Knightscope, Inc (KSCP) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $34.7M
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price −13.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 59% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.8075). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (20/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.4250 to $0.8075) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
54‑month range $1.38 – $1,070 · fair‑value band $0.4250 – $0.8075 · the $1.57 price screens above the $0.6460 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Knightscope, Inc (KSCP) currently trades at $1.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6460, implying the stock looks roughly 58.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $14.4M. Revenue grew 106.2% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $16.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.4250 (bear case) to $0.8075 (bull case); at $1.57, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -59%, KSCP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 6
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Knightscope, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, markets, deploys, and supports autonomous security robots (ASR) in the United States.
Full company description
Knightscope, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, markets, deploys, and supports autonomous security robots (ASR) in the United States. The company provides K5 Outdoor ASR for external environments comprising parking lots, logistics facilities, and corporate campuses; K1 Hemisphere, a stationary unit for indoor and outdoor use; and Knightscope Security Operations Center (KSOC), a browser-based user interface that enables clients to monitor and manage their ASRs in real-time. It also offers emergency communication solutions, including K1 Blue Light Towers that are solar-powered emergency communication stations, which provides immediate access to emergency response personnel or law enforcement in parking lots, public parks, and college campuses; K1 Blue Light E-Phone, a compact emergency phone system that delivers one-touch connectivity and features a high-visibility blue strobe light, which is suitable for locations, such as parking lots, building interiors, college campuses, electric vehicle charging stations, transit stations, and office spaces; K1 Call Box, a small emergency call box system that provides a simple housing and interface for one-touch connection to emergency services for indoor and outdoor use in areas comprising bridges, highways, parks, metro stations, military installations, and remote parking lots; and Knightscope Emergency Management System (KEMS), a cloud-based application that monitors the health and status of deployed emergency communication devices. Knightscope, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Knightscope, Inc reported revenue of $11.3M in FY2025 versus $3.4M in FY2021, a compound +35.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$33.8M in FY2025.
KSCP screens 59% overvalued. Compare with ASSA ABLOY AB →
Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 348.40 | kr 269.97 | -23% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €10.26 | €12.40 | +21% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $137.24 | $127.80 | -7% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 162.10 | kr 186.34 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.57 | ¥23.58 | +42% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $169.00 | $118.51 | -30% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.06 | $17.10 | +142% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $104.24 | $101.84 | -2% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $90.16 | $73.43 | -19% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $29.46 | $32.36 | +10% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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