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K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Jul 17, 2026: fair value of K+S Aktiengesellschaft $2.26, price $16.80, upside -86.6%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · US · Home Germany · ISIN DE000KSAG888

KS K+S Aktiengesellschaft logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

K+S Aktiengesellschaft

KPLUF · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $2.26 · Strongly overvalued (−86.6%)
!Quality 46/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +8.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -35.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!0.4% dividend yield · Token dividend
!Narrow moat 16/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$33.67 $4.46 Fair Value $2.26 Jun 2015 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.46 – $33.67 · fair‑value band $1.53 – $3.66 · the $16.80 price screens above the $2.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

K+S, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a supplier of mineral products for the agricultural, industrial, pharma, consumer, and community sectors in Europe, Germany, North America, South America, Asia, Africa, and Oceania.

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K+S, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a supplier of mineral products for the agricultural, industrial, pharma, consumer, and community sectors in Europe, Germany, North America, South America, Asia, Africa, and Oceania. The company offers potassium chloride for crops, such as grain, corn, rice, soybeans, and sugar cane; fertilizer specialties that are used for crops with magnesium and sulfur requirements, including rapeseed, sugar beet, and potatoes, as well as for chloride-sensitive specialty crops such as citrus, grapes, coffee, almond trees, and vegetables; and water-soluble fertilizers for use in fertigation of fruit and vegetables under the KALISOP, KORN-KALI, ROLLKALI, PATENTKALI, ESTA KIESERIT, GRANUAID, MAGNESIA-KAINIT, SOLUMOP, SOLUSOP, SOLUCMS, EPSO TOP, EPSO MICROTOP, EPSO COMBITOP, EPSO PROFITOP, and EPSO BORTOP brands. It also provides soil, fertigation, foliar fertilizers, natural rock salt, high-purity vaccum salt and mineral salt mixtures, potassium chloride, potassium sulphate, Epsom salt, minerals for pets and livestock, potassium, magnesium, salt, salt licks for farm and wild animals, sodium chloride, salt tablets, and vacuum salt granules under the k-DRILL, KaSa, SOLSEL, NUTRIKS, AXAL PRO, REGINET, Regesal, Marina, Marina Plus, Solea, and APISAL brands. In addition, the company offers salts under the Cérébos brand; rock salt under the Solné mlýny Olomouc brand; sea salt under the Vatel and Salinas d'Algarve brands; Saltissimo brands; optimal solutions for their homes under the AXAL Pro and AXAL brand; rock and pink salts under the Saldoro brand; dishwasher salt under the Regesoft brand; and Coarse rock salt under the DI-MIX brand. Further, the company provides waste management; and transportation and logistics services. Aktiengesellschaft was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Kassel, Germany.

Stock analysis

K+S Aktiengesellschaft, (KPLUF) currently trades at $16.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.26, 86.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $20.58 per share, and 5 of the 10 models we run sit above the $16.80 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $0.4400, and 5 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $1.53 (bear) to $3.66 (bull), the price of $16.80 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

K+S Aktiengesellschaft, reported revenue of €3.6B in FY2025 versus €3.2B in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€1.1B in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $3.0B · P/S ratio 0.81 · EPS (TTM) $−8.56 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin −29.5% · Return on equity −24.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.7% · Operating margin −13.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at −87%, KPLUF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.4400 to $38.85). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $1.53 Fair Value $2.26 Bull $3.66
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $1.25 $1.82 $2.89 79
Growth DCF $1.31 $1.87 $2.82 78
Owner Earnings $23.84 $32.40 $48.16 76
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.25 $1.82 $2.89 79
Owner Earnings $23.84 $32.40 $48.16 76
5Y Revenue Exit $0.5800 $0.8600 $1.25 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $15.49 $26.50 $41.20 74
10Y Revenue Exit $0.8200 $1.06 $1.30 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $9.71 $16.83 $24.83 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $29.04 $38.85 $48.66 67
EV/Revenue $0.1900 $0.4400 $0.6900 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $15.36 $20.58 $30.72 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.31 $1.87 $2.82 78

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 49
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.3% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−79.3% (2020) → −38.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+64.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +60.5% a year for the price and −0.6% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+5.6%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+0.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+0.4%
Projected 2029 (sales)+0.7%
Projected 2030 (sales)+0.9%

