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KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of KWS SAAT SE $97.02, price $84.60, upside +14.7%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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KS
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
KWS SAAT SE
KNKZF · USUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
✓Fair value $97.02 · Undervalued (+14.7%)
✓Quality 66/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +5.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓1.5% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 62/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $47.14 – $90.00 · fair‑value band $60.60 – $133.74 · the $84.60 price screens below the $97.02 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
KWS SAAT SE & Co. KGaA breeds, produces, and distributes seeds for agriculture. It operates through four segments: Sugarbeet, Corn, Cereals, and Vegetables. The Corn segment breeds, produces, and distributes seed for corn, soybeans, and sunflowers.
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KWS SAAT SE & Co. KGaA breeds, produces, and distributes seeds for agriculture. It operates through four segments: Sugarbeet, Corn, Cereals, and Vegetables. The Corn segment breeds, produces, and distributes seed for corn, soybeans, and sunflowers. The Sugarbeet segment engages in the development, breeding, production, and development of diploid hybrid potatoes and sugar beet seeds. The Cereals segment breeds, produces, and distributes seeds for rye, wheat, barley, and oilseed rape. This segment also offers other crops, including peas, catch crops, mustard, and oats. The Vegetables segment engages in the breeding, production, and distribution of seeds for spinach, beans, Swiss chard, red beet, and tomatoes. KWS SAAT SE & Co. KGaA offers a research and development center covering an area of around 10,000 square meters, it houses a 6,600 square meter greenhouse and a preparation and research area for outdoor vegetables including an office and laboratory. The company was formerly known as KWS SAAT SE and changed its name to KWS SAAT SE & Co. KGaA in July 2019. KWS SAAT SE & Co. KGaA was founded in 1856 and is headquartered in Einbeck, Germany.
Stock analysis
KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF) currently trades at $84.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $97.02, implying the stock looks roughly 12.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $116.59 per share, and 12 of the 25 models we run sit above the $84.60 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $14.91, and 13 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $60.60 (bear) to $133.74 (bull), the price of $84.60 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
KWS SAAT SE reported revenue of €1.7B in FY2025 versus €1.3B in FY2021, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was €236M in FY2025, compounding +20.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.8B · P/E ratio 15.3 · P/S ratio 2.16 · EPS (TTM) $5.52 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 14.1% · Return on equity 9.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at 15%, KNKZF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $60.60
Fair Value $97.02
Bull $133.74
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($4.27 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$42.79
$62.81
$90.78
80
Growth DCF
$43.77
$61.95
$86.10
79
Owner Earnings
$82.55
$120.43
$173.34
76
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$42.79
$62.81
$90.78
80
Owner Earnings
$82.55
$120.43
$173.34
76
5Y Revenue Exit
$50.30
$80.57
$118.41
72
5Y EBITDA Exit
$64.29
$105.85
$153.08
74
5Y P/E Exit
$71.53
$118.94
$167.14
70
10Y Revenue Exit
$45.30
$71.51
$105.01
66
10Y EBITDA Exit
$55.58
$88.36
$130.07
68
10Y P/E Exit
$60.03
$97.08
$140.23
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$54.83
$142.06
$185.15
65
PEG = 1.0
$26.86
$38.38
$49.89
57
EPV
$52.59
$61.18
$68.59
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$9.89
$18.90
$29.83
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$9.89
$14.91
$20.10
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$102.80
$137.06
$171.33
63
P/S Multiple
$64.35
$85.79
$107.24
58
P/B Multiple
$102.80
$137.06
$171.33
55
EV/EBIT
$86.89
$116.46
$146.02
66
EV/EBITDA
$87.87
$117.77
$147.66
67
EV/Revenue
$58.25
$83.98
$109.72
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$27.32
$36.60
$54.63
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$43.77
$61.95
$86.10
79
Rev-Margin DCF
$50.30
$80.76
$114.06
72
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$53.56
$65.62
$90.43
76
ROIC Compounder
$52.59
$63.78
$77.47
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$81.61
$116.59
$151.57
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
66/100
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Profitability
58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
59
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.5% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +14.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+12.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.17.8% vs 11.1%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 15%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 86% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.5% a year for the price and −0.8% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+1.2%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+1.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+1.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+1.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+1.5%
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Compare KWS SAAT SE with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 175 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $78.52 | $28.63 | −64% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | $71.18 | $83.09 | +17% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥23.70 | ¥26.81 | +13% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $115.51 | $163.44 | +41% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 123.60 SAR | 150.65 SAR | +22% |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 433.10 | kr 662.97 | +53% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥27.56 | ¥50.49 | +83% |
| The Mosaic Company MOS | $22.42 | $25.77 | +15% |
| ICL Group ICL | $5.14 | $2.98 | −42% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹1,964 | ₹1,129 | −43% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $97.02 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $84.60, about +15% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KNKZF?
