%. Net debt stands at ₹2.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹47.77 (bear case) to ₹112.22 (bull case); at ₹28.37, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 169%, KMSUGAR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (₹98.71) versus Asset-Based (₹28.54). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
K.M. Sugar Mills Limited engages in manufacturing and sells of sugar in India. The company operates through Sugar and Distillery segments. It also produces and sells various grades of sugar in jute bags and PP bags; and rectified spirit, ethanol, and extra neutral alcohol. In addition, it offers molasses, bagasse, and industrial alcohol.
Full company description
K.M. Sugar Mills Limited engages in manufacturing and sells of sugar in India. The company operates through Sugar and Distillery segments. It also produces and sells various grades of sugar in jute bags and PP bags; and rectified spirit, ethanol, and extra neutral alcohol. In addition, it offers molasses, bagasse, and industrial alcohol. The Company operates a 25 MW bagasse-based co-generation power plant at Motinagar, Ayodhya, Uttar Pradesh. K.M. Sugar Mills Limited was founded in 1942 and is based in Faizabad, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
K.M. Sugar Mills Limited reported revenue of ₹6.6B in FY2026 versus ₹5.5B in FY2022, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹534M in FY2026, compounding +6.5%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Confectioners · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 96,500 | CHF 9,874 | -90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $61.00 | $27.68 | -55% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $170.27 | $91.25 | -46% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,100 | CHF 711.91 | -35% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 127,100 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +60% |
| Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB | $39.50 | $21.81 | -45% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥18.81 | ¥9.83 | -48% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 48.88 | kr 59.12 | +21% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹586.20 | ₹304.54 | -48% |
| PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI | 1,320 IDR | 1,286 IDR | -3% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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