Komatsu Ltd (KMTUY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $36.9B

A solid business, screening 12% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• A fairly wide model range ($30.36 to $72.67) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
• Our model range runs from $30.36 (bear) to $72.67 (bull), base $52.08. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 61/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $14.46 – $50.31 · fair‑value band $30.36 – $72.67 · the $46.46 price screens below the $52.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Komatsu Ltd (KMTUY) currently trades at $46.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $52.08, implying the stock looks roughly 12.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Komatsu Ltd generated revenue of $4.1T at a net margin of 9.1%. Revenue grew 6.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.4%. Net debt stands at $984B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $30.36 (bear case) to $72.67 (bull case); at $46.46, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 12%, KMTUY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples ($54.32) versus Asset-Based ($16.41). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Komatsu Ltd. engages in the manufacturing and sale of construction, mining, utility, forestry, and industrial machinery worldwide. It operates in three segments: Construction Machinery and Vehicles, Retail Finance, and Industrial Machinery and Others.

Full company description

Komatsu Ltd. engages in the manufacturing and sale of construction, mining, utility, forestry, and industrial machinery worldwide. It operates in three segments: Construction Machinery and Vehicles, Retail Finance, and Industrial Machinery and Others. The company offers construction and mining equipment, such as hydraulic and mini excavators, bulldozers, wheel loaders, dump trucks, rope and hybrid shovels, continuous miners, and jumbo drills; and demolition, waste, and recycling equipment, including mini shovels, mobile crushers, and hydraulic excavators with a cutter, pulverizer, and magnet. It also provides forklifts and motor graders; excavators with harvesting head, mini excavators with grapple, harvesters, forwarders, and feller bunchers; counterbalance type electric forklifts and internal combustion forklifts; and industrial machinery equipment comprising presses, transfer machines, battery manufacturing equipment, wire saws, thermo modules, thermoelectric generation module, EH sensor device, temperature control products, and press brakes and laser cutting sheet-metal machinery. In addition, the company offers industry equipment consisting of tunnel boring machines, pipe layers, towing tractors, and engines. Further, it is involved in rent construction machinery; lease a portion of the land and building; businesses related to transportation, warehousing, and packaging; sale financing for mining machinery; and development, sale, and servicing of forging and sheet metal. Komatsu Ltd. was founded in 1884 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Komatsu Ltd reported revenue of ¥4.4T in FY2026 versus ¥2.8T in FY2022, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥399B in FY2026, compounding +15.4%/yr from FY2022.

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Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

• U.S. Construction Equipment Market Analysis 2026-2031 Featuring Profiles of Key and Prominent Vendors, Including Caterpillar, Komatsu, Deere Yahoo Finance · Jul 9, 2026
• The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Caterpillar, Komatsu and Terex Yahoo Finance · Jul 2, 2026

Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 146 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.