Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. TRY 68.72, price TRY 46.96, upside +46.3%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 5.67 TRY – 47.48 TRY · fair‑value band 48.88 TRY – 88.54 TRY · the 46.96 TRY price screens below the 68.72 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. manufactures and sells iron and steel, coke, and coke-by products in Turkey. The company also engages in steel structure manufacturing and assembly; casting and machining; energy business; and intra-city and intercity freight transportation activities. Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S.
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Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. manufactures and sells iron and steel, coke, and coke-by products in Turkey. The company also engages in steel structure manufacturing and assembly; casting and machining; energy business; and intra-city and intercity freight transportation activities. Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Karabük, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMD) currently trades at 46.96 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 68.72 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 31.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 49.75 TRY per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the 46.96 TRY price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 23.35 TRY, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 48.88 TRY (bear) to 88.54 TRY (bull), the price of 46.96 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 66.7B TRL in FY2025 versus 14.8B TRL in FY2021, a compound +45.8%/yr. Reported net income was −1.7B TRL in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 53.5B TRY (≈ $1.1B) · P/E ratio 163.8 · P/S ratio 0.74 · EPS (TTM) 0.2500 TRY · Net margin −2.5% · Return on equity 0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.5% · Operating margin 6.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 97% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at 46%, KRDMD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 48.88 TRYFair Value 68.72 TRYBull 88.54 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1849 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+54.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +40.5% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−25.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
12.6% (2020) → 4.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 413 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+46.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.4% · Below median
Return on assets2.7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)0.5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)6.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−18.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KRDMD
Frequently asked questions
Is Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 68.72 TRY versus a price of 46.96 TRY, about +46% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KRDMD?
Our model-based fair value for Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 68.72 TRY (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 46.96 TRY.
What is the quality score of KRDMD?
Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 68.72 TRY (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 48.88 TRY, optimistic scenario 88.54 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 68.72 TRY, about +46% upside versus a price of 46.96 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 48.88 TRY, optimistic scenario 88.54 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMD)?
Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 63.3B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. it is 68.72 TRY per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 46.96 TRY. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KRDMD trades below its calculated fair value: price 46.96 TRY, fair value 68.72 TRY, a gap of about +46% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KRDMD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (46.96 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (68.72 TRY). For Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. the two are 21.76 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. worth?
The market values Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. at about 53.5B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 46.96 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 68.72 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KRDMD?
Our models span a range for Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S.: cautious scenario 48.88 TRY, base 68.72 TRY, optimistic 88.54 TRY per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 46.96 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KRDMD?
Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 163.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 68.72 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 6.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.4%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KRDMD from its 52-week high?
Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. trades at 46.96 TRY, about 1% below its 52-week high of 47.48 TRY and 97% above the low of 23.82 TRY (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 68.72 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 46.96 TRY, calculated fair value 68.72 TRY (+46%), Quality Score 33/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KRDMD calculated?
We run Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 68.72 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. currently trades 46 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMD)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was 46.96 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 68.72 TRY, about +46% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (33/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (48.88 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (48.88 TRY to 88.54 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S.
How large is the market capitalisation of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMD)?
The market capitalisation of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 53.5B TRY (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 0.74 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMD)?
Earnings per share at Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. are 0.2500 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 163.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMD)?
The net margin of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is −2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 8.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMD)?
The operating margin of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMD)?
Revenue at Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is growing −18.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +34.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMD)?
Earnings per share at Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. are growing −51.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMD) generate?
The free cash flow of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is −2.4B TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMD) carry?
The net debt of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 6.1B TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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