Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Kalyani Steels Limited ₹695, price ₹974, upside -28.6%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹245.62 – ₹1,235 · fair‑value band ₹506.28 – ₹930.95 · the ₹974.20 price screens above the ₹695.34 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Kalyani Steels Limited manufactures and sells iron and steel products. The company provides rolled bars for various automotive applications, including crankshaft, camshaft, connecting rods, gears, transmission shafts, axle beams, steering knuckles, and others.
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Kalyani Steels Limited manufactures and sells iron and steel products. The company provides rolled bars for various automotive applications, including crankshaft, camshaft, connecting rods, gears, transmission shafts, axle beams, steering knuckles, and others. It also offers rolled bars for engineering applications comprising alloyed steels for use in energy, railways, defense, fasteners, material handling, etc.; and steel for use in the earthmoving, cement, sugar, steel, coal, shipbuilding, and oilfield industries, as well as general engineering equipment. In addition, the company provides round cast for seamless tube sector. Further, it offers machined bars for aluminum smelting industry. The company serves various component manufacturers of commercial vehicles, passenger vehicles, two wheelers, diesel engines, bearings, tractors, wind turbines, oil and gas, and railways in India and internationally. The company was incorporated in 1973 and is based in Pune, India.
Stock analysis
Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL) currently trades at ₹974.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹695.34, implying the stock looks roughly 40.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹1,004 per share, and 6 of the 25 models we run sit above the ₹974.20 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹110.37, and 19 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹506.28 (bear) to ₹930.95 (bull), the price of ₹974.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Kalyani Steels Limited reported revenue of ₹18.5B in FY2026 versus ₹17.0B in FY2022, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹2.6B in FY2026, compounding +1.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹42.5B (≈ $443M) · P/E ratio 16.5 · P/S ratio 2.30 · EPS (TTM) ₹59.10 · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin 14.0% · Return on equity 14.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −29%, KSL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹506.28Fair Value ₹695.34Bull ₹930.95
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹28.82 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.65/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.6% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+7.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6% vs 9%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → 17%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+29.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +23.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 417 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−29% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14% · Top 25%
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)14% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−10% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.1% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)16.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B2.02× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)3.01× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF0.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA20.5× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 4
PAST (return on equity)56· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)23· sector 51
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹695.34 versus a price of ₹974.20, about −29% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KSL?
Our model-based fair value for Kalyani Steels Limited is ₹695.34 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹974.20.
What is the quality score of KSL?
Kalyani Steels Limited has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹695.34 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹506.28, optimistic scenario ₹930.95. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kalyani Steels Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹695.34, about −29% upside versus a price of ₹974.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹506.28, optimistic scenario ₹930.95. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL)?
Kalyani Steels Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹14.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Kalyani Steels Limited pay a dividend?
Kalyani Steels Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.13% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kalyani Steels Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +29.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KSL use?
Our models discount Kalyani Steels Limited at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.36, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kalyani Steels Limited that is +29.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kalyani Steels Limited grew +9.6 % a year. The price currently implies +29.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kalyani Steels Limited (+29.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.37 %: that much free cash flow Kalyani Steels Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kalyani Steels Limited it is ₹695.34 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹974.20. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kalyani Steels Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KSL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹974.20, fair value ₹695.34, a gap of about −29% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KSL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹974.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹695.34). For Kalyani Steels Limited the two are ₹278.86 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kalyani Steels Limited worth?
The market values Kalyani Steels Limited at about ₹42.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹974.20; our models calculate a fair value of ₹695.34 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KSL?
Our models span a range for Kalyani Steels Limited: cautious scenario ₹506.28, base ₹695.34, optimistic ₹930.95 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹974.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KSL?
Kalyani Steels Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹695.34 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.0, P/S 3.0, EV/EBITDA 20.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kalyani Steels Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 14.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KSL from its 52-week high?
Kalyani Steels Limited trades at ₹974.20, about 2% below its 52-week high of ₹998.25 and 69% above the low of ₹577.75 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹695.34 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kalyani Steels Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, Tata Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kalyani Steels Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹974.20, calculated fair value ₹695.34 (−29%), Quality Score 57/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KSL calculated?
We run Kalyani Steels Limited through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹695.34, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Kalyani Steels Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ₹974.20. Our model-based fair value is ₹695.34, about −29% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kalyani Steels Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹930.95). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹506.28 to ₹930.95) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL) come from?
Earnings per share at Kalyani Steels Limited grew +9.0 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.7 %, EBIT margin +4.2 %, tax rate +1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Kalyani Steels Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL)?
The market capitalisation of Kalyani Steels Limited is ₹42.5B (≈ $443M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kalyani Steels Limited is 2.30 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL)?
Earnings per share at Kalyani Steels Limited are ₹59.10 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL)?
The dividend yield of Kalyani Steels Limited is 1.1% (payout 18.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL)?
The net margin of Kalyani Steels Limited is 14.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kalyani Steels Limited is 14.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kalyani Steels Limited is 13.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL)?
The operating margin of Kalyani Steels Limited is 13.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL)?
Revenue at Kalyani Steels Limited is growing −10.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL)?
Earnings per share at Kalyani Steels Limited are growing −10.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Kalyani Steels Limited (KSL) hold?
Kalyani Steels Limited holds more cash than debt, ₹3.5B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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