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Knightscope, Inc (KSCP) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $34.7M

KI Knightscope, Inc logo Knightscope, Inc KSCP · US
Price$1.57
Fair Value$0.6460
Upside-58.9%
Quality20/100
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Expensive Growth
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.4250 – $0.8075 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −13.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 59% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.8075). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (20/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.4250 to $0.8075) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$1,070 $1.38 Fair Value $0.6460 Jan 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

54‑month range $1.38 – $1,070 · fair‑value band $0.4250 – $0.8075 · the $1.57 price screens above the $0.6460 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Knightscope, Inc (KSCP) currently trades at $1.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6460, implying the stock looks roughly 58.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $14.4M. Revenue grew 106.2% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $16.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.4250 (bear case) to $0.8075 (bull case); at $1.57, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -59%, KSCP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.8200 $1.10 $1.64 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.8200 $1.10 $1.64 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $14.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) +106%
Net margin -258%
Return on equity -143%
Free cash flow −$31.0M FY2025
Operating margin -172%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-3.47
Net cash $16.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 20/100

Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 6

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 40
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 20
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Knightscope, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, markets, deploys, and supports autonomous security robots (ASR) in the United States.

Full company description

Knightscope, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, markets, deploys, and supports autonomous security robots (ASR) in the United States. The company provides K5 Outdoor ASR for external environments comprising parking lots, logistics facilities, and corporate campuses; K1 Hemisphere, a stationary unit for indoor and outdoor use; and Knightscope Security Operations Center (KSOC), a browser-based user interface that enables clients to monitor and manage their ASRs in real-time. It also offers emergency communication solutions, including K1 Blue Light Towers that are solar-powered emergency communication stations, which provides immediate access to emergency response personnel or law enforcement in parking lots, public parks, and college campuses; K1 Blue Light E-Phone, a compact emergency phone system that delivers one-touch connectivity and features a high-visibility blue strobe light, which is suitable for locations, such as parking lots, building interiors, college campuses, electric vehicle charging stations, transit stations, and office spaces; K1 Call Box, a small emergency call box system that provides a simple housing and interface for one-touch connection to emergency services for indoor and outdoor use in areas comprising bridges, highways, parks, metro stations, military installations, and remote parking lots; and Knightscope Emergency Management System (KEMS), a cloud-based application that monitors the health and status of deployed emergency communication devices. Knightscope, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Knightscope, Inc reported revenue of $11.3M in FY2025 versus $3.4M in FY2021, a compound +35.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$33.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$11.3M
Latest YoY
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.7%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.3%
Revenue +35.1%/yr
FY21 $3.4M
FY22 $5.6M
FY23 $12.8M
FY24 $10.8M
FY25 $11.3M
Net income
FY21 −$43.8M
FY22 −$25.6M
FY23 −$22.1M
FY24 −$31.7M
FY25 −$33.8M

KSCP screens 59% overvalued. Compare with ASSA ABLOY AB →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Knightscope, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KSCP

Peer Group

Security & Protection Services · 114 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −59% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -52% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -172% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 106% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.15× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.25× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.40× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 19
FUTURE 100 · sector 39
PAST 0 · sector 20
HEALTH 93 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB kr 348.40 kr 269.97 -23%
Verisure plc VSURE €10.26 €12.40 +21%
Allegion plc ALLE $137.24 $127.80 -7%
Securitas AB SECUB kr 162.10 kr 186.34 +15%
Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 ¥16.57 ¥23.58 +42%
MSA Safety Incorporated MSA $169.00 $118.51 -30%
ADT Inc ADT $7.06 $17.10 +142%
The Brink's Company BCO $104.24 $101.84 -2%
Brady Corporation BRC $90.16 $73.43 -19%
The GEO Group GEO $29.46 $32.36 +10%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Knightscope, Inc (KSCP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6460 versus a price of $1.57, about −59% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KSCP?
Our model-based fair value for Knightscope, Inc is $0.6460 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.57.
What is the quality score of KSCP?
Knightscope, Inc has a Quality Score of 20/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Knightscope, Inc (KSCP)?
Knightscope, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $14.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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