KPLUF screens overvalued: fair value 87% below the price. Compare with Corteva, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 175 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −78.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −11.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −35.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −13.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 10.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.10× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.62× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.81× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 300.4× · Priciest 25%
PEG 9.18× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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CF Industries Holdings CF $115.51 $163.44 +41%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 123.60 SAR 150.65 SAR +22%
Yara International ASA YAR kr 433.10 kr 662.97 +53%
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥27.56 ¥50.49 +83%
The Mosaic Company MOS $22.42 $25.77 +15%
ICL Group ICL $5.14 $2.98 −42%
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹1,964 ₹1,129 −43%

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$2.26 −87%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "K+S Aktiengesellschaft, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KPLUF

Frequently asked questions

Is K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.26 versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of $16.80, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KPLUF?
Our model-based fair value for K+S Aktiengesellschaft, is $2.26 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 17, 2026): $16.80.
What is the quality score of KPLUF?
K+S Aktiengesellschaft, has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.26 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.53, optimistic scenario $3.66. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the K+S Aktiengesellschaft, stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.26, about −87% upside versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of $16.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.53, optimistic scenario $3.66. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUF)?
K+S Aktiengesellschaft, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €3.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does K+S Aktiengesellschaft, pay a dividend?
K+S Aktiengesellschaft, currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.42% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, K+S Aktiengesellschaft, would have to grow free cash flow by +64.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KPLUF use?
Our models discount K+S Aktiengesellschaft, at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.21, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For K+S Aktiengesellschaft, that is +64.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at K+S Aktiengesellschaft, grew +8.5 % a year. The price currently implies +64.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into K+S Aktiengesellschaft, (+64.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.38 %: that much free cash flow K+S Aktiengesellschaft, produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For K+S Aktiengesellschaft, it is $2.26 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $16.80. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is K+S Aktiengesellschaft, stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KPLUF trades above its calculated fair value: price $16.80, fair value $2.26, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KPLUF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($16.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.26). For K+S Aktiengesellschaft, the two are $14.54 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is K+S Aktiengesellschaft, worth?
The market values K+S Aktiengesellschaft, at about $3.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $16.80; our models calculate a fair value of $2.26 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KPLUF?
Our models span a range for K+S Aktiengesellschaft,: cautious scenario $1.53, base $2.26, optimistic $3.66 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $16.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of KPLUF?
The PEG ratio of K+S Aktiengesellschaft, is 9.18 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUF)?
Balance-sheet figures for K+S Aktiengesellschaft, (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −24.2%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KPLUF from its 52-week high?
K+S Aktiengesellschaft, trades at $16.80, about 20% below its 52-week high of $20.92 and 30% above the low of $12.94 (as of Jul 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.26 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to K+S Aktiengesellschaft,?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Corteva, Inc, Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is K+S Aktiengesellschaft, stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $16.80, calculated fair value $2.26 (−87%), Quality Score 46/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KPLUF calculated?
We run K+S Aktiengesellschaft, through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.26, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. K+S Aktiengesellschaft, itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUF)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 17, 2026 and stands at $16.80. Our model-based fair value is $2.26, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with K+S Aktiengesellschaft, right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.66). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($1.53 to $3.66) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of K+S Aktiengesellschaft,

How large is the market capitalisation of K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUF)?
The market capitalisation of K+S Aktiengesellschaft, is $3.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of K+S Aktiengesellschaft, is 0.81 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUF)?
Earnings per share at K+S Aktiengesellschaft, are $−8.56. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUF)?
The dividend yield of K+S Aktiengesellschaft, is 0.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUF)?
The net margin of K+S Aktiengesellschaft, is −29.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of K+S Aktiengesellschaft, is −24.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of K+S Aktiengesellschaft, is 6.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUF)?
The operating margin of K+S Aktiengesellschaft, is −13.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUF)?
Revenue at K+S Aktiengesellschaft, is growing +10.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −13.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUF)?
Earnings per share at K+S Aktiengesellschaft, are growing +360% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUF) carry?
The net debt of K+S Aktiengesellschaft, is €61.4M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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