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Kubota Corp ADR (KUBTY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $20.3B

KC Kubota Corp ADR logo Kubota Corp ADR KUBTY · US
Price$83.25
Fair Value$68.56
Upside-17.7%
Quality53/100
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Strengths

Healthy Growth
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Trades 18% ABOVE our fair value of $68.56
!Thin margins · 7.0% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
!Moderate moat 45/100
Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.82% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: Medium Range $59.99 – $116.97 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $68.39 to $68.56 (+0.2%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price −2.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 18% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($59.99 to $116.97) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$107.16 $50.97 Fair Value $68.56 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $50.97 – $107.16 · fair‑value band $59.99 – $116.97 · the $83.25 price screens above the $68.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Kubota Corp ADR (KUBTY) currently trades at $83.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $68.56, implying the stock looks roughly 17.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Kubota Corp ADR generated revenue of $3.1T at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue grew 13.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.9%. Net debt stands at $2.0T. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $59.99 (bear case) to $116.97 (bull case); at $83.25, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at -18%, KUBTY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $15.93 $36.56 $65.40 80
Rev-Margin DCF $30.11 $68.45 $110.74 74
ROIC Compounder $26.96 $36.60 $45.04 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $14.85 $37.59 $71.09 38
Owner Earnings $12.46 $34.01 $65.76 31
5Y Revenue Exit $30.11 $68.56 $117.10 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $51.86 $108.19 $172.85 41
5Y P/E Exit $34.40 $76.37 $119.35 38
10Y Revenue Exit $21.88 $55.42 $99.19 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $37.77 $82.55 $140.73 37
10Y P/E Exit $26.76 $60.77 $100.87 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $37.25 $101.01 $132.36 54
Lynch FV $19.86 $28.37 $36.88 50
PEG = 1.0 $19.86 $28.37 $36.88 46
EPV $26.96 $36.60 $45.04 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $86.27 $115.03 $143.78 63
P/S Multiple $69.84 $93.12 $116.39 58
P/B Multiple $69.84 $93.12 $116.39 55
EV/EBIT $72.04 $106.36 $140.68 53
EV/EBITDA $86.09 $125.09 $164.09 54
EV/Revenue $42.57 $74.06 $105.55 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $36.73 $49.21 $73.45 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $15.93 $36.56 $65.40 80
Rev-Margin DCF $30.11 $68.45 $110.74 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $60.29 $63.98 $70.21 61
ROIC Compounder $26.96 $36.60 $45.04 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $68.16 $97.37 $126.58 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($97.37) versus Earnings-Based ($28.37). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.1T
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.7%
Net margin 7.0%
Return on equity 8.9%
Free cash flow $149B FY2025
P/E ratio 16.4
More key figures
Operating margin 12.1%
EPS (TTM) $5.09
Dividend yield 1.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +79.2%
Net debt $2.0T FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 98
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kubota Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of agricultural and construction machinery in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally.

Full company description

Kubota Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of agricultural and construction machinery in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers tractors, power tillers, combine harvesters, rice transplanters, turf equipment, utility vehicles, other agricultural machineries, implements, attachments, post-harvest machineries, vegetable production equipment, intermediate management machines, and other equipment for agricultural use, weighing and measuring control systems, and cooperative drying, rice seedling, and gardening facilities, as well as rice mill plants. It also provides farm equipment, construction machinery, industrial machinery, and generators engines; and mini excavators, wheel loaders, compact track loaders, skid steer loaders, and other construction machinery-related products. In addition, the company offers ductile iron pipe, plastic pipe, valves, single stack drain fittings, and design and construction of construction works; reformer and cracking tubes, hearth rolls, TXAX, steel pipe piles, steel pipe sheet piles, and air-conditioning equipment; wastewater treatment equipment and plants, pumps and plants, membrane solutions, water purification plants, night-soil treatment plants, waste incinerating and melting plants, waste shredding and sorting plants, flue gas desulfurization apparatus, membrane methane fermentation plants, wastewater treatment plant, and valves sector. Further, it is involved in the provision of roofing, siding materials and rain gutters; logistics, retail financing, and finance leasing services; export and import of components for farm equipment, engines, and construction machinery; underwriting non-life insurance; design and construction of water and sewage; civil engineering; management of logistics and logistics information service; and building maintenance, security guarding, and facility management. Kubota Corporation was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kubota Corp ADR reported revenue of $3.2T in FY2025 versus $2.2T in FY2021, a compound +9.6%/yr. Reported net income was $196B in FY2025, compounding +2.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.2T
Latest YoY
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.3%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Revenue +9.6%/yr
FY21 $2.2T
FY22 $2.7T
FY23 $3.0T
FY24 $3.0T
FY25 $3.2T
Net income +2.9%/yr
FY21 $175B
FY22 $156B
FY23 $238B
FY24 $230B
FY25 $196B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +12.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +14.4 pp

of which total revenue +8.5 pp · buybacks/dilution +5.9 pp

EBIT margin −2.3 pp
Tax rate +0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

KUBTY screens 18% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kubota Corp ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KUBTY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 152 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −14% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.53× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.4× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.39× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE10 · sector 28
FUTURE69 · sector 30
PAST35 · sector 33
HEALTH74 · sector 93
DIVIDEND36 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Caterpillar Inc CATR C$59.54 C$12.83 -78%
Deere & Company DE $619.77 $182.29 -71%
AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA kr 344.00 kr 288.08 -16%
PACCAR Inc PCAR $131.06 $94.80 -28%
Epiroc AB EPIA kr 254.50 kr 144.14 -43%
Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 ¥18.91 ¥20.84 +10%
XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 ¥8.11 ¥11.79 +45%
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 HK$38.68 HK$53.72 +39%
Ashok Leyland Limited ASHOKLEY ₹176.40 ₹117.07 -34%
Yutong Bus Co 600066 ¥28.69 ¥42.00 +46%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kubota Corp ADR (KUBTY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $68.56 versus a price of $83.25, about −18% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KUBTY?
Our model-based fair value for Kubota Corp ADR is $68.56 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $83.25.
What is the quality score of KUBTY?
Kubota Corp ADR has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kubota Corp ADR (KUBTY)?
Kubota Corp ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.1T (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KUBTY?
The net profit margin of Kubota Corp ADR is about 7.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Kubota Corp ADR pay a dividend?
Kubota Corp ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.82% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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