Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. TRY 34.36, price TRY 39.20, upside -12.4%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.79 TRY – 66.65 TRY · fair‑value band 24.44 TRY – 44.27 TRY · the 39.20 TRY price screens above the 34.36 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. manufactures and sells iron and steel, coke, and coke-by products in Turkey. The company also engages in steel structure manufacturing and assembly; casting and machining; energy business; and intra-city and intercity freight transportation activities. Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S.
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Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. manufactures and sells iron and steel, coke, and coke-by products in Turkey. The company also engages in steel structure manufacturing and assembly; casting and machining; energy business; and intra-city and intercity freight transportation activities. Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Karabük, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMA) currently trades at 39.20 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 34.36 TRY, 12.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 49.75 TRY per share, and 3 of the 6 models we run sit above the 39.20 TRY price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 23.35 TRY, and 3 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 24.44 TRY (bear) to 44.27 TRY (bull), the price of 39.20 TRY sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 66.7B TRY in FY2025 versus 14.8B TRY in FY2021, a compound +45.8%/yr. Reported net income was −1.7B TRY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 48.3B TRY (≈ $983M) · P/E ratio 163.7 · P/S ratio 0.76 · EPS (TTM) 0.2500 TRY · Net margin −2.5% · Return on equity 0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.5% · Operating margin 6.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −12%, KRDMA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 24.44 TRYFair Value 34.36 TRYBull 44.27 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1890 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+54.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +40.5% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
12.6% (2020) → 4.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 401 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+4.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.4% · Below median
Return on assets2.7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)0.5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)6.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−18.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KRDMA
Frequently asked questions
Is Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 34.36 TRY versus a price of 39.20 TRY, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KRDMA?
Our model-based fair value for Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 34.36 TRY (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 39.20 TRY.
What is the quality score of KRDMA?
Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 34.36 TRY (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 24.44 TRY, optimistic scenario 44.27 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 34.36 TRY, about −12% upside versus a price of 39.20 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 24.44 TRY, optimistic scenario 44.27 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMA)?
Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 63.3B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. it is 34.36 TRY per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 39.20 TRY. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KRDMA trades above its calculated fair value: price 39.20 TRY, fair value 34.36 TRY, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KRDMA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (39.20 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (34.36 TRY). For Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. the two are 4.84 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. worth?
The market values Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. at about 48.3B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 39.20 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 34.36 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KRDMA?
Our models span a range for Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S.: cautious scenario 24.44 TRY, base 34.36 TRY, optimistic 44.27 TRY per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 39.20 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KRDMA?
Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 163.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 34.36 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 5.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.4%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KRDMA from its 52-week high?
Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. trades at 39.20 TRY, about 41% below its 52-week high of 66.65 TRY and 67% above the low of 23.48 TRY (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 34.36 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 39.20 TRY, calculated fair value 34.36 TRY (−12%), Quality Score 33/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KRDMA calculated?
We run Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 34.36 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMA)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 39.20 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 34.36 TRY, about −12% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. right now?
A fairly wide model range (24.44 TRY to 44.27 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S.
How large is the market capitalisation of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMA)?
The market capitalisation of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 48.3B TRY (≈ $983M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 0.76 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMA)?
Earnings per share at Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. are 0.2500 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 163.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMA)?
The net margin of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is −2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 8.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMA)?
The operating margin of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMA)?
Revenue at Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is growing −18.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +34.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMA)?
Earnings per share at Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. are growing −51.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMA) generate?
The free cash flow of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is −2.4B TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMA) carry?
The net debt of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 6.1B TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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