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KP Green Engineering Ltd (KPGEL) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹19.0B

KG KP Green Engineering Ltd KPGEL · BSE
Price₹259.05
Fair Value₹253.37
Upside-2.2%
Quality49/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.15% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: High Range ₹189.18 – ₹548.98 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹570.10 to ₹253.37 (−55.6%) since Aug 12, 2026. Share price −23.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

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What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (₹189.18 to ₹548.98). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

₹691.98 ₹209.75 Fair Value ₹253.37 Mar 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

29‑month range ₹209.75 – ₹691.98 · fair‑value band ₹189.18 – ₹548.98 · the ₹259.05 price screens above the ₹253.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

KP Green Engineering Ltd (KPGEL) currently trades at ₹259.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹253.37, implying the stock looks roughly 2.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, KP Green Engineering Ltd generated revenue of ₹12.5B at a net margin of 10.9%. Revenue grew 65.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.7%. Net debt stands at ₹2.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹189.18 (bear case) to ₹548.98 (bull case); at ₹259.05, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -2%, KPGEL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹218.00 ₹343.69 ₹4,283 76
ROIC Compounder ₹433.37 ₹675.80 ₹1,002 72
Gordon GGM ₹4.14 ₹8.60 ₹13.64 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹184.60 ₹1,287 ₹1,807 54
Lynch FV ₹665.11 ₹950.16 ₹1,235 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹665.11 ₹950.16 ₹1,235 46
EPV ₹326.88 ₹382.45 ₹431.07 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹4.14 ₹8.60 ₹13.64 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹4.14 ₹7.25 ₹9.03 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹427.57 ₹570.10 ₹712.62 63
P/S Multiple ₹346.13 ₹461.51 ₹576.88 58
P/B Multiple ₹308.86 ₹411.82 ₹514.77 55
EV/EBIT ₹558.48 ₹746.82 ₹935.16 53
EV/EBITDA ₹471.05 ₹630.25 ₹789.44 54
EV/Revenue ₹307.34 ₹441.87 ₹576.39 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹45.76 ₹61.32 ₹91.52 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹218.00 ₹343.69 ₹4,283 76
ROIC Compounder ₹433.37 ₹675.80 ₹1,002 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹869.97 ₹1,243 ₹1,616 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹1,243) versus Dividend Discount (₹7.25). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹12.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +65.1%
Net margin 10.9%
Return on equity 34.7%
Free cash flow −₹1.3B FY2026
P/E ratio 9.5
More key figures
Operating margin 18.4%
EPS (TTM) ₹27.14
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +68.4%
Net debt ₹2.6B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 61
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 23
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 1
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

KP Green Engineering Limited engages in engineering and manufacture of steel structure in India. It offers a range of products, including lattice transmission line towers structures, isolators, substation and switchyard structures, windmill lattice, telecom, high mast, mono pole towers, perforated cable and ladder type trays, solar module mounting …

Full company description

KP Green Engineering Limited engages in engineering and manufacture of steel structure in India. It offers a range of products, including lattice transmission line towers structures, isolators, substation and switchyard structures, windmill lattice, telecom, high mast, mono pole towers, perforated cable and ladder type trays, solar module mounting structures, crash barriers, and other products, such as pre-engineered building, galvanized earthing strips and flats, solar tracker, and double breaker isolator/disconnector. It serves transmission, telecom, substation, isolator hybrid, solar, and highway crash service providers. KP Green Engineering Limited was founded in 1994 and is based in Surat, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

KP Green Engineering Ltd reported revenue of ₹12.5B in FY2026 versus ₹777M in FY2022, a compound +100.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.4B in FY2026, compounding +133.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹12.5B
Latest YoY
+79.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+121.8%
Revenue +100.1%/yr
FY22 ₹777M
FY23 ₹1.1B
FY24 ₹3.5B
FY25 ₹6.9B
FY26 ₹12.5B
Net income +133.8%/yr
FY22 ₹45.4M
FY23 ₹121M
FY24 ₹351M
FY25 ₹735M
FY26 ₹1.4B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KP Green Engineering Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KPGEL

Peer Group

Metal Fabrication · 250 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −2% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 35% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 65% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 4.15× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.53× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE30 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 34
PAST100 · sector 19
HEALTH96 · sector 95
DIVIDEND4 · sector 27

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is KP Green Engineering Ltd (KPGEL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹253.37 versus a price of ₹259.05, about −2% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KPGEL?
Our model-based fair value for KP Green Engineering Ltd is ₹253.37 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹259.05.
What is the quality score of KPGEL?
KP Green Engineering Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of KP Green Engineering Ltd (KPGEL)?
KP Green Engineering Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹12.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KPGEL?
The net profit margin of KP Green Engineering Ltd is about 10.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does KP Green Engineering Ltd pay a dividend?
KP Green Engineering Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.15% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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