Our model-based fair value for KWS SAAT SE is $97.02 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $84.60.
What is the quality score of KNKZF?
KWS SAAT SE has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $97.02 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $60.60, optimistic scenario $133.74. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the KWS SAAT SE stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $97.02, about +15% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $84.60 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $60.60, optimistic scenario $133.74. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF)?
KWS SAAT SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does KWS SAAT SE pay a dividend?
KWS SAAT SE currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.48% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, KWS SAAT SE would have to grow free cash flow by +10.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KNKZF use?
Our models discount KWS SAAT SE at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.30, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For KWS SAAT SE that is +10.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at KWS SAAT SE grew +5.5 % a year. The price currently implies +10.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into KWS SAAT SE (+10.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.77 %: that much free cash flow KWS SAAT SE produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For KWS SAAT SE it is $97.02 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $84.60. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is KWS SAAT SE stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KNKZF trades below its calculated fair value: price $84.60, fair value $97.02, a gap of about +15% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KNKZF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($84.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($97.02). For KWS SAAT SE the two are $12.42 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is KWS SAAT SE worth?
The market values KWS SAAT SE at about $2.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $84.60; our models calculate a fair value of $97.02 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KNKZF?
Our models span a range for KWS SAAT SE: cautious scenario $60.60, base $97.02, optimistic $133.74 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $84.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KNKZF?
KWS SAAT SE trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $97.02 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.8, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 7.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF)?
Balance-sheet figures for KWS SAAT SE (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.0%, debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KNKZF from its 52-week high?
KWS SAAT SE trades at $84.60, about 6% below its 52-week high of $90.00 and 15% above the low of $73.33 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $97.02 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to KWS SAAT SE?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Corteva, Inc, Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is KWS SAAT SE stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $84.60, calculated fair value $97.02 (+15%), Quality Score 66/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KNKZF calculated?
We run KWS SAAT SE through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $97.02, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. KWS SAAT SE currently trades 13 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $84.60. Our model-based fair value is $97.02, about +15% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with KWS SAAT SE right now?
A fairly wide model range ($60.60 to $133.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF) come from?
Earnings per share at KWS SAAT SE grew +8.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.7 %, EBIT margin +3.4 %, tax rate +1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of KWS SAAT SE
How large is the market capitalisation of KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF)?
The market capitalisation of KWS SAAT SE is $2.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of KWS SAAT SE is 2.16 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF)?
Earnings per share at KWS SAAT SE are $5.52 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF)?
The dividend yield of KWS SAAT SE is 1.5% (payout 22.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF)?
The net margin of KWS SAAT SE is 14.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of KWS SAAT SE is 9.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of KWS SAAT SE is 7.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF)?
The operating margin of KWS SAAT SE is 43.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF)?
Revenue at KWS SAAT SE is growing +1.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF)?
Earnings per share at KWS SAAT SE are growing −9.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does KWS SAAT SE (KNKZF) carry?
The net debt of KWS SAAT SE is €484M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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