EN DE

Kirana Megatara Tbk PT (KMTR) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 1.9T IDR

KM Kirana Megatara Tbk PT KMTR · JK
Price232.00 IDR
Fair Value264.37 IDR
Upside+14.0%
Quality65/100
Watch Kirana Megatara Tbk PT for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

Strengths

Trades 12% below our fair value of 264.37 IDR
Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +7.8 %/yr)
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Loss over the last twelve months · -0.3% net margin · fiscal year 2025 1.4%
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 24/100
Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +7.8 %/yr)
Loss over the last twelve months · -0.3% net margin · fiscal year 2025 1.4%
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: High Range 198.28 IDR – 330.47 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 27, 2026, revised from 495.70 IDR to 264.37 IDR (−46.7%) since Aug 20, 2026. Share price −7.2% over the past month.

A solid business, trading 12% below our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Track Kirana Megatara Tbk PT and get told automatically when its fair value or trend turns, plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks. 14 days of Pro free, no card. Track it free

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from 198.28 IDR (bear) to 330.47 IDR (bull), base 264.37 IDR. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 65/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Share this valuation: 𝕏 WhatsApp

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

437.65 IDR 180.00 IDR Fair Value 264.37 IDR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 180.00 IDR – 437.65 IDR · fair‑value band 198.28 IDR – 330.47 IDR · the 232.00 IDR price screens below the 264.37 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Kirana Megatara Tbk PT (KMTR) currently trades at 232.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 264.37 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 14.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Kirana Megatara Tbk PT generated revenue of 12.1T IDR at a net margin of 0.5%. Revenue declined 21.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.5%. Net debt stands at 1.6T IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 198.28 IDR (bear case) to 330.47 IDR (bull case); at 232.00 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 14%, KMTR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 1,787 IDR 2,427 IDR 3,551 IDR 80
Residual Income 224.34 IDR 245.07 IDR 338.34 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 1,039 IDR 1,381 IDR 1,812 IDR 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1,716 IDR 2,369 IDR 3,605 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 353.50 IDR 469.69 IDR 689.58 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 1,039 IDR 1,349 IDR 1,787 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 1,061 IDR 1,386 IDR 1,806 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 861.23 IDR 1,045 IDR 1,262 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 1,257 IDR 1,571 IDR 1,916 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 1,289 IDR 1,596 IDR 1,929 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 1,163 IDR 1,364 IDR 1,558 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 153.22 IDR 270.54 IDR 332.47 IDR 54
EPV 657.54 IDR 763.23 IDR 857.17 IDR 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 371.78 IDR 495.70 IDR 619.63 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 287.28 IDR 383.04 IDR 478.80 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 287.28 IDR 383.04 IDR 478.80 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 1,019 IDR 1,339 IDR 1,659 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 790.89 IDR 1,035 IDR 1,279 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 706.00 IDR 983.44 IDR 1,261 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 130.23 IDR 174.51 IDR 260.46 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1,787 IDR 2,427 IDR 3,551 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1,039 IDR 1,381 IDR 1,812 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 224.34 IDR 245.07 IDR 338.34 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 669.34 IDR 792.72 IDR 917.50 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 262.07 IDR 374.39 IDR 486.71 IDR 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (1,381 IDR) versus Asset-Based (174.51 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Notify me when KMTR reaches fair value

Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 32.4
P/S ratio 0.15 TTM
Net margin 0.5% TTM
Return on equity 2.5% TTM
Return on assets 3.4% TTM
Operating margin 1.2% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
EPS (TTM) 7.15 IDR
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 12.1T IDR TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -21.3% 3y avg +3.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -96.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 1.3T IDR FY2025
Net debt 1.6T IDR FY2025 · ≈ 1.2 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

PT Kirana Megatara Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells crumb rubber in Indonesia. The company operates through the Crumb Rubber Factory and Agro Business segments. Its products are exported to tire makers. PT Kirana Megatara Tbk was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

Full company description

PT Kirana Megatara Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells crumb rubber in Indonesia. The company operates through the Crumb Rubber Factory and Agro Business segments. Its products are exported to tire makers. PT Kirana Megatara Tbk was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Kirana Megatara Tbk is a subsidiary of HSF (S) Pte. Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kirana Megatara Tbk PT reported revenue of 12.8T IDR in FY2025 versus 12.3T IDR in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was 185B IDR in FY2025, compounding +22.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
12.8T IDR
Latest YoY
+13.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+17.8% (17.8 + 0.0)
Revenue +1.0%/yr
FY21 12.3T IDR
FY22 11.5T IDR
FY23 9.1T IDR
FY24 11.3T IDR
FY25 12.8T IDR
Net income +22.7%/yr
FY21 81.6B IDR
FY22 −29.7B IDR
FY23 −70.4B IDR
FY24 195B IDR
FY25 185B IDR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2025) −4.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share −4.6 pp

of which total revenue +4.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −9.2 pp

EBIT margin +4.7 pp
Tax rate −3.4 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

Watch KMTR: get an alert when its fair value changes →

Share or link this analysis
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kirana Megatara Tbk PT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KMTR

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 648 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +14% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth -3% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 32.4× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE52 · sector 16
FUTURE0 · sector 25
PAST0 · sector 27
HEALTH100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND0 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY $92.05 $47.50 -48%
AutoZone, Inc AZO $3,019 $2,287 -24%
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 511,000 KRW 643,909 KRW +26%
Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 ¥57.67 ¥84.47 +46%
Knorr-Bremse AG KBX €100.50 €72.88 -27%
Magna International Inc MGA $69.71 $68.17 -2%
Genuine Parts Company GPC $131.89 $58.07 -56%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹169.58 ₹80.63 -52%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹48,700 ₹11,534 -76%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥50.30 ¥28.28 -44%

Compare Kirana Megatara Tbk PT with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Discover undervalued stocks

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screener Filter by region, size and sector Compare tool Two stocks side by side Fama-French 3-Factor Model Calculator Run the Fama-French 3-factor model in seconds: expected return from the market, size and value factors - free, with formula, betas and an example. Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula & Calculator Apply Peter Lynch's fair value formula in seconds: fair P/E ≈ earnings growth (+ dividend) - free, with formula and example.

Frequently asked questions

Is Kirana Megatara Tbk PT (KMTR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 264.37 IDR versus a price of 232.00 IDR, about +14% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KMTR?
Our model-based fair value for Kirana Megatara Tbk PT is 264.37 IDR (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 232.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of KMTR?
Kirana Megatara Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kirana Megatara Tbk PT (KMTR)?
Kirana Megatara Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.1T IDR (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KMTR?
The net profit margin of Kirana Megatara Tbk PT is about 0.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Free · no account needed

Watch Kirana Megatara Tbk PT in the live analysis

One click puts Kirana Megatara Tbk PT on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.