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Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹38.5B

KS Kalyani Steels Limited KSL · NSE
Price₹834.90
Fair Value₹732.84
Upside-12.2%
Quality57/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 8.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 50/100
Evidence: High Range ₹526.53 – ₹990.46 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ₹833.40 to ₹732.84 (−12.1%) since Jul 3, 2026. Share price −13.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 12% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹526.53 to ₹990.46) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹1,235 ₹245.62 Fair Value ₹732.84 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹245.62 – ₹1,235 · fair‑value band ₹526.53 – ₹990.46 · the ₹834.90 price screens above the ₹732.84 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL) currently trades at ₹834.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹732.84, implying the stock looks roughly 12.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Kalyani Steels Limited generated revenue of ₹14.1B at a net margin of 8.6%. Revenue declined 10.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹3.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹526.53 (bear case) to ₹990.46 (bull case); at ₹834.90, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -12%, KSL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹444.50 ₹550.21 ₹695.63 80
Residual Income ₹448.93 ₹541.23 ₹1,196 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹545.51 ₹765.25 ₹1,002 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹437.67 ₹552.30 ₹717.52 38
Owner Earnings ₹813.81 ₹1,102 ₹1,517 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹545.51 ₹765.23 ₹1,040 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹626.91 ₹911.15 ₹1,233 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹701.22 ₹1,044 ₹1,391 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹490.11 ₹679.24 ₹920.23 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹554.01 ₹778.28 ₹1,062 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹600.59 ₹868.69 ₹1,178 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹401.69 ₹989.99 ₹1,282 54
PEG = 1.0 ₹178.63 ₹255.19 ₹331.75 46
EPV ₹656.52 ₹734.45 ₹802.63 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹91.82 ₹168.80 ₹271.93 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹91.82 ₹138.30 ₹188.93 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹753.16 ₹1,004 ₹1,255 63
P/S Multiple ₹475.64 ₹634.18 ₹792.73 58
P/B Multiple ₹753.16 ₹1,004 ₹1,255 55
EV/EBIT ₹920.77 ₹1,165 ₹1,409 53
EV/EBITDA ₹809.68 ₹1,017 ₹1,224 54
EV/Revenue ₹632.89 ₹823.14 ₹1,013 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹241.10 ₹323.07 ₹482.19 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹444.50 ₹550.21 ₹695.63 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹545.51 ₹765.25 ₹1,002 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹448.93 ₹541.23 ₹1,196 76
ROIC Compounder ₹677.18 ₹793.03 ₹922.90 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹588.17 ₹840.24 ₹1,092 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (₹1,004) versus Dividend Discount (₹138.30). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹14.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.2%
Net margin 8.6%
Return on equity 14.0%
Free cash flow ₹1.0B FY2026
P/E ratio 14.9
More key figures
Operating margin 13.8%
EPS (TTM) ₹59.10
EPS growth (YoY) -10.2%
Net cash ₹3.5B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kalyani Steels Limited manufactures and sells iron and steel products. The company provides rolled bars for various automotive applications, including crankshaft, camshaft, connecting rods, gears, transmission shafts, axle beams, steering knuckles, and others.

Full company description

Kalyani Steels Limited manufactures and sells iron and steel products. The company provides rolled bars for various automotive applications, including crankshaft, camshaft, connecting rods, gears, transmission shafts, axle beams, steering knuckles, and others. It also offers rolled bars for engineering applications comprising alloyed steels for use in energy, railways, defense, fasteners, material handling, etc.; and steel for use in the earthmoving, cement, sugar, steel, coal, shipbuilding, and oilfield industries, as well as general engineering equipment. In addition, the company provides round cast for seamless tube sector. Further, it offers machined bars for aluminum smelting industry. The company serves various component manufacturers of commercial vehicles, passenger vehicles, two wheelers, diesel engines, bearings, tractors, wind turbines, oil and gas, and railways in India and internationally. The company was incorporated in 1973 and is based in Pune, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Kalyani Steels Limited reported revenue of ₹18.5B in FY2026 versus ₹17.0B in FY2022, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹2.6B in FY2026, compounding +1.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 65/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹18.5B
Latest YoY
−6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.6%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.2%
Revenue +2.1%/yr
FY22 ₹17.0B
FY23 ₹19.0B
FY24 ₹19.6B
FY25 ₹19.8B
FY26 ₹18.5B
Net income +1.5%/yr
FY22 ₹2.4B
FY23 ₹1.7B
FY24 ₹2.5B
FY25 ₹2.6B
FY26 ₹2.6B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +9.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.7 pp

of which total revenue +4.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +4.2 pp
Tax rate +1.4 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

KSL screens 12% overvalued. Compare with Tata Steel Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kalyani Steels Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KSL

Peer Group

Steel · 378 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −12% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -10% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.83× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.72× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 18.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 17 · sector 19
FUTURE 0 · sector 4
PAST 56 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tata Steel Limited TTST $0.2010 $0.2000 -0%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,227 ₹1,140 -7%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.89 ¥8.07 +37%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.55 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 313,500 KRW 155,270 KRW -50%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,940 ARS +17%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,844 ₹1,098 -40%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 42.64 MXN -49%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,210 ARS +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹732.84 versus a price of ₹834.90, about −12% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KSL?
Our model-based fair value for Kalyani Steels Limited is ₹732.84 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹834.90.
What is the quality score of KSL?
Kalyani Steels Limited has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL)?
Kalyani Steels Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹14.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KSL?
The net profit margin of Kalyani Steels Limited is about 8.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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