Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA NOK 1.51, price NOK 1.95, upside -22.7%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 1.24 – kr 3.29 · fair‑value band kr 1.12 – kr 1.51 · the kr 1.95 price screens above the kr 1.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Kongsberg Automotive ASA develops, manufactures, and sells products to the automotive industry worldwide. The company operates through Drive Control Systems (DCS) and Flow Control Systems (FCS) segments.
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Kongsberg Automotive ASA develops, manufactures, and sells products to the automotive industry worldwide. The company operates through Drive Control Systems (DCS) and Flow Control Systems (FCS) segments. The Drive Control Systems (DCS) segment engages in the designing and manufacturing of products for the automotive and the off-highway industry, including pneumatic and electric actuation systems for gear control and clutch actuation; steering column modules; and pedals and throttles for off-highway applications. The Flow Control Systems (FCS) segment designs and manufactures products for both the automotive and commercial vehicle markets, as well as industrial applications. This segment's portfolio includes couplings for air brake and air suspension systems; and clean powertrain fluid assemblies, as well as chassis and battery coolant solutions. It serves original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and Tier 1 suppliers in commercial vehicle, off-highway, and passenger car markets. The company was formerly known as Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA and changed its name to Kongsberg Automotive ASA in August 2014. Kongsberg Automotive ASA was founded in 1957 and is based in Kongsberg, Norway.
Stock analysis
Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA) currently trades at kr 1.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.51, implying the stock looks roughly 29.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of kr 0.2900 per share, and 0 of the 19 models we run sit above the kr 1.95 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at kr 0.2500, and 19 of the 19 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: kr 1.12 (bear) to kr 1.51 (bull), the price of kr 1.95 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA reported revenue of €713M in FY2025 versus €831M in FY2021, a compound −3.8%/yr. Reported net income was €200K in FY2025, compounding −55.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.0B NOK (≈ $208M) · P/E ratio 17.8 · EPS (TTM) kr 0.1100 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 0.0% · Return on equity 7.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.1% · Operating margin 5.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −23%, KOA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (kr 0.0100 to kr 0.5400). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear kr 1.12Fair Value kr 1.51Bull kr 1.51
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 0.0808 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.5% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−67.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−67.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−68% vs −34%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 15.5%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−11.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −13.8% a year for the price.
Compare Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 692 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−23% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.74× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
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Is Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 1.51 versus a price of kr 1.95, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KOA?
Our model-based fair value for Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA is kr 1.51 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 1.95.
What is the quality score of KOA?
Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 1.51 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 1.12, optimistic scenario kr 1.51. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 1.51, about −23% upside versus a price of kr 1.95 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 1.12, optimistic scenario kr 1.51. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA)?
Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €704M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA pay a dividend?
Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.06% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA would have to grow free cash flow by -11.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -6.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KOA use?
Our models discount Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.70, country premium for Norway. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA that is -11.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA grew -6.0 % a year. The price currently implies -11.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (-11.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 25.12 %: that much free cash flow Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA it is kr 1.51 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 1.95. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KOA trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 1.95, fair value kr 1.51, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KOA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 1.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 1.51). For Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA the two are kr 0.4430 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA worth?
The market values Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA at about 2.0B NOK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 1.95; our models calculate a fair value of kr 1.51 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KOA?
Our models span a range for Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA: cautious scenario kr 1.12, base kr 1.51, optimistic kr 1.51 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 1.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KOA?
Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 1.51 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.1, P/B 1.1, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 4.8.
What is the PEG ratio of KOA?
The PEG ratio of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA is 0.05 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.9%, debt of 0.74 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KOA from its 52-week high?
Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA trades at kr 1.95, about 18% below its 52-week high of kr 2.38 and 24% above the low of kr 1.57 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 1.51 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 1.95, calculated fair value kr 1.51 (−23%), Quality Score 64/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KOA calculated?
We run Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 1.51, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was kr 1.95. Our model-based fair value is kr 1.51, about −23% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 1.51). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA) come from?
Earnings per share at Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA grew −3.6 % a year from 2011 to 2022. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −13.6 %, EBIT margin +4.7 %, tax rate −2.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +9.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA
How large is the market capitalisation of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA)?
The market capitalisation of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA is 2.0B NOK (≈ $208M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA)?
Earnings per share at Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA are kr 0.1100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA)?
The dividend yield of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA is 0.1% (payout 1.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA)?
The net margin of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA is 0.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA is 3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA)?
The operating margin of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA)?
Revenue at Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA is growing +0.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA)?
Earnings per share at Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA are growing −6.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA (KOA) carry?
The net debt of Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA is €42.3M